Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Turning breezy and cooler! Showers and some drizzle tonight-Wed AM (Flurries possible up north) Milder temperatures return later this week

/Issued 5:18 PM CDT, Tuesday, October 11, 2016/

Upper Midwest radar loop through 5:15 PM CDT today.  Source, http://www.intellicast.com/

Green=Rain
Blue=Snow

Note:  The Duluth radar is down this week because of an upgrade, and is not expected to be back up and running until sometime Friday afternoon per National Weather Service statement.














Temperatures from 3 PM CDT this afternoon, October 11 - Quite a contrast in temperatures/weather for the second day in a row but the cooler temperatures out west are moving farther east as a cold front moves through.  Source, http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/uppermissvly.php




















Wednesday's high temperature forecast.  Source, http://graphical.weather.gov/sectors/uppermissvly.php




















Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Date:  October 11, 2016

A cold front is on the move! Temperatures across the area ranged from the 60s in northwest Wisconsin and in eastern Minnesota to the 40s in northern Minnesota.  Cold front as of 3 PM extended from northeast Minnesota to southern Minnesota.  There is a strong thermal gradient in place across the region today with late afternoon 850mb temperatures ranging from 0 to -5 degrees Celsius in much of North Dakota to between +4 and +10 degrees Celsius from northern Minnesota to northwest Wisconsin.

There were some showers early this morning that moved through parts of northwest Wisconsin with rainfall totals generally less than 0.10".  Scattered showers have been occurring this afternoon in portions of north central Minnesota, and a few thunderstorms have even developed late this afternoon northwest of Bigfork.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (October 11)

Cold front will exit the Northland to the east by daybreak.  Expect occasional rain showers in our area tonight with a few thunderstorms as well especially early this evening in far northern Minnesota.  Cooler tonight as lows dip into the 30s and 40s.  Strong cold air advection will occur during the night as 850mb temperatures fall to between +2 and -5 degrees Celsius.  Winds after Midnight will shift out of the north/west across the entire area with wind speeds in the 10 to 20 mph range.

Wednesday (October 12)

High pressure builds into the Upper Midwest behind tonight's cold frontal passage.  Mostly cloudy skies to start the day with lingering rain showers possible in parts of the Northland.  By the afternoon expect partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with a few spotty showers possible mainly over northern Minnesota.

Highs on Wednesday in the 40s with near 50 degree temperatures possible in parts of eastern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.  Lows Wednesday night will be in the 30s with 20s possible in the typical cold spots.  Winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph through tomorrow evening, then winds will back to the southwest overnight.

.Extended Forecast...

Thursday and Friday (October 13-14)

High pressure moves off to the east later this week which will put us back into a milder southwesterly flow.  Looks dry both Thursday and Friday.  High temperatures are expected to mainly be in the 50s on Thursday with 40s along the North Shore of Lake Superior, lows Thursday night in the 30s and 40s with highs on Friday in the 50s to lower 60s with cooler temperatures along the North Shore of Lake Superior.

Note:  Could be some rain showers around the area sometime Saturday or early Sunday morning as a low pressure system with its warm front and cold front move through the Upper Midwest.

More rain chances for the early-mid part of next week (17th-19th)

After tomorrow's brief cool snap there doesn't appear to be anymore shots of real chilly temperatures at least through October 19th the way it looks now.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Mostly cloudy.  Occasional rain showers and drizzle.  Cooler and turning breezy.  Low 38 to 42.  Wind variable around 10 mph becoming northwest at 15 to 25 mph.

.Wednesday...  Breezy and cooler.  Mostly cloudy with some sunshine possible by the afternoon.  A few showers possible mainly early.  High 43 to 48.  Wind northwest at 15 to 25 mph.

Normal temperatures for Wednesday

High:  53
Low:   36

Sunrise Wednesday:  7:23 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday:   6:26 PM CDT

Tim