Sunday, November 13, 2016

Clouds and 40s Monday; A few rain showers possible late Monday night-Tuesday; Storm potential Nov 17-19 (Rain/Snow/Wind) Much colder temperatures next weekend

/Issued 3:57 PM CST, Sunday, November 13, 2016/

Source:  http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

7-day precipitation forecast valid through Sunday, November 20, 2016.















Here's the latest on the late week storm.  Adjustments to the storm track, timing and where the rain-snow line sets up are likely in coming days.















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















Monday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/



















Temperature departure map for the week of November 6th.  Source:  http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/

No surprise here, an absolute blowtorch across the Northland last week.















Precipitation departure map for the week of November 6th.  Source:  http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/

Bone dry across the Northland last week.















Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

November 6-12, 2016

High temperatures:

*=Tied or broke record high temperature

11/6:  *70 F/+29 degrees above normal
11/7:  61 F/+21 degrees above normal
11/8:  56 F/+16 degrees above normal
11/9:  61 F/+22 degrees above normal
11/10:  *64 F/+25 degrees above normal
11/11:  46 F/+8 degrees above normal
11/12:  53 F/+15 degrees above normal

Low temperatures:

11/6:  45 F/+18 degrees above normal
11/7:  46 F/+19 degrees above normal
11/8:  36 F/+10 degrees above normal
11/9:  33 F/+7 degrees above normal
11/10:  42 F/+17 degrees above normal
11/11:  31 F/+6 degrees above normal
11/12:  32 F/+8 degrees above normal

Total precipitation:  0.00"
Normal:  0.53"
Departure:  -0.53" below normal

*Record Event*

Record high temperature today, November 13th at International Falls, Minnesota.  New record 63 degrees.  Old record 61 degrees in 1981.

Note:  Duluth, Minnesota had its 3rd warmest November 13th on record today with a high temperature of 59 degrees.  2nd warmest is 60 degrees in 2001.  Warmest is 67 degrees in 1999.

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Still unseasonably warm, sunny, dry with a gusty southwest wind today.  Low pressure has been moving through Ontario Province today, a cold front attached to this low is moving east across Minnesota this afternoon.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 13)

Clear skies this evening will give way to partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight.  Lows in the 30s to lower 40s with west/southwest winds becoming north/northwest late.  A cold front will pass through the area tonight, exiting to the south/east toward daybreak.

Monday (November 14)

Mostly cloudy skies on Monday with highs mainly in the 40s.  Might be some light drizzle around Lake Superior tomorrow morning otherwise it looks dry through Monday evening.

By late Monday night low pressure along with a warm front and cold front approach from the west -- This system could bring a few rain showers to parts of the area by late Monday night.  Lows tomorrow night will be in the 30s and 40s.  North winds on Monday at 10 to 15 mph.  Winds shift to the south Monday night.

.Extended Forecast...

Tuesday (November 15)

An area of low pressure will pass north of our area while a cold front moves through the Northland.  Mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies are expected on Tuesday with a chance for a few rain showers.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the 40s and 50s.  Lows Tuesday night will be in the 30s and 40s.

Wednesday (November 16)

Dry on Wednesday with highs in the 40s to lower 50s.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Clear with increasing cloudiness after midnight.  Low 40 to 43.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest after midnight.

.Monday...  Mostly cloudy.  Patchy drizzle possible mainly before noon.  High 43 to 46.  Wind north to northeast at 10 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  36
Low:   23

Sunrise Monday:  7:11 AM CST
Sunset Monday:   4:35 PM CST

Tim