Wednesday, January 20, 2016

January 20, 2016 Weather Report - Patchy freezing drizzle and fog tonight-early Thursday, drive safely

/Issued 7:34 PM CST, Wednesday, January 20, 2016/

Long range trends continue to support a stormier weather pattern for the Upper Midwest toward the last few days of January into early February, whether this means will get snow, rain or ice remains to be seen as it's impossible to predict the track of a potential storm/s over a week away.  The map below is the precipitation anomaly forecast valid for January 27-February 3, 2016 per 12z CFS model.

Green colors=Above average precipitation














Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Thursday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  January 20, 2016

Mostly cloudy skies today with highs mainly in the teens.  There's been areas of light snow, flurries and patchy freezing drizzle and fog in parts of the area today.  Snowfall accumulations have been held to under an inch but enough freezing drizzle has resulted in some hazardous driving conditions in parts of the Northland today.  Winds today were out of the south or west at around 10 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (January 20)

High pressure centers will remain to our southeast and northwest tonight while a weak cold front slips south/east through Northeast Minnesota.  Mostly cloudy skies are expected for the rest of tonight with patchy fog, snow flurries and freezing drizzle.  Lows will be in the single digits below to around 10 above zero with south, west or northwest winds at 5 to 15 mph.

Thursday and Thursday night (January 21)

High pressure will build south/east out of the Northern Plains while a weak disturbance passes through the Upper Midwest on Thursday.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with a chance for a few flurries or snow showers.  Highs tomorrow will be in the teens and 20s with lows tomorrow night in the single digits below to low teens above zero, winds will be out of the north or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Friday through Sunday (January 22-24)

Mainly dry Friday and Saturday with highs in the teens and 20s.  Lows Friday night will be in the single digits and teens.  Lows Saturday night will mainly be in the teens.  Low pressure will be passing north of our area this weekend - Most of the precipitation with this system looks like it will stay over Ontario Province, but a slight chance for snow will exist on Saturday over far Northern Minnesota.

Another weak system could develop over the Plains on Sunday and that could spread some light snow or flurries into parts of the Northland late this weekend.  High temperatures on Sunday are forecast to be in the 20s and 30s.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

(January 25-30)

Near to below average temperatures on the 25th followed by near to possibly above average temperatures from the 26th-30th.  A chance for some light snow or flurries on Monday (25th)  Another chance for light snow or flurries between the 27th-29th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Mostly cloudy.  Patchy fog, flurries and freezing drizzle.  Low 6 to 11.  Wind south to southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest late.

.Thursday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 18 to 23.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 3 to 8.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

.Friday...  Partly sunny.  High 15 to 20.

.Friday night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 7 to 12.

.Saturday...  Partly sunny.  High 22 to 27.

.Saturday night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 15 to 20.

.Sunday...  Mostly cloudy.  High 25 to 30.

Normal temperatures for Thursday

High:  19
Low:    1

Sunrise Thursday:  7:45 AM CST
Sunset Thursday:   4:55 PM CST

Tim