Thursday, May 17, 2018

Abnormally Dry and Moderate Drought conditions covering most of the Northland per latest drought monitor. Showers north tonight; Dry Friday; Showers late Fri night-Sat. Cool east winds continue Fri near Lake Superior, warm Inland!

/Issued 6:00 PM CDT, Thursday, May 17, 2018/



20z HRRR model -- Simulated Radar forecast through 9 AM Friday.  Showers should remain over northern Minnesota tonight with mainly dry conditions through the night into Friday morning for east central Minnesota, Twin Ports and northwest Wisconsin.


12z DLHWRF model


Abnormally Dry conditions (Yellow area on map) cover 53% of Minnesota as of May 15, 2018 -- This is up from 39% one week ago. Moderate Drought (Light tan color on map) covers 6% of Minnesota which is up from 1% one week ago.  Bottom line is that it has been dry lately especially over all but the south half of Minnesota with far northern areas of the state seeing the driest conditions lately.  Drought could worsen in coming weeks if we don't start to get more frequent rainfalls around here.


Abnormally Dry conditions (Yellow area on map) covers 22% of Wisconsin, up from 1% last week.

Weather Synopsis

Low pressure along with its warm front and cold front over the Rockies and northern Plains will move slowly toward the east through Saturday with the cold front pushing southeast and exiting the Northland on Saturday the way it looks now.

Occasional rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm in northern Minnesota tonight, dry elsewhere.  Most of the day Friday looks dry, followed by some more rain or showers spreading west to east through the Northland from late Friday night through Saturday.

A wide range in temperatures occurred in our area today with 40s near Lake Superior to around 70 in the Brainerd area and 50s in northern Minnesota.  Much warmer farther south with highs today in the 80s to around 90 degrees across the southern half of Minnesota.

Low temps tonight will be in the upper 30s to lower 50s, coolest temps near Lake Superior.  Highs Friday in the 70s to lower 80s except for much cooler temps once again near Lake Superior where a breezy easterly wind continues.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Windy.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 37 to 42.  Wind east at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.

.Friday...  Breezy.  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 59 to 64, cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday...  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  High 60 to 65.  Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph becoming north.

Normal temperatures for May 18

High:  63
Low:   41

Sunrise Friday:  5:30 AM CDT
Sunset Friday:   8:41 PM CDT