Friday, March 3, 2017

Teens and 20s below in parts of the Northland this morning, not as cold tonight. Keeping an eye on t-storm chances for Monday and snow for later next week!

/Issued 5:07 PM CST, Friday, March 3, 2017/

A cold start to the day across the Northland! For many of us this morning's subzero temperatures were the first in about 3 weeks!  Source:

Snow depth map for Minnesota as of March 2, 2017.  Source:

Snow depth map centered on Wisconsin as of March 3, 2017.  Source:

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:

Saturday's high temperature forecast.  Source:

Computer models continue to show a fairly strong area of low pressure tracking northeast across the Dakotas on Monday then into Ontario Province on Tuesday -- The Northland will be on the eastern side of the low which means mild temperatures, gusty southerly winds and some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms from Monday into Monday evening.

Low temperature reports from this morning, March 3, 2017

Brimson, MN 2 S:  -23 F
Embarrass, MN:  -20 F
Skibo, MN:  -19 F
Cotton, MN 2 NNW:  -17 F
Crane Lake, MN:  -17 F
Twig, MN 3 WNW:  -16 F
Bigfork, MN:  -15 F
Orr, MN:  -15 F
International Falls, MN:  -15 F
South Range, WI 4 SSE:  -14 F
Isabella, MN 1 W:  -14 F
Cook, MN:  -13 F
Minong, WI 7 WNW:  -12 F
Northome, MN:  -12 F
Chisholm-Hibbing, MN (Airport)  -12 F
Duluth, MN 2 WNW:  -11 F
Kettle River, MN:  -11 F
Cloquet, MN:  -11 F
Grand Rapids, MN:  -10 F
Duluth, MN (Airport)  -9 F
Grand Portage, MN 4 W:  -9 F
Longville, MN:  -9 F
Grand Marais, MN (Airport) -9 F
Glidden, WI:  -8 F
Hayward, WI:  -6 F
Siren, WI:  -5 F
Superior, WI (Airport)  -5 F
Phillips, WI:  -5 F

Snow depth reports from around the Northland

Note:  Snow depths listed below are as of 6 AM on March 3, 2017

Cook, MN:  11"
International Falls, MN:  10"
Duluth, MN (Airport)  9"
Orr, MN 3 E:  9"
Grand Rapids, MN 12 N:  8"
Ely, MN 25 E:  8"
Northome, MN:  6"
Cass Lake, MN:  7"
Ely, MN:  7"
Embarrass, MN:  7"
Hurley, WI:  7"
Wright, MN 3 E:  5"
Togo, MN:  5"
Ashland, WI 3 S:  3"
Clam Lake, WI 4 W:  2"

Weather Synopsis for northeast Minnesota & northwest Wisconsin

Still a bit chilly today but high temperatures were about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than they were on Thursday with highs today in the 20s.  Lots of sun today with just a few passing clouds from time to time.

A warm front will remain west and south of the Northland through the weekend -- Warm air advection taking place north of this boundary could lead to a little bit of snow tonight mostly for western-southern portions of the area, if it does snow it won't add up to much with only a dusting of accumulation expected.

The bigger story will be the warmer temperatures for the next couple of days with the peak of the warmth occurring on Sunday and Monday.  However, a wind off Lake Superior will keep it cooler around the lake through Monday (Typical for the time of year)

Lows tonight will be in the single digits, teens and 20s with highs Saturday in the 30s to lower 40s.  Lows Saturday night will be in the 20s and 30s with highs Sunday in the 40s and 50s.

A strong area of low pressure (Sub-990mb) is set to track through the northern Plains on Monday while a warm front and cold front connected to this low sweep across the Northland.  A moist southerly flow will be found ahead of this low on Monday with PWATS increasing to over a half inch with dew points rising to around 40 degrees or so.  A low level jet of around 30-40 knots over the upper Midwest on Monday will help bring in this moisture, in addition there will also be some instability developing over the area on Monday with elevated CAPE projected to be in the 100-300 j/kg range the way it looks now, this combined with mid level lapse rates >7.0 c/km should be enough to set off a few thunderstorms in parts of the area from Monday through Monday evening.  Brief downpours and occasional lightning appear to be the main hazards if a thunderstorm develops but can't rule out some hail and or gusty winds if some stronger convection can get going.

Low pressure will pass north of Minnesota on Tuesday with gusty west winds and colder temperatures returning to the Northland along with a chance for some passing flurries and snow showers.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly clear with skies becoming mostly cloudy later on.  Low 12 to 17.  Wind east to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.

.Saturday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 33 to 38.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for Saturday

High:  30
Low:   13

Sunrise Saturday:  6:42 AM CST
Sunset Saturday:   5:59 PM CST