Sunday, April 3, 2016

April 3, 2016 Weather Report - A wintry week ahead; 8" of snow today north of Grand Marais, MN

/Issued 7:27 PM CDT, Sunday, April 3, 2016/

Surface map and temperatures from late this afternoon per 21z RAP model.  Summer like warmth in southern Minnesota but still feeling like winter in Northern Minnesota.
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Monday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Last week's temperature departure map.  Above average temperatures last week in most of the Northland.
















Last week's precipitation departure map.  Below average precipitation in far northern Minnesota with near or above average precipitation amounts elsewhere in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
















Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota - Airport location

March 27-April 2, 2016

High temperatures

3/27:  36 F/-3 degrees below normal
3/28:  43 F/+3 degrees above normal
3/29:  53 F/+13 degrees above normal
3/30:  48 F/+8 degrees above normal
3/31:  38 F/-3 degrees below normal
4/1:  35 F/-6 degrees below normal
4/2:  26 F/-16 degrees below normal

Low temperatures:

3/27:  25 F/+3 degrees above normal
3/28:  25 F/+3 degrees above normal
3/29:  28 F/+5 degrees above normal
3/30:  35 F/+12 degrees above normal
3/31:  31 F/+7 degrees above normal
4/1:  24 F/Normal
4/2:  17 F/-7 degrees below normal

Total precipitation:  0.66"
Normal:  0.39"
Departure:  +0.27" above normal

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  April 3, 2016

Impressive weather extremes across Minnesota today as low pressure moved southeast from Fargo, North Dakota to near Milwaukee, Wisconsin.  High temperatures ranged from the 60s and 70s over western-southern Minnesota with teens and 20s common over northern Minnesota.  Snow also fell today especially in extreme Northeast Minnesota with 8.1" of snow reported 21 miles north of Grand Marais, MN and 2.0" at Lutsen.  The rest of the Northland didn't get much precipitation today due to quite a bit of dry air that was in place.  Winds today were out of the north or east at 10 to 15 mph with gusts over 30 mph near Lake Superior.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (April 3)

An area of high pressure will build south out of Manitoba Province but a lingering trough will remain over the Upper Midwest.  Mostly cloudy to at times partly cloudy skies are forecast tonight with scattered snow showers and flurries especially around Lake Superior where some lake effect snow is possible later tonight with 850mb temperatures of -12 to -16 C moving over the lake.  Low temperatures will be in the teens and 20s with single digits in far Northern Minnesota.  Winds will be out of the north or east at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior.

Monday and Monday night (April 4)

High pressure will pass over the Upper Midwest on Monday and will exit to the east Monday night.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected on Monday with lingering snow showers and flurries near Lake Superior, dry elsewhere.  Highs will be in the 20s and 30s with lows in the teens and 20s.  Winds tomorrow will be out of the east, north or west at 5 to 15 mph.  Winds tomorrow night will shift to the south or east.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Tuesday through Thursday (April 5-7)

A sloppy Tuesday and Wednesday on the way as low pressure tracks south/east out of the Northern Plains -- Wet snow and rain and possibly some sleet will spread across the Northland on Tuesday with lingering precipitation expected from Tuesday night through Wednesday.  Note:  A few inches of slushy snow is looking more and more likely especially along and north/east of Highway 2, the best chance for this snow accumulation appears to be from Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening, this is when the heaviest band of precipitation passes through the area.

High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday are forecast to be in the 30s to around 40 degrees with lows Tuesday night mainly in the 30s.  Lows Wednesday night in the 20s and 30s.

A clipper like system could affect parts of the Northland on Thursday with some light snow.  High temperatures will be in the 30s.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Low to Medium.

(April 8-13)

Below average temperatures will remain in place during the long range.  Snow showers are possible on the 8th with some rain or snow possible at times next weekend (9th-10th)

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Breezy.  Considerable cloudiness.  Occasional snow showers.  Snowfall accumulations less than 1".  Low 17 to 22.  Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

.Monday...  Occasional snow showers.  Snowfall accumulations less than 1".  High 28 to 33.  Wind northeast at 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest.

.Monday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 20 to 25.  Wind northwest at 5 to 15 mph becoming east.

.Tuesday...  Mostly cloudy.  Wet snow or mixed rain and snow mainly during the afternoon.  Some snow accumulation possible.  High 32 to 36.

.Tuesday night...  Wet snow or mixed rain and snow.  Some snow accumulation possible.  Low 30 to 32.

.Wednesday...  Light snow or mixed rain and snow possible.  High 32 to 37.

.Wednesday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Thursday...  Mostly cloudy.  High 30 to 35.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  43
Low:  25

Sunrise Monday:  6:41 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   7:42 PM CDT

Tim