Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Severe weather tonight in parts of the Mid-South; 30s and 40s below zero this morning in parts of Alaska; Mild temps, rain/snow showers in the Northland into Wed; Looks colder next week

/Issued 3:50 PM CST, Tuesday, November 29, 2016/

Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

Severe weather is expected through tonight in parts of the mid-south.  Source:  http://www.weather.gov/meg/

Lots of snow the past few days in central and western North Dakota.  Source:  http://www.weather.gov/bis/

Colder temperatures still showing up on the long range computer models for next week, especially mid to late next week.  Image below is from today's 12z European Ensemble model; 850mb temperature anomaly forecast valid for Friday, December 9, 2016.  Source:  http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Blue/Purple colors=Below average temperatures

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/

Wednesday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/

Weather Tidbits:

*Minnesota's annual precipitation record has been broken at Waseca, Minnesota (South Central part of the state)  Precipitation total 53.78" as of November 28th.  The old record was 53.52" at St. Frances in 1991.  Source, NWS Twin Cities, Minnesota.

*2nd warmest low temperature on record for November 28th at Duluth, Minnesota.  Low temperature 37 degrees.  The warmest minimum temperature on record for November 28th is 38 degrees set in 1962 and 1913.

-41 F this morning, November 29th at Bettles, Alaska.  Source, NWS Fairbanks, Alaska.

-31 F this morning, November 29th at Fairbanks, Alaska.  This ends a 624 day stretch of temperatures above -30 F (The second longest on record)  Note:  The record longest is 642 days from February 24th, 1976 through November 26th, 1977.  Source, NWS Fairbanks, Alaska.

Gatlinburg, Tennessee Fire Update:  http://www.knoxnews.com/story/news/2016/11/29/30-gatlinburg-structures-fire-tema/94584554/

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

There's a broad area of low pressure averaging 992mb extending from west central Minnesota to northwest Lake Superior.  Mostly cloudy skies covered the Northland today with pockets of light rain, drizzle and wet snow.  Highs were mainly in the 30s with south or north/northeast winds at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight through Wednesday night (November 29-30)

Surface and upper level areas of low pressure will continue to affect the Northland's weather through tomorrow night as they move slowly off to the east.  Generally mostly cloudy skies can be expected with occasional light snow, rain and drizzle.  No major snow accumulations are expected in our area but there could be just enough to slicken up the roads in some parts of the Northland.

Temperatures remain mild as we close out the month of November with lows tonight and Wednesday night in the 30s, maybe a few 20s in a few locations.  Highs on Wednesday in the 30s to around 40.  Winds tonight out of the south or north with a north, northeast or northwest wind tomorrow and tomorrow night -- Wind speeds in the 10 to 20 mph range through Wednesday night.

.Extended Forecast...

Thursday (December 1)

Will finally start to get rid of the pesky storm system that has been with us the past few days, still could be dealing with a few snow showers or flurries on Thursday otherwise it'll be dry with highs in the 20s and 30s, lows Thursday night in the 20s.

Friday (December 2)

Mainly dry with highs close to 30.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly cloudy.  Patchy drizzle with some light rain or wet snow also possible at times.  Low 33 to 36.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming northeast late.

.Wednesday...  Mostly cloudy.  Occasional rain or snow showers.  High 36 to 39.  Wind north to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for Wednesday

High:  28
Low:   14

Sunrise Wednesday:  7:32 AM CST
Sunset Wednesday:   4:22 PM CST