Saturday, November 12, 2016

Sunshine, warmth and gusty SW winds ahead for Sunday. Storm potential Nov 17-19 (Rain/Snow) Much colder temperatures possible next weekend

/Issued 5:23 PM CST, Saturday, November 12, 2016/

The computer models have been in good agreement in showing a storm during the November 17-19 time frame, but they haven't been in the best of agreement in regards to the storm track, timing and intensity.  Expect a few more changes in coming days from what the image below is showing.

Note:  Behind this possible storm, much colder temperatures look to move into the Northland with high temperatures in the teens, 20s and lower 30s possible for next weekend with lows in the single digits and teens, a few locations in northern Minnesota might even go below zero either next Saturday night or next Sunday night, that chance would increase if there is some snow on the ground.  How long those colder temperatures stick around for once they get here is uncertain -- It's quite possible that temperatures warm up once again after November 21st.

Southwest gale event over Lake Superior today, November 12th, 2016 -- Check out the wave heights over the eastern half of the lake from 2 PM today.

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:

Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source:

*Record Event*

Record high temperature at International Falls, Minnesota today, November 12th, 2016.  New record 61 degrees.  Old record 60 degrees set in 1981.

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Outside of a few patches of high clouds skies were generally sunny over the Northland today with the return of unseasonably mild temperatures on this 12th day of November 2016.  Highs today were in the 50s to lower 60s with southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 25-30 mph.  Weather map continues to be a snoozer with nothing but high pressure covering the Ohio Valley, Plains, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 12)

Mostly clear with lows in the 30s but a few 20s are possible in the typical cold spots.  Winds out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Sunday (November 13)

A cold front will move through the Northland on Sunday but with a bone dry airmass already in place don't expect any rain as this front moves through.  Still unseasonably mild with highs in the 50s and 60s.  Lows Sunday night in the upper 30s and 40s.  Winds out of the southwest at 10-20 mph with higher gusts through Sunday evening, winds shifting to the northwest late Sunday night.

.Extended Forecast...

Monday and Tuesday (November 14-15)

Low pressure along with a warm front and cold front will move through the Upper Midwest from Monday into Tuesday -- This system might squeeze out a few rain showers in parts of the Northland especially Monday night or Tuesday.

Still on the mild side with highs on Monday and Tuesday in the 40s and 50s, possibly a few 60s on Tuesday in east central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.  Lows Monday night will be in the 30s to around 40 degrees.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly clear.  Low 33 to 38.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday...  Breezy.  Unseasonably mild.  Mostly sunny.  High 57 to 62.  Wind southwest at 15 to 25 mph.  Note:  3rd warmest November 13th is 58 degrees in 1954.  2nd warmest is 60 degrees in 2001.  Warmest is 67 degrees in 1999.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  37
Low:   23

Sunrise Sunday:  7:09 AM CST
Sunset Sunday:   4:36 PM CST