18z NAM 3km
Check out these dew points from earlier this afternoon. 50+ degree dew points in Duluth with even muggier dew points in the low 60s around the Twin Cities area. Summer can't be far away!
Tuesday's system is still on track to bring widespread rain to northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. There could be just enough cold air over far northern Minnesota for a possible rain/snow mix but this system looks mostly like a rain event.
Tonight's low temperature forecast. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov
Sunday's high temperature forecast. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov
Weather Tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota
-So far this month the high temperature at the Airport has reached at least 50 degrees on 13/15 days. There's been 4 days so far this month with a high temperature of at least 60 degrees.
-April 2017 is running ~8.0 degrees warmer than average.
-For the first time in 2017 the high temperature reached 70 degrees at the Airport. The average date for the first 70 degree high temperature is April 21st (1981-2010 average) In 2016, the first 70 was on April 16th; In 2015, the first 70 was on April 12th. So the last 3 years the first 70 degree temperature has occurred a little earlier than usual but not too far away from the average date.
*Local Storm Reports for April 15, 2017*
*4:25 PM: HAIL. 0.25 inch. Crosby, MN 1 SSE (Crow Wing County) Pea size hail covering the grass and ditches.
*4:25 PM: HAIL. 0.25 inch. Riverton, MN 1 SSW (Crow Wing County)
*4:20 PM: HAIL. 0.25 inch. Ironton, MN 2 S (Crow Wing County) Pea size hail covering the road.
*4:08 PM: HAIL. 0.25 inch. Brainerd, MN 2 NNW (Crow Wing County) Hail duration was about 3 minutes.
*Rainfall reports from Friday night-Saturday (Ending around 4 PM Saturday)
Barnes, WI: 0.59 in
Minong, WI: 0.55 in
Siren, WI: 0.54 in
Hayward, WI: 0.31 in
Clam Lake, WI: 0.23 in
Glidden, WI: 0.16 in
Phillips, WI: 0.14 in
Hinckley, MN: 0.14 in
Ashland, WI: 0.12 in
Brainerd, MN: 0.10 in
Weather Synopsis for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Temperatures were well above average today especially over northern Minnesota where the least amount of clouds/rain were found today -- Highs in these areas climbed into the mid 60s to low 70s! Northwest Wisconsin was socked in by overcast skies most of the day with occasional showers and a few thunderstorms with brief downpours and some lightning occurring with that activity, temperatures in northwest Wisconsin were still mild although cooler than in areas farther west with highs generally in the 50s to around 60 degrees.
There is a cold front which was over central Minnesota late this afternoon -- This front will move off to the east, clearing the Northland by late tonight. Some weak instability characterized by CAPE of around 100 j/kg, Lifted Indices around -1 C and mid level lapse rates ~7.0 c/km are in place ahead of this cold frontal boundary late this afternoon, and this has helped to produce an area of showers and embedded thunderstorms in central Minnesota, this activity will likely continue to move off to the east this evening affecting eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
For Easter Sunday will have a mix of sun and clouds across the Northland with a risk for a few showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Another cold front will move N-S through the area Sunday afternoon/evening with a pool of colder temperatures aloft sitting over the area, this plus some warmer temperatures near the surface will help build up some instability on Sunday, and this could help to generate some spotty showers over the Northland Sunday or Sunday evening.
Lows tonight ranging from the 30s to lower 40s with highs Sunday in the 50s in northern Minnesota with mid 50s to low 60s in east central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
Could be a few rain or snow showers in far northeast Minnesota early Monday morning otherwise Monday looks fairly pleasant with dry conditions as high pressure moves over the area. Highs Monday are expected to be in the 40s and 50s.
Note: I'm keeping an eye on two weather systems that could bring widespread precipitation to the Northland -- The first one is on Tuesday, the second one could affect parts of the area sometime between Wednesday night-Friday morning, this second system looks to track farther south than the first one so it remains to be seen if will get any precipitation or not with that latter system, if that late week system does track far enough to the north, then there could be some snow along with the rain.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight... Partly to mostly cloudy. Occasional showers possible. Low 40 to 45. Wind becoming north at 5 to 15 mph.
.Easter Sunday... Low clouds or fog possible early. Partly to mostly cloudy. Turning breezy. Spotty afternoon showers, an isolated thunderstorm also possible. High 57 to 62. Wind east around 10 mph becoming west at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible.
Normal temperatures for Sunday
Sunrise Sunday: 6:19 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday: 7:59 PM CDT