Friday, June 11, 2010

6/11/10: Friday's Weather Report

Issued at 3:40 PM CDT, Friday, June 11th, 2010

Another large complex of rain/thunderstorms affected much of Minnesota Thursday Night and Friday. Here are some rainfall totals around Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Source NWS Duluth and Chanhassen MN.

Note: Rainfall totals through early This Afternoon.

9 miles North of Brule WI (Douglas County) 1.36"

Moose Lake MN (Carlton County) 1.13"

Saginaw MN (St. Louis County) 1.03"

Proctor MN (St. Louis County) 2.12"

Phillips WI (Price County) 1.38"

Oulu WI (Bayfield County) 1.03"

Danbury WI (Burnett County) 1.05"

Clam Lake WI (Ashland County) 1.01"

Glidden WI (Ashland County) 1.00"

Hayward WI (Sawyer County) 1.39"

Minong WI (Washburn County) 1.21"

Spooner WI (Washburn County) 1.04"

4 miles North of Grantsburg WI (Burnett County) 1.00"

Redwood Falls MN: 3.23"

Blue Earth MN: 1.42"

Delano MN: 2.85"

Fairmont MN: 1.53"

Owatonna MN: 1.38"

Willmar MN: 3.12"

Note: Rainfall totals through around 7 AM CDT Today

International Falls MN (Koochiching County) 0.49"

Brainerd MN (Crow Wing County) 0.10"

Hayward WI (Sawyer County) 0.14"

Kabetogama MN (St. Louis County) 0.30"

Littlefork MN (Koochiching County) 0.43"

Bruno MN (Pine County) 0.23"

Hinckley MN (Pine County) 0.17"

Gurney WI (Iron County) 0.11"

Sarona WI (Washburn County) 0.25"

Weather tidbits:

*The past 19 days (5/23-6/10/10) has had 5.73" of rain at Duluth, MN (Airport location)

*8/11 days in June has had at least a trace of rainfall at Duluth, MN.

*The first 11 days of June 2010 has had more rain compared to what we had all of June 2009 (1.81")

*Only two days so far in June 2010 with a maximum temperature of at least 70 degrees at Duluth, MN.

*June 2009 featured 11 days with a maximum temperature of at least 70 degrees at Duluth, MN and 6 days with a maximum temperature of at least 80 degrees.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today's Weather:

Low pressure of 1005 mb was centered in the Southwest half of Wisconsin (between Arcadia and La Crosse) late Today with a a secondary low averaging 1008 mb just north of Minneapolis Minnesota. A warm front was over across Southern Wisconsin This Afternoon where temperatures in the 80s and dewpoints in the upper 60s/mid 70s along with strong southerly winds were in place Today while a cold front was sinking south through Southern Minnesota. The large complex of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms which tracked northeast through all of Northwest Wisconsin, Eastcentral and Northeast Minnesota Today has exited to our E/NE late This Afternoon with just some pockets of light rain and drizzle lingering in portions of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin late Today. A very moist airmass was in place across our area Today with PWS as of 3 PM ranging from 1.30"-1.50" with 850 mb td's of +8/+13 degrees C. Overcast skies and unseasonably cool temperatures were found in our area Today with highs only in the mid 50s to lower 60s with upper 40s common at the head of Lake Superior. 850 mb temperatures as of 3 PM ranged from +8/+14 degrees C across Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Winds Today were out of the north or east at 5-15 mph, but much stronger winds of 15-30 mph with gusts up to 40-50 mph did occur near Lake Superior. Note: There have been a few reports of downed trees and power lines in Duluth Today due to the high winds.

Today's 500 mb analysis:

Southwest flow aloft covered the Upper Midwest Today per water vapor satellite imagery. Upper level ridge covered the Southern-Eastern U.S. with an upper level trough across the Western U.S. Unusually strong upper level winds (100-120 knots) extended from Central Oregon to Central California with another area of strong upper level winds (110-130 knots) over parts of Northern Ontario Province through Central Quebec Province per RUC model analysis. An upper level low (588 meters) was tracking northeast through Eastern Missouri/Southwest Illinois Today per water vapor satellite imagery/RUC model analysis. This warm-core system has been responsible in the flooding rains that have occurred during the past few days in portions of Texas and Arkansas. Note: As many as 10 deaths were reported in Arkansas Thursday Night due to the flooding.

Tonight:

Areas of drizzle could linger most of the night, especially near Lake Superior where some fog is also possible. The rest of our area should be mainly dry Tonight, but a few showers can't be ruled out in Southern areas. Mostly cloudy skies will cover our area Tonight with patchy fog possible. Lows Tonight will be in the 40s and 50s with north or east winds at 5-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph continuing especially This Evening near Lake Superior.

Saturday and Saturday Night:

A stationary front will be centered well to our south-southeast through Tomorrow Night. Another low pressure disturbance is forecast to track E-NE out of the Rockies and across the Upper Midwest during this period. Another round of rain-showers should develop and spread E/NE into parts of Northeast and Eastcentral Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night, although rain amounts Tomorrow should be much less compared to what we saw Today. Rain should end from west to east Saturday Night the way it looks now. Partly sunny-mostly cloudy skies are expected on Saturday with highs in the 50s and 60s. Partly-mostly cloudy skies are forecast for Saturday Night with lows in the 40s and 50s. Winds during this period will be out of the north or east at 5-15 mph.

Extended Forecast:

The frontal boundary currently over Southern Minnesota will sag south into the Central Plains this weekend while an upper level trough approaches the Upper Midwest from Central Canada. At this time it appears that Sunday and Sunday Night will be generally free of any rain, although a few showers can't be ruled out in Northern and Southeast parts of our local area. A slight chance for showers will also exist for Monday and Monday Night across Northern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. High temperatures Sunday and Monday will be in the 50s and 60s with lows Sunday Night and Monday Night in the 40s and 50s.

5 Day Forecast for Duluth/Superior

.Tonight... Windy This Evening. Patchy drizzle and fog. Mostly cloudy. Low 46 to 51. Wind east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts from 25 to 35 mph This Evening.

.Saturday... Considerable cloudiness. Showers possible. High 56 to 61. Wind northeast at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

.Saturday Night... Showers possible early. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 47 to 52. Wind north to northeast at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

.Sunday... Partly sunny. High 60 to 65.

.Sunday Night... Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 47 to 52.

.Monday... Partly sunny. High 60 to 65.

.Monday Night... Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 46 to 51.

.Tuesday... Partly sunny. High 60 to 65.

Normal High Temperature Today 70 degrees

Normal Low Temperature Today 47 degrees

Tim