Saturday, November 5, 2016

70 degrees at the Duluth Airport today (Nov 5) 3rd warmest temperature ever recorded during the month of Nov (Records date back to 1874) A cooler mid-late November expected

/Issued 5:07 PM CDT, Saturday, November 5, 2016/

People who prefer colder temperatures over 60-70 degree temperatures in November will be happy -- Yes it's still a ways out and things could change, but it looks like temperatures will finally cool off to at least near seasonable levels for a brief time late next week with the mid to late portion of this month featuring more frequent shots of cooler temperatures.  Arctic air?  Probably not, but you never know.  At the very least we should have daytime highs in the 30s, possibly in the 20s while nighttime lows dip into the teens and 20s, perhaps colder than that at times during the 2nd half of November.  Keep in mind that normal temperatures by mid to late November drop into the 30s and eventually the upper 20s while normal low temperatures fall through the 20s and into the teens by the end of the month.
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















November warmth continues (For now)

Weather Tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota

-November 2016 will join 13 other Novembers in weather history to have back to back days with high temperatures of at least 60 degrees.  See list below.  Note:  Weather records go back to 1874.

2008, 2001, 1999, 1981, 1978, 1975, 1964, 1958, 1953, 1939, 1931, 1904, 1903 and now 2016.

-The highest maximum temperature ever recorded during the month of November is 73 degrees set in 1903.  2nd warmest is 71 degrees set in 1999.  3rd warmest is 70 degrees in 1978, 1904 and in 2016.

-I wanna go back to November 1975 for a moment...That one had 4 days in a row with a high temperature of at least 60 F, but that month also featured subzero low temperatures at the end of the month.  In other words, just because it's unseasonably warm so far this November, a pattern change to colder temperatures is certainly possible by mid or late month, in fact it's beginning to look more likely that the pattern will flip to a colder one by mid month.

*Record Event*

Record high temperature broken for November 5, 2016 at Duluth, Minnesota.  High temperature today was 70 degrees which breaks the previous record high temperature of 68 degrees set in 1975.

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Another balmy early November day in the Northland -- Daytime highs today similar to Friday with 60s and lower 70s in our area but there was one thing different today and that was a light lake breeze which kept temperatures in the upper 50s in Downtown Duluth, but this is still well above normal for early November.  Synoptically speaking, not much has changed since Friday.  A large upper level ridge remains in place across the region with very high 500mb heights of 576-582.  Late afternoon 850mb temperatures around +14 degrees Celsius with 925mb temperatures around +16 degrees Celsius.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (November 5)

Clear to partly cloudy.  Patchy fog possible late.  Lows in the 30s and 40s with south or southwest winds at around 10 mph.

Sunday (November 6)

A cold front will move east into the northern Plains while a warm southerly flow continues over our area ahead of this front.  Sunny to partly cloudy skies on Sunday with highs in the 60s to lower 70s.  Partly to mostly cloudy Sunday night -- A few showers are possible mainly over western areas.  Lows in the 40s to around 50 degrees.  Winds on Sunday will be out of the south or southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts possible during the afternoon.

.Extended Forecast...

Monday (November 7)

A few showers are possible on Monday as a cold front moves through the Northland.  Highs will be in the 50s and 60s with lows Monday night in the 30s and 40s.

Tuesday (November 8)

Dry and cooler but still above normal with highs in the 40s and 50s.

Note:  Warming up again on Wednesday (9th) before another brief cool down on Friday (11th)

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly clear.  Low 37 to 42.  Wind variable around 10 mph.

.Sunday...  Mostly sunny.  Continued unseasonably warm.  Record or near record warmth.  High 65 to 70.  Wind south to southwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Note:  Record high temperature for November 6th is 66 degrees set in 1916.  2nd warmest is 65 degrees set in 2001.  3rd warmest is 64 degrees set in 1934.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  41
Low:   27

Sunrise Sunday:  6:59 AM CST
Sunset Sunday:   4:45 PM CST

Tim