Sunday, July 31, 2016

Preliminary stats for the Summer of 2016. Outlook for August and a look back at July

/Issued 10:35 AM CDT, Sunday, July 31, 2016/

CFS model temperature anomaly forecast for August 2016.  Source, TropicalTidbits.com

Yellow, orange and red colors=Above average temperatures
Blue=Below average temperatures
White=Near normal temperatures

Note:  I think there's a decent chance that August will end up being pretty similar to June and July around here -- Occasional storms, some warmth and some shots of cooler temperatures.














August 2016 precipitation anomaly forecast.  Source, TropicalTidbits.com

Green=Above average precipitation
Yellow=Below average precipitation
White=Near normal precipitation














Preliminary storm reports map for July 2016.  Source, Storm Prediction Center.

Minnesota:

Red dots=Tornadoes (14)
Green dots=Hail (41)
Blue dots=Wind (199)

Total:  254 reports of severe weather in Minnesota during July 2016.




















Preliminary storm reports map for July 20216.  Source, Storm Prediction Center.

Wisconsin:

Red dots=Tornadoes (3)
Green dots=Hail (11)
Blue dots=Wind (126)

Total:  140 reports of severe weather in Wisconsin during July 2016.




















August averages for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

Temperature:  64.4 degrees
Precipitation:  3.70"

Average number of days at or above 70 F:  23
Average number of days at or above 80 F:  7

Warmest August:  70.2 degrees set in 1930
Coldest August:  57.5 degrees set in 1912

Wettest August:  10.31" set in 1972
Driest August:  0.29" set in 1930

Astronomical data:

Sunrise on the 1st:  5:49 AM CDT
Sunrise on the 31st:  6:27 AM CDT

Sunset on the 1st:  8:39 PM CDT
Sunset on the 31st:  7:51 PM CDT

*Preliminary climate stats for July 2016*

Duluth, Minnesota

Average temperature:  67.1 degrees
Departure:  +1.4 degrees warmer than normal

Number of days at or above 70 F:  30 days
Departure:  +5 above normal

Number of days at or above 80 F:  10 days
Departure:  -1 below normal

Number of days at or above 90 F:  1
Departure:  +1 above normal

Rainfall total:  4.39"
Departure:  +0.54" above normal

*Preliminary climate stats for Meteorological Summer 2016*

Note:  Meteorological summer is the period from June 1 - August 31.

Duluth, Minnesota

Average temperature and departure from normal:

June:  61.5 degrees (+1.4 degrees warmer than normal)
July:  67.1 degrees (+1.4 degrees warmer than normal)

Rainfall total:  8.85"
Departure:  +0.89" above normal

Note:  ~3" of rain is needed in August to get to the average Summer rainfall total which is 11.78".

Going into the final month of summer -- Duluth has had 48 days at or above 70 degrees and 17 days at or above 80 degrees.  Note:  The average from June 1 - July 31 is 42 days at or above 70 degrees and 16 days at or above 80 degrees.

Note:  The average number of days at or above 70 degrees for an entire Summer is 65 days and 23 days at or above 80 degrees.

Tim