Sunday, January 22, 2017

A dangerous afternoon-evening ahead in parts of the southeast U.S.; Severe weather and tornado outbreak likely

/Issued 11:07 AM CST, Sunday, January 22, 2017/

Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

According to @AriWeather this is the first High Risk for Georgia since 2009; And for Florida the first high risk since the Storm Prediction Center started issuing these categorical outlooks.














Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/














Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

More information at this link http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0112.html
















Late morning water vapor satellite image; Mesoanalysis.  Source:  http://weather.cod.edu/

A dangerous setup in place for a severe weather/tornado outbreak through this evening in parts of the southeast U.S.

Upper level winds ~140 knots punching in from Texas; Mid level winds ~100 knots spreading NE out of the Gulf of Mexico; Another pocket of strong winds aloft (~120 knots over north Georgia) Strengthening low level jet 40-60 knots from the south -- All this combined with a deepening surface low, a strong upper low, and a warm front spells big time trouble through this evening.
















Source:  http://weather.graphics/

15z HRRR model valid for the mid-late afternoon hours of today, graphic from Weatherbell.
















Tim