Saturday, February 28, 2015

February 28, 2015 Weather Report - Unofficial end to winter just hours away! Latest on Tuesday's snow event - heaviest snow south of Duluth/Superior; Lots of winter stats in this post

/Issued 4:23 PM CST, Saturday, February 28, 2015/

March comes in like a lamb! Enjoy!  By the way, this isn't my picture; not sure who took this picture, just did a google search.
















Not much has changed with Tuesday's snow system.  Blue outlined area on the map is where I think the heavier snowfall totals will be on Tuesday (4-5"+ totals)  We should get some snow farther north here in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with probably about 1" to maybe as much as 3-4" in a few spots with those higher totals setting up in East Central Minnesota and Northwestern Wisconsin.  Not a big storm for us, but could be enough snow to cause some travel problems on Tuesday.
















Note:  The unofficial end to winter 2014-15 is just hours away! Most of you already know that I prefer the spring and summer months over winter, so for me the next several months are the best months of the year.  I do love snow though, but could do without extreme cold.  We didn't get much snow here in Duluth this winter, so all in all I'd say this was a very boring/disappointing winter.

*Meteorological winter runs from December 1-February 28.

Comparing this winter to last winter temperature stats for Duluth, Minnesota - Airport location

2014-15:  Total number of zero or below zero low temperatures:  37
2013-14:  Total number of zero or below zero low temperatures:  66

Breaking it down further; month to month for the winter of 2014-15:

Number of zero or below zero low temperatures

December 2014:  5 nights
January 2015:  12 nights
February 2015:  20 nights

*Heaviest daily snowfall total this winter:  3.4" on February 10.  Yes, that's right Duluth's heaviest daily snowfall total this winter was just 3.4".  Pathetic!  Note:  Last winter's heaviest daily snowfall total was much more impressive at 10.9" which came on February 20.

*Duluth had 11 one inch or greater snowfall events this winter compared to 20 one inch or greater snowfall events last winter.

Weather Summary for February 28, 2015
Location:  Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Not a bad late February day.  Sunshine was in abundance across Northwest Wisconsin and Eastern Minnesota while clouds increased across North Central Minnesota.  Highs ranged from the upper teens to mid 20s.  Winds were out of the south or southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 28)

A cold front will move east into the Upper Midwest Tonight.  Skies will become mostly cloudy area-wide and some light snow showers and flurries are possible as well but accumulations will be less than an inch.  Lows will be in the single digits below to teens above zero with a few teens below possible in far Northern Minnesota.  Winds will be out of the south or southwest at 10 to around 20 mph.

Sunday and Sunday Night (March 1)

March comes in like a lamb.  A cold front moves off to our south/east while high pressure moves in from the west.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast Tomorrow with a few flurries possible.  Clear to partly cloudy skies for Sunday Night.  Highs on Sunday will be in the teens and 20s with lows Sunday Night in the single digits below to single digits above zero.  Winds will be out of the west or northwest at 10 to around 20 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Monday through Wednesday (March 2-4)

High pressure moves off to the east on Monday while low pressure to our northwest and southwest begin to affect the Northland from Monday Night through Tuesday.  This system should bring some snow to most of the area during the Monday Night-Tuesday time frame.  Accumulations don't look overly impressive though, probably will end up in the 1-4" range with the higher amounts setting up in parts of Northwest Wisconsin the way it looks now.  An arctic airmass moves in on Wednesday behind the early week weather system.

High temperatures will be in the 20s on Monday.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the teens and 20s.  Highs on Wednesday will only be in the single digits to lower teens.

Low temperatures Monday Night will mainly be in the teens.  Lows Tuesday Night will be in the single digits and teens below zero.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  High.

(March 5-10)

Below average temperatures on Thursday (5th) After that, near to below average temperatures from the 6th-10th.  After mid-week it looks like will stay away from any major cold snaps -- at least for a little while.  No major storms during the long range, but a weak system or two will pass through the region but not looking for much in the way of precipitation at this time.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Becoming mostly cloudy.  Flurries or light snow showers possible.  Low 5 to 10.  Wind southwest at 10 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Afternoon flurries possible.  High 20 to 25.  Wind west at 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 2 to 7.  Wind west to southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

.Monday...  Partly cloudy.  High 20 to 25.

.Monday Night...  Clouding up.  Light snow possible late.  Low 12 to 17.

.Tuesday...  Light snow possible.  Mostly cloudy.  Total snowfall accumulations of up to 2" possible.  High 20 to 25.

.Tuesday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  Low 3 below to 8 below.

.Wednesday...  Mostly sunny.  High 5 to 10.

Normal temperatures for Saturday

High:  29
Low:  11

Sunrise Sunday:  6:49 AM CST
Sunset Sunday:   5:54 PM CST

Tim