Monday, July 25, 2016

July 25, 2016: Quiet weather this evening; A few showers/t-storms possible late tonight and Tuesday; Back into the 80s Tuesday. Power outage update in this post and an update on the July 11th floods that hit parts of northwest Wisconsin and east central Minnesota

/Issued 5:15 PM CDT, Monday, July 25, 2016/

Tuesday's severe weather outlook.  Source, WSI; Storm Prediction Center.

Not a big chance for severe weather Tuesday but an isolated severe thunderstorm can't be ruled out during the afternoon/evening hours in parts of the Northland (Light green shaded area on map)

Forecast for Duluth and Superior:

Normal temperatures for Tuesday:

High:  77
Low:  56

Sunrise Tuesday:  5:42 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday:  8:47 PM CDT

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Tuesday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  July 25, 2016

Another warm day with highs in the 80s but dew points weren't very high - ranging from the mid 50s to around 60 degrees late this afternoon.  Sky conditions varied between mostly sunny and partly sunny and winds were out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Confidence:  Medium.

Tonight (July 25)

High pressure will be centered to our south/east while a cold front heads toward extreme northwest Minnesota after midnight.  Warm and moist advection pattern will develop in the Northland tonight with a low level jet increasing to around 30-35 knots while elevated instability climbs into the 500-1000 j/kg range.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible late tonight especially across north central into northeast Minnesota although some of this activity could also affect east central Minnesota and possibly even into parts of northwest Wisconsin toward daybreak.  Lows will mainly be in 60s but the typical chilly spots could dip into the 50s.  Winds will be shift to the south or southwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday (July 26)

A cold front should be draped over northern Minnesota tomorrow before it gets a better push to the south tomorrow night as high pressure builds south into Manitoba Province.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible across the Northland on Tuesday under partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Highs will mainly be in the 80s with lows in the 50s and 60s.  Southwest or northwest winds tomorrow at 10 to 20 mph with north or west winds tomorrow night.

The forecast parameters in place for Tuesday include CAPE generally around 1000 j/kg with dew points around 60, possibly as high as 65 degrees.  Mid level winds generally weak, under 30 knots.  Upper level winds do increase later in the day with a pocket of around 40-60 knot winds possibly moving through northern Minnesota.  Wind shear looks to be on the marginal side with around 20-30 knots of deep layer shear.

Scattered storms are certainly possible Tuesday with occasional cloud to ground lightning and brief downpours but widespread strong to severe thunderstorms aren't expected although a few storms could pulse to severe or near severe levels with wind and hail mainly south of Highway 2.

...Looking ahead...

Confidence:  Medium.

High pressure to our north across central Canada should result in an easterly flow from mid to late week, this high to our north should help keep most of the Northland mainly dry Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with the majority of the showers affecting central and southern Minnesota as low pressure moves slowly east/northeast out of the central Plains.

High temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s to lower 80s for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with 60s closer to Lake Superior.


Power outage updates for July 25, 2016
Source; Twitter


*ETR for cust w/o power in PIKE LAKE/CANOSIA is now 6 p.m. July 27 (from 9 p.m. July 24). Apprec. patience/u'standing. 10 workers there now.

*If electric svc. meter &/or mast is ripped off your house/damaged from storm, you must hire electrician. We can't restore power until done.


*MN Power update: 4600 customers currently out of power. Significant reduction from yesterday's 11,000. Though:...

*New update from the City on clean up process

July 11, 2016 Northland flood update
Source:  Duluth News Tribune

Click the link for the story