Friday, March 4, 2016

March 4, 2016 Weather Report - Light snow, drizzle and areas of fog this evening; 30s Saturday; Near 50 on Sunday. Snowfall report from today included in this post

/Issued 4:53 PM CST, Friday, March 4, 2016/

7-day precipitation forecast valid through March 11, 2016.  Big time rain amounts expected next week from Texas to the Ohio Valley 4-10"+ totals.  Another area of heavy precipitation from Washington State south to California, some spots could get upwards of 20" of precipitation during the next week!  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Saturday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Snowfall report for March 4, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

4 S of Sawyer, MN (Carlton County)  2.3"
Cloquet, MN (Carlton County)  1.7"
Yellowlake, WI (Burnett County)  2.5"
3 SSW of Bruno, MN (Pine County)  2.1"

2 E of Holyoke, MN (Carlton County)  2.3"
3 W of Iron Junction, MN (St. Louis County)  1.5"
3 N of Nisswa, MN (Crow Wing County)  1.2"
1 SSW of Barnum, MN (Carlton County)  1.5"

Blackberry, MN (Itasca County)  3.5"
2 ESE of Cohasset, MN (Itasca County)  2.0"
Grand Rapids, MN (Itasca County)  3.0"
Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  2.1" -- Official NWS total thru 4 PM today.

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  March 4, 2016

Low pressure of 1012mb has moved into Northwest Minnesota this afternoon with 2-hour pressure falls of 2-3mb occurring downstream of where the surface low was located -- A changeable weather day with a mix of sun/clouds early in the day which gave way to overcast skies and then snow which moved northwest to southeast through the Northland.  Some of the snow was heavy at times with a quick 1-3" of accumulation in most of the area today.  High temperatures were in the 20s to around 30 degrees with warmer air covering parts of Southwest Minnesota today with temperatures in the 40s and 50s.  Winds today were out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (March 4)

Low pressure will drop southeast out of Western Minnesota this evening reaching Southeast Wisconsin by daybreak while a frontal boundary remains nearly stationary across Northern Minnesota.  Light snow and possibly some drizzle/freezing drizzle will linger into the evening hours under mostly cloudy skies.  By late tonight there will still be a few snow showers or flurries under partly or mostly cloudy skies.  Lows will be in the single digits, teens and 20s with south, east or north winds at 10 to around 20 mph.

Saturday and Saturday night (March 5)

A lot calmer tomorrow compared to today.  High pressure moves through the Upper Midwest and Western Great Lakes -- Partly to mostly sunny skies on Saturday with highs mainly in the 30s with near 40 degree temperatures possible around the Brainerd Lakes.  Lows tomorrow night will be in the teens and 20s under partly cloudy skies.  Northwest winds will become south or southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Sunday through Tuesday (March 6-8)

Low pressure and an upper level trough will take shape across the Rockies and Western High Plains on Sunday and Monday -- Southerly flow will develop out ahead of this system which will result in increasing amounts of moisture along with mild temperatures.  As the low, trough and frontal boundaries approach the Northland there should be enough lift to generate scattered rain showers from Monday into Tuesday.  There's also a chance for a few thunderstorms as elevated instability increases especially Monday night and Tuesday, but there could even be a spotty thunderstorm or two Sunday or Monday especially in Southern portions of the area.

High temperatures on Sunday will be in the 40s and 50s with lows Sunday night mainly in the 30s.  Highs Monday and Tuesday will be in the 40s and 50s but a few locations could get up close to 60 degrees, it will be cooler though near Lake Superior.  Lows Monday night will be in the 30s and 40s.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

(March 9-14)

Above average temperatures are expected during the long range.  The overall weather pattern becomes more amplified/blocky in nature from the 9th-14th which could result in mostly dry/calm weather here in the Northland while stormy weather affects the Plains, Ohio Valley and Southern U.S.


Timing:  Until 9 PM CST Tonight.

.Tonight...  Areas of fog, drizzle and freezing drizzle with lingering light snow and flurries.  Additional snowfall accumulations less than 1".  Total event accumulations around 2-3".  Low 20 to 25.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph becoming north after midnight.

.Saturday...  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 33 to 38.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming west to southwest during the afternoon.

.Saturday night...  Mostly clear.  Low 22 to 27.  Wind south at 10 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 45 to 50.

.Sunday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 33 to 37.

.Monday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 40 to 45 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Monday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 35 to 40.

.Tuesday...  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  High 45 to 50 but cooler near Lake Superior especially during the morning.

Normal temperatures for Saturday

High:  30
Low:  13

Sunrise Saturday:  6:40 AM CST
Sunset Saturday:   6:01 PM CST