Monday, February 23, 2015

February 23, 2015 Weather Report - Windy! Milder temperatures Tonight and Tuesday

/Issued 2:27 PM CST, Monday, February 23, 2015/

How much snow Tonight?  Here's one model's prediction -- this is the HopWRF model 18z run.  Generally a half inch or less south of Highway 2, including the Twin Ports.  Possibly 1-2" north of Highway 2, including the Iron Range, Arrowhead, and Borderland areas.  In other words another wimpy snow event, but use caution on the roads as they may become snow covered and slippery in a few spots.

Low temperature report for This Morning, February 23, 2015
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

3 SE of Cotton, MN:  -35F
Linden Grove, MN:  -35F
Embarrass, MN:  -34F
4 W of Grand Portage, MN:  -33F
Crane Lake, MN:  -31F
8 WNW of Minong, WI:  -31F
Kettle River, MN:  -30F
Littlefork, MN:  -28F
3 E of Orr, MN:  -28F
Togo, MN:  -28F
Bigfork, MN:  -26F
Brainerd, MN:  -26F
1 NNE of Hermantown, MN:  -25F
Cook, MN:  -25F
International Falls, MN:  -24F
Phillips, WI:  -24F
Hayward, WI:  -24F
Glidden, WI:  -23F
Silver Bay, MN:  -22F
2 SW of Proctor, MN:  -20F
Cloquet, MN:  -20F
Two Harbors, MN:  -20F
Duluth, MN (NWS)  -20F

Weather Summary for February 23, 2015
Location:  Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Rapid changes in the weather are occurring Today as arctic high pressure exits to the south/southeast while low pressure approaches from Northwestern Ontario.  Afternoon meso-analysis shows widespread 4-5mb/2 hour pressure falls across the Northland.  500mb heights have come up to 534-540 meters while 850mb temperatures have climbed into the -10C to -14C range.  Were also seeing surface temperatures rise Today with late Afternoon temperatures in the single digits and teens with the coolest readings found in southern parts of Northwest Wisconsin, so the warming is coming in from the NW, something you don't see too often.  Sky conditions ranged from partly to mostly cloudy Today.  Radar has been showing some snow Today but very little has been reaching the ground.  Winds Today were out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts over 30 mph.

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 23)

A strong area of low pressure averaging 990mb will move into Northern Ontario Tonight.  A warm front and cold front attached to this low will pass through the Northland.  This system will bring a bit of snow to the area Tonight.  Lows will range from the single digits to the lower 20s with southwest or west winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts of 25 to around 40 mph possible.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night (February 24)

Low pressure tracks into Eastern Canada during this period.  A few snow showers or flurries are possible on Tuesday but I think most of the area will be dry Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night.  Highs will be in the teens and 20s with lows in the single digits, teens, and 20s below.  Winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Wednesday through Friday (February 25-27)

Looks mainly dry from mid to late week.  Highs are forecast to be in the single digits to low teens on Wednesday and mainly in the single digits for Thursday and Friday.  Lows Wednesday Night and Thursday Night will be in the single digits, teens, and 20s below.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  High.

(February 28-March 5)

Not a lot of change.  Expect a continuation of below average temperatures with no major storms around here.  Might get a light dusting of snow sometime Saturday Night/Sunday (28th-1st) but this doesn't look like a real big deal at this point.


.Tonight...  Windy.  Considerable cloudiness.  Light snow and flurries developing.  Snowfall accumulations less than 1".  Low 9 to 14 with slowly rising temperatures during the night.  Wind southwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 mph.

.Tuesday...  Breezy.  Flurries possible early.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 18 to 23.  Wind northwest at 15 to 25 mph.

.Tuesday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 5 below to 10 below.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Wednesday...  Partly cloudy.  High 5 to 10.

.Wednesday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 10 below to 15 below.

.Thursday...  Partly cloudy.  High 5 to 10.

.Thursday Night...  Mostly clear.  Low 5 below to 10 below.

.Friday...  Partly cloudy.  High 10 to 15.

Normal temperatures for Tuesday

High:  27
Low:    9

Sunrise Tuesday:  6:58 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday:   5:47 PM CST