Saturday, October 29, 2016

A little bit of sun possible on Sunday; A few showers but mild on Halloween

/Issued 8:22 PM CDT, Saturday, October 29, 2016/

Looks like a gray/spooky Halloween around the Northland but no major rain or snow storm this year.
































Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source:  http://graphical.weather.gov/




















Rainfall reports for October 29, 2016
Source:  http://mesowest.utah.edu/

International Falls, MN:  0.12"
Washburn, WI:  0.09"
Barnes, WI:  0.08"
Littlefork, MN:  0.06"
Phillips, WI:  0.04"
Cook, MN:  0.03"
Two Harbors, MN:  0.03"
Siren, WI:  0.02"
Ashland, WI:  0.02"
Clam Lake, WI:  0.02"

Weather Summary for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

Another day that featured generally mostly cloudy skies although there were some breaks in the overcast which allowed for glimpses of sun in parts of the area.  Scattered rain showers also occurred today across far northern Minnesota and also over southern portions of northwest Wisconsin.  Highs today were in the upper 40s to low/mid 50s so still above average as we get closer to the end of October.  Winds today were out of the north at 5 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin

.Short Term Forecast...

Tonight (October 29)

High pressure builds east/southeast out of the Dakotas -- Mostly cloudy to at times partly cloudy skies are expected tonight with lows in the 30s to around 40 degrees but if skies clear out more than expected and remain that way for a few hours, then a few locations could drop into the 20s in northern Minnesota.  Winds tonight out of the north or northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Sunday (October 30)

High pressure will move over Minnesota on Sunday before it exits off to the east Sunday night.  Mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies are forecast for Sunday with highs in the 40s to around 50 degrees.

Low pressure moves into the western Dakotas late Sunday night with a warm air advection pattern developing over the Northland -- Could see a few rain showers develop in parts of the area late Sunday night otherwise expecting mostly cloudy skies with lows in the 30s to lower 40s.

Winds on Sunday will be out of the west at 10 to 15 mph, winds Sunday night turn to the east.

.Extended Forecast...

Halloween (October 31)

An area of low pressure is forecast to move E/NE out of the western Dakotas on Monday, this low should pass west/north of the Northland Monday night -- A warm front and cold front attached to this surface low will move through northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin Monday afternoon/evening.

A strong low level jet out of the south is forecast to increase to 40-50+ knots on Monday which results in a strong warm/moist advection pattern to the east of this system.  Even with the strong low level jet in place the amount of moisture looks pretty low with dew points only in the mid 40s to around 50 degrees while PWATS range from around 0.80" to around 1.00".

Not expecting a lot of rain with this system on Monday but scattered showers are certainly possible especially over northern Minnesota.  Still can't rule out an isolated thunderstorm on Monday but the amount of instability looks pretty low per model data.

Highs on Monday will be in the 40s and 50s with lows Monday night mainly in the 40s.

Winds look fairly strong on Monday with S/SE winds during the day shifting to SW Monday night.  Wind gusts of 25-30+ mph are possible.

Tuesday (November 1)

The month of November should open on a quiet and mild note with no rain or snow expected.  Highs will be in the 40s and 50s.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight...  Considerable cloudiness.  Low 35 to 40.  Wind north at 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Mostly cloudy to partly sunny.  High 43 to 48.  Wind north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  45
Low:   30

Sunrise Sunday:  7:49 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday:   5:55 PM CDT

Tim