Saturday, March 26, 2016

March 26, 2016 Weather Report - More snow on the way tonight followed by melting snow and 40s for Easter Sunday. Snowfall reports from today included in this post

/Issued 6:05 PM CDT, Saturday, March 26, 2016/

Upper Midwest radar loop ending at 5:45 PM CDT today.  Source, WSI.

Pink=Mixed precipitation

Here's the snowfall accumulation forecast for tonight per 3 PM RAP model.  Note:  Computer models have shifted tonight's band of snow slightly more to the south meaning far Northwest Wisconsin is more in play vs the North Shore of Lake Superior which may not get much more than a dusting of additional snow tonight.  The Twin Ports appear to be on the border between a few inches of snow tonight or very little snow, thinking right now is will get around 1-2" of additional snow in Duluth and Superior tonight.

Water vapor satellite image from 5:30 PM CDT today, March 26, 2016 -- Low pressure over Western Iowa late this afternoon will track northeast into Western Wisconsin by early Sunday morning, then east from there (Storm track is the black line on the map)

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Snowfall report for March 26, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Note:  Totals listed below are from Friday night-Saturday morning (Ending at 10:45 AM today)

Ely, MN (St. Louis County)  3.1"
11 NNW of Whyte, MN (Lake County)  3.0"
6 NNW of Virginia, MN (St. Louis County)  3.0"
Embarrass, MN (St. Louis County)  3.0"
2 N of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  2.8"

Winton, MN (St. Louis County)  2.6"
Chisholm, MN (St. Louis County)  2.4"
3 NE of Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County)  2.2" Official NWS total.
1 N of Cloquet, MN (Carlton County)  2.0"
8 NNW of Coleraine, MN (Itasca County)  2.0"

2 NNW of Washburn, WI (Bayfield County)  1.5"
Wrenshall, MN (Carlton County)  1.4"
4 WNW of Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)  1.3"
Lutsen, MN (Cook County)  1.0"

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  March 26, 2016

A wintry day in parts of the Northland.  Low pressure of 1014mb was over Western Iowa late this afternoon with a frontal boundary extending from Southern Minnesota to Northern Wisconsin.  A band of snow or mixed rain and snow affected parts of East Central and Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin this morning with a few inches of slushy snow accumulation -- Precipitation tapered off a bit during the afternoon with just a few areas of lingering snow or mixed rain and snow in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  There's been some sunshine today in Northwest parts of the area while overcast skies were common elsewhere.  Highs today were in the 30s with 40s in far Southeast parts of Northwest Wisconsin.  Winds today were out of the east or northeast at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior.

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Tonight (March 26)

An area of low pressure will lift northeast from Western Iowa to West Central Wisconsin by daybreak.  This system will produce snow and rain tonight in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with the greatest chance for all snow occurring north of a line from Pine City to Hayward; Precipitation along and south of that line should be in the form of rain or a mixture of rain, wet snow and sleet.

Low temperatures will be in the 20s and 30s with north or east winds at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts continuing near Lake Superior.

Sunday and Sunday night (March 27)

Low pressure will move east out of Western Wisconsin tomorrow -- Lingering snow or rain is possible mainly tomorrow morning in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with generally dry conditions area-wide for Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, however, a weak system approaching from the northwest could go on to produce a few spotty showers during the afternoon-early evening hours in parts of Northern Minnesota.

Highs on Easter will be in the 30s and 40s with 50s even possible in far Western areas, lows Sunday night in the 20s and 30s.  Winds will be out of the north, east or west at 10 to 20 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

Monday through Wednesday (March 28-30)

Mainly dry on Monday with highs in the 40s to around 50 degrees with 30s near Lake Superior, lows Monday night will be in the 20s and 30s.  High pressure is forecast to extend from Ontario Province south through the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes on Monday.

Tuesday looks dry with rain possible by Tuesday night as a storm system develops over the Rockies.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the 40s and 50s with 30s near Lake Superior.  Lows Tuesday night will be in the 30s.

Low pressure is forecast to move out into the Central Plains on Wednesday -- This system could bring some rain or mixed rain and snow to the Nortland during the middle of the week.  Gusty east winds will also be possible near Lake Superior depending on the track of this storm.  Highs on Wednesday are expected to be in the 30s and 40s.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  High.

(March 31-April 4)

Snow or rain is possible on Thursday (31st) as low pressure passes south/east of the Northland.  Snow showers are possible on Friday-Saturday (April 1-2) This activity would be caused by a vigorous disturbance which digs southeast into the Upper Midwest, a shot of very cold air will follow as this system exits to the east.  Below average temperatures are forecast during the long range with the coldest temperatures expected from April 2-4 the way it looks now.


.Tonight...  Breezy with light snow.  New snowfall accumulations of around 1-2" possible.  Low 28 to 32.  Wind east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

.Easter Sunday...  Light snow possible early under mostly cloudy skies.  Some clearing developing during the afternoon.  High 39 to 44.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 27 to 32.  Wind variable around 10 mph.

.Monday...  Partly cloudy.  High 38 to 43.

.Monday night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Tuesday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 38 to 43.

.Tuesday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Low 30 to 33.

.Wednesday...  Rain or snow possible.  High 33 to 36.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  39
Low:   22

Sunrise Sunday:  6:57 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday:   7:32 PM CDT