Saturday, February 20, 2016

February 20, 2016 Weather Report - Little bit of snow on the way for Sunday

/Issued 7:11 PM CST, Saturday, February 20, 2016/

Total precipitation map for February 19, 2016.  Source, WSI.  Heaviest amounts of rain were to the west and north of Duluth on Friday.














Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.





















Weather Tidbits:

*2nd warmest low temperature on record for February 19, 2016 at Duluth, Minnesota.  The low temperature on Friday the 19th was 33 degrees.  Note:  The warmest low temperature on record for February 19th is 35 degrees set in 1930.

*Tied for all-time warmest low temperature on record for February 19, 2016 at International Falls, Minnesota.  The low temperature on Friday was 32 degrees which ties with 1915 for warmest minimum temperature for February 19th.

Precipitation report for February 19, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  0.09"
Grand Marais, MN:  0.12"
Ashland, WI:  0.22"
7 NW of Brainerd, MN:  0.18"
3 E of Wright, MN:  0.32"

Togo, MN:  0.38"
Cook, MN:  0.26"
Cotton, MN:  0.35"
Embarrass, MN:  0.47"
Floodwood, MN:  0.30"

10 W of Gunflint Lake, MN:  0.44"
2 S of Tower, MN:  0.70"
1 WSW of Saxon, WI:  0.25"

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 20, 2016

Scattered snow and rain showers moved east/southeast across parts of Northeast Minnesota and far Northern Wisconsin today otherwise sky conditions ranged from mostly cloudy to partly sunny with mild temperatures with highs in the 30s with a few locations around 40 degrees earlier in the day.  Winds were out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 20)

Cold front pushes south through Central Minnesota and Northern Wisconsin tonight while high pressure builds southeast across Saskatchewan Province -- Mostly to partly cloudy skies for tonight with some light snow and flurries spreading NW-SE later in the night.  Low temperatures will be in the teens and 20s with winds out of the northwest or north at 10 to 20 mph.

Sunday and Sunday night (February 21)

Snow showers and flurries especially around Lake Superior as winds turn out of the northeast on Sunday, this combined with 850mb temperatures falling to near -12C with water temperatures in the 30s should be enough to kick off some snow showers which could be moderate in intensity for brief periods of time.  The remainder of the Northland will have partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered flurries or light snow showers.  Highs tomorrow will be in the teens and 20s with 30s in parts of Eastern Minnesota and Western Wisconsin.  Winds on Sunday will be out of the north or east at 10 to 20 mph.

Flurries could linger Sunday night near Lake Superior with dry weather elsewhere.  Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies tomorrow night as high pressure moves southeast over the Upper Midwest.  Lows Sunday night will range from the single digits to lower 20s with a variable wind direction at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Monday through Wednesday (February 22-24)

Occasional light snow and flurries for Monday and Tuesday as a weak system moves across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest -- Not looking at a lot of snow accumulation with this system, perhaps an inch or two in a few areas.  Highs on Monday are forecast to be in the 20s and 30s with similar temperatures for Monday night.  Highs on Tuesday will mainly be in the 30s.  Temperatures Tuesday night and Wednesday should mainly be in the 20s with dry weather returning on Wednesday.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

(February 25-March 1)

No major storms in the Northland through March 1st but we could see a minor snow event or two during the long range.  Near to below average temperatures from February 25-27 followed by near normal temperatures from February 28-March 1.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Snow showers or flurries possible after Midnight.  Low 23 to 27.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming north.

.Sunday...  Occasional snow showers and flurries.  Total snowfall accumulations around 1" or less.  High 27 to 31.  Wind north to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday night...  Flurries possible mainly early.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 12 to 17.  Wind north around 10 mph.

.Monday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 28 to 33.

.Monday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Low 25 to 28.

.Tuesday...  Light snow or flurries possible.  High 30 to 35.

.Tuesday night...  Light snow or flurries possible.  Low 10 to 15.

.Wednesday...  Partly sunny.  High 25 to 30.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  26
Low:     8

Sunrise Sunday:  7:03 AM CST
Sunset Sunday:   5:42 PM CST

Tim