Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Mild temperatures continue Wed-Thu; Storm late this week with rain turning to snow (Heavy snow accumulations possible in parts of the Northland on Fri) Much colder this weekend

/Issued 5:00 PM CST, Tuesday, November 15, 2016/

Map below is the Simulated Infrared Satellite image valid at 6 PM Friday, November 18, 2016.  Source:  http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/















Updated storm track/impacts map.

Map made at 3:40 PM CST, Tuesday, November 15, 2016.















The link below will take you to the National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota Winter Storm Briefing.

http://www.weather.gov/media/dlh/briefings/11.15.16%20Winter%20Storm%20Briefing.pdf

Source:  http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Red=70% probability for at least 4" of snow.
Green=40% probability for at least 4 of snow.
Blue=10% probability for at least 4" of snow.
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















Wednesday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















It is winter weather awareness week in Minnesota and Wisconsin.  Source:  http://www.weather.gov/dlh

Learn more about Winter Weather Terms, Preparation, Travel Safety, Cold Weather Safety and Indoor Weather Safety by clicking on the link below.

http://www.weather.gov/dlh/winterweekday1

Rainfall reports for November 15, 2016
Source:  http://mesowest.utah.edu/

Grand Marais, MN:  0.14"
Grand Portage, MN:  0.12"
Isabella, MN:  0.12"
Ely, MN:  0.09"
Duluth, MN (Airport)  0.09"

Silver Bay, MN:  0.08"
Two Harbors, MN:  0.08"
Orr, MN:  0.08"
Phillips, WI:  0.06"
Kabetogama, MN:  0.05"

Ashland, WI:  0.04"
Moose Lake, MN:  0.04"
Hill City, MN:  0.04"
Glidden, WI:  0.04"
Chisholm-Hibbing, MN:  0.04"
Clam Lake, WI:  0.04"
International Falls, MN:  0.02"

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

An area of low pressure and a fairly potent disturbance was moving east across western Ontario Province this afternoon, a cold front attached to the surface low was making its way through the Northland this afternoon.  Finally got some precipitation in the area this morning as scattered rain showers moved through the Northland -- Sky conditions started out mainly overcast but clearing did occur this afternoon in all but far northeast Minnesota and in parts of northwest Wisconsin.  Unseasonably mild temperatures continued today with highs in the mid 40s to mid/upper 50s.  Winds were out of the southwest or northwest at 10 to around 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 15)

High pressure settles into the Upper Midwest behind a cold front which will move off to the east this evening.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies with patchy fog across the area tonight with lows in the 20s and 30s.  Winds out of the west at 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday (November 16)

A few showers are possible on Wednesday in northern Minnesota thanks to an area of low pressure which will move into the northern Plains.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs in the 40s and 50s.  Lows Wednesday night in the 30s to lower 40s.  Winds will be out of the south or east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Extended Forecast...

Thursday (November 17)

An area of low pressure is forecast to move out into the central Plains on Thursday -- Rain should increase in coverage in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin especially by Thursday night.  The rain could become mixed with snow Overnight in western-northwest portions of the area.

Highs on Thursday will be in the 40s with lows Thursday night ranging from the 30s in northern Minnesota to the 40s in northwest Wisconsin.

Friday (November 18)

A strong area of low pressure is forecast to move northeast into central Iowa Friday morning, central Wisconsin Friday afternoon and then into eastern Lake Superior early Saturday morning.

Colder air on the back side of the low will cause the rain to change to snow from west-east across the Northland -- The changeover occurs first in western areas, and then will advance east during the afternoon.

Snow could be heavy at times Friday or Friday evening in north central and northeast Minnesota with 1-2" per hour snowfall rates possible.

Note:  A slight deviation in the storm track is possible during the next 24 hours, and this could shift where the heavier snow band sets up.  Stay tuned!

Gusty winds will also occur with this storm on Friday with northerly winds of 15 to 25 mph.  Areas of blowing and drifting snow are expected to develop over parts of the Northland.  Expect hazardous driving conditions once the snow begins and accumulates on road surfaces.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Patchy fog possible.  Low 30 to 35.  Wind becoming west at 10 to 15 mph.

.Wednesday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 46 to 51.  Wind southeast at 5 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for Wednesday

High:  35
Low:   22

Sunrise Wednesday:  7:14 AM CST
Sunset Wednesday:   4:33 PM CST

Tim