Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Dreary weather continues; Little bit of snow possible on Sunday

/Issued 5:20 PM CST, Wednesday, November 30, 2016/

Source:  18z GFS model; http://weather.cod.edu/

Temperatures from early this afternoon.















An active week for severe weather.  Storm reports maps from November 27-30, 2016.  Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

Red dots=Tornado reports
Blue dots=Wind reports
Green dots=Hail reports





















































The last few days have certainly turned a lot more active in terms of severe weather in parts of the U.S.

Warnings map for the U.S. for this week but not including today's warnings.

Red polygons=Tornado warning
Dark blue polygons=Severe thunderstorm warning

Source:  http://www.nws.noaa.gov/regsci/gis/week.html












Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















Thursday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















Weather Tidbits:

*Record Low Pressure for North Dakota in November - On November 28th the barometer dropped to 28.77" of mercury at Gwinner; Also 28.78" of mercury at Fargo and Wahpeton.  The previous record low North Dakota pressure 28.90" of mercury on November 17, 1958 at Fargo.  Source:  https://twitter.com/NWSBismarck

*High temperature of -21 F at Fairbanks, Alaska on November 29th ended a record 658 day stretch with highs above -10 F.  The previous record was 346 days from December 17, 2000 through November 27, 2001.  Source:  https://twitter.com/NWSFairbanks

*5 deaths reported from tornadoes in the Southeast U.S. on Tuesday - https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/11/30/last-nights-deadly-tornadoes-were-a-big-uptick-in-an-otherwise-quiet-season/?utm_term=.be0229ae4971

*45 preliminary filtered tornado reports and 213 severe weather reports in the U.S. from November 27th-30th.  Source:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/

*Today is the 9th day in a row with a high temperature 32 F or warmer at Duluth, Minnesota (November 22-30)

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

More gloomy weather today with overcast skies along with occasional light rain, drizzle and wet snow.  Highs were in the 30s with north or northeast winds at 10 to 15 mph.  Surface map late this afternoon had a broad area of low pressure covering the Great Lakes.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 30)

Light rain, wet snow and drizzle will linger tonight under mostly cloudy skies.  Lows will be in the 20s to lower 30s with north or northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday (December 1)

Will start off the month of December with cooler temperatures compared to recent days but highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s is still a few degrees above average for this time of year.  Skies will remain mostly cloudy with some snow showers or flurries possible.  Lows Thursday night will mainly be in the 20s.  Winds will be out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Synopsis:  Low pressure will continue to move slowly off to the east through Thursday night while high pressure builds south into the northern Plains.

.Extended Forecast...

Friday and Saturday (December 2-3)

Looks mainly dry at the moment for Friday and Saturday with highs close to the 30 degree mark both days with lows Friday night in the 20s to around 30 degrees -- So still mild as we open December with the overnight lows well above the average.

Note:  There is a chance for a little bit of snow in the Northland on Sunday (4th) as a low pressure disturbance approaches from the W/NW.

Note:  The computer models have been waffling around a lot for next week in whether or not there will be a storm, and if there is what the track will be.  There is potential for a decent system sometime between December 6th-10th but the track and strength is very uncertain right now.  A lot of snow or rain is possible where ever this storm decides to go.  Stay tuned!

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Rain showers and drizzle.  Some wet snow also possible away from Lake Superior.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 29 to 34.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday...  Mostly cloudy.  High 29 to 34.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for Thursday

High:  27
Low:   14

Sunrise Thursday:  7:33 AM CST
Sunset Thursday:   4:22 PM CST

Tim