Friday, March 18, 2016

March 18, 2016 Weather Report - A mild, wet and snowy March so far at Duluth, Minnesota; Seasonable temps this weekend with a bit of sunshine!

/Issued 5:11 PM CDT, Friday, March 18, 2016/

Flood warnings remain in effect in parts of the Northland -- More information below.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

NWS hazards map.  Flood warning (Green areas on map)  More information at the link below.

Flood warning --

March 2016 temperature departure map (Thru the 17th)  No surprise here, it's been a very mild month so far with temperature departures ranging from +6 to +15 degrees above average in the Northland.

It's also been a wet month so far.  Here's the departure from normal precipitation map for March (Thru the 17th)  Most of the Northland is running anywhere from 0.75 to 2.25" above normal.

Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Saturday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

...A warm, wet and snowy March so far at Duluth, Minnesota...  Stats below are from the Duluth Airport (March 1-17)

Average temperature:  32.2 degrees
Departure:  +9.0 degrees warmer than average

Precipitation total:  3.10"
Departure:  +2.34" above normal

Precipitation total since January 1st:  4.98"
Departure:  +2.45" above normal

Note:  Last year thru March 17th, 1.23" of precipitation had fallen -- +3.75" more precipitation this year vs. last year.

Snowfall total:  12.9"
Departure:  +4.5" above normal

Annual snowfall total:  67.1"
Departure:  -6.9" below normal

Note:  Last year thru March 17, 44.3" of snow had fallen -- +22.8" more snow this year vs. last year.

Note:  High temperature of 30 degrees at the Duluth Airport on March 17th was the first time since March 5th with a high temperature below 32 degrees -- A span of 11 consecutive days (6th-16th) with a high temperature above the freezing mark!

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  March 18, 2016

A blocked up weather pattern with an upper level low/trough covering portions of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest today with an upper level ridge to our north over Ontario and Manitoba Provinces.  Clouds were stubborn to leave today in most of the Northland as skies remained mostly cloudy, there has been clearing though in extreme Northern Minnesota and some clearing has also been working slowly southwest across Lake Superior this afternoon.  High temperatures were in the 20s and 30s with east or northeast winds at 5 to 15 mph but stronger winds in the 15 to 30 mph range have occurred near Lake Superior.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (March 18)

Partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Lows in the teens and 20s with single digits in parts of Northern Minnesota.  An area of high pressure will be centered to our north tonight with an easterly flow continuing south of that high -- East wind coming off Lake Superior could cause some lake effect flurries or light snow showers near the lake tonight but very little if any accumulation is expected.

Saturday and Saturday night (March 19)

A few areas of high pressure will extend from the Northern Plains to Eastern Canada.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies tomorrow with highs mainly in the 30s.  Partly cloudy skies Saturday night with lows in the teens and 20s.  East or north winds tomorrow at 10 to 15 mph with north or northwest winds tomorrow night at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

Sunday through Tuesday (March 20-22)

A cold front will move south out of Ontario Province and through the Northland on Sunday, a few flurries or snow showers are possible in far Northeast Minnesota as that front moves through.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 30s to around 40 degrees with lows Sunday night in the teens and 20s.

Dry on Monday with highs in the 30s and 40s, lows Monday night will be in the 20s and 30s.  There is a chance for some light snow by late Monday night in parts of Northern Minnesota as low pressure heads east into the Western High Plains and Northern Plains region.

Tuesday's weather could feature some light snow or possibly some mixed precipitation but whatever does fall doesn't look too significant at the moment.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the 30s and 40s.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

(March 23-28)

A few chances for light snow during the long range, the first chance is on the 23rd, the other one from the 25th-26th.  Note:  Certainly possible that a few inches of snow could accumulate in parts of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin during the middle of next week although right now a significant amount of snow looks unlikely.  Below average temperatures are forecast from the 23rd-28th.


.Tonight...  Considerable cloudiness.  Breezy.  Scattered flurries possible.  Low 16 to 21.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday...  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 28 to 33.  Wind east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 20 to 25.  Wind becoming northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 35 to 40.

.Sunday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 15 to 20.

.Monday...  Partly cloudy.  High 35 to 40.

Monday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Tuesday...  Mostly cloudy.  High 30 to 35.

Normal temperatures for Saturday

High:  35
Low:  19

Sunrise Saturday:  7:13 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday:   7:21 PM CDT