Sunday, November 6, 2016

More record warmth today; Lots of warm weather stats in this post. A few showers possible Monday, slightly cooler but still well above normal

/Issued 5:58 PM CST, Sunday, November 6, 2016/

Source:  http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/















Computer models continue to show cooler temperatures late this week with 1 or maybe 2 days featuring temperatures that are closer to average for November, nothing terribly cold but certainly a lot cooler than what we have experienced lately.
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















Monday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















Temperature departure map for the week of October 30, 2016.  Source:  http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/
















Precipitation departure map for the week of October 30th, 2016.  Source:  http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/
















High temperature reports for November 5, 2016
Source:  http://www.weather.gov/dlh/

Duluth, MN:  70 F
International Falls, MN:  68 F
Brainerd, MN:  71 F
Hibbing, MN:  68 F
Ashland, WI:  72 F
Hayward, WI:  71 F
Two Harbors, MN:  70 F
Silver Bay, MN:  70 F
Ely, MN:  68 F
Orr, MN:  70 F
Cook, MN:  68 F
Bigfork, MN:  70 F
Longville, MN:  72 F
Pine River, MN:  72 F
Aitkin, MN:  73 F
Moose Lake, MN:  70 F
Cloquet, MN:  68 F
McGregor, MN:  70 F
Superior, WI:  68 F
Siren, WI:  72 F
Phillips, WI:  68 F

Weather Tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota

*Average temperature from November 1-5, 2016:  48.0 degrees; +12.6 degrees above normal.  Note:  The warmest November 1-5 on record was in 1975 with an average temperature of 50.5 degrees.

*Warmest maximum temperature on record for the period November 1-5, 2016.  The average high temperature from November 1-5 was 61.4 degrees which makes the first 5 days of November 2016 the warmest in history in the high temperature department.

*Today was the second day in a row with a high temperature of 70 degrees.  November 2016 joins November 1903 with the only Novembers on record dating back to 1874 with back to back 70 degree high temperatures.

More Weather Tidbits:

*International Falls, Minnesota hit 70 degrees today, November 6, 2016 -- This is only the 3rd November in history to record a temperature of 70 degrees.  The other two Novembers that produced a 70 degree temperature are 1999 and 1975.  Note:  Records at International Falls go back to 1895.

*The high temperature of 71 degrees today, November 6, 2016 at International Falls, Minnesota is the 3rd warmest temperature on record during the month of November -- Records go back to 1895.  Note:  The warmest November temperature on record is 73 degrees set in 1975.  2nd warmest is 72 degrees set in 1999.

Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

October 30-November 5, 2016

High temperatures:

*=Tied or broke the daily record high temperature.

10/30:  44 F/-1 degree below normal
10/31:  55 F/+11 degrees above normal
11/1:  56 F/+12 degrees above normal
11/2:  59 F/+16 degrees above normal
11/3:  53 F/+10 degrees above normal
*11/4:  69 F/+27 degrees above normal
*11/5:  70 F/+28 degrees above normal

Low temperatures:

10/30:  36 F/+6 degrees above normal
10/31:  39 F/+9 degrees above normal
11/1:  37 F/+8 degrees above normal
11/2:  32 F/+3 degrees above normal
11/3:  35 F/+7 degrees above normal
11/4:  34 F/+6 degrees above normal
11/5:  35 F/+8 degrees above normal

Total Precipitation:  0.09"
Normal:  0.52"
Departure:  -0.43" below normal

*Record Events*

Duluth, Minnesota:  Record high temperature of 70 degrees today, November 6, 2016.  The old record was 66 degrees set in 1916.

International Falls, Minnesota:  Record high temperature of 71 degrees today, November 6, 2016.  The old record was 65 degrees set in 1975.

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Another day featuring unseasonably warm temperatures in the Northland.  Highs today were in the upper 60s to lower 70s which is 20-30 degrees above average.  Skies were generally sunny and winds were out of the south or southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph.  Some cold air advection (If you can call it that) has actually been approaching from the south this afternoon with 2 PM 850mb temperatures ranging from +14 C in far northern Minnesota to +10 C in central/southern Minnesota but this has had no affect on surface temperatures.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 6)

Clear skies this evening will give way to partly to mostly cloudy skies later in the night.  Could be some patchy drizzle or showers after midnight but this doesn't look like it would be big deal.  Low temperatures in the 40s to around 50 degrees with south or southwest winds at 5 to 15 mph.

Monday (November 7)

A cold front will move through the Northland on Monday -- More clouds compared to recent days but there should still be at least a little bit of sunshine at times.  A few showers are possible tomorrow as that cold front moves through but this shouldn't be a big deal.  Highs on Monday in the 50s and 60s with lows Monday night in the 30s and 40s.  Winds out of the south or southwest at 10 to 20 mph on Monday, shifting to the northwest Monday night at 10 to 20 mph.  Note:  Higher wind gusts are possible Monday and Monday night.

.Extended Forecast...

Tuesday (November 8)

Cooler, yes, but still above average on Tuesday with highs in the 40s and 50s.  High pressure builds into the Upper Midwest resulting in dry weather for our area.  Lows Tuesday night will be in the 30s to around 40 degrees.

Wednesday (November 9)

Upper level ridge builds back into the northern Plains and Upper Midwest.  Dry on Wednesday with highs in the 50s, maybe getting into the low 60s in western portions of the area.

Note:  Another cold front moves through later this week but not much precipitation with that one.  It does look cooler with temperatures possibly near average for a change on Friday and perhaps lingering into Saturday (11th-12)  Average would be highs in the 30s and 40s with lows in the 20s.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly clear this evening.  Partly to mostly cloudy late.  Low 45 to 50.  Wind south to southwest at 10 to 15 mph.

.Monday...  Considerable cloudiness.  A few showers possible.  Record or near record warmth possible.  High 59 to 64.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Note:  Record high temperature for November 7th is 65 degrees set in 1874.  2nd warmest is 62 degrees set in 1949.  3rd warmest is 61 degrees set in 1983.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  40
Low:   27

Sunrise Monday:  7:00 AM CST
Sunset Monday:   4:43 PM CST

Tim