Saturday, January 16, 2016

January 16, 2016 Weather Report - Wind chill advisory through Monday

/Issued 6:02 PM CST, Saturday, January 16, 2016/

Wind chill (Feels like temperature) valid at 6 AM CST Sunday.  Widespread -30 to -40 below zero wind chills in the Northland tonight and Sunday morning.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Dangerously cold wind chills across the area tonight and for the next few days.  Wind chill warning (Darker blue area on map)  Wind chill advisory (Light blue area on map)  More information at the link below.  Source, Aerisweather.com

Wind chill advisory - http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=wind%20chill%20advisory

Wind chill warning - http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=wind%20chill%20warning
















An active weather pattern in place across the U.S. today.  Going from east to west...One powerful low east of Maine is moving rapidly toward the northeast.  Another low pressure system will deepen and will move quickly through the Gulf of Mexico tonight, through Florida and then out over the Atlantic Ocean on Sunday - This storm has a chance to produce a few severe thunderstorms and possibly an isolated tornado risk late tonight/early Sunday morning in parts of Central and South Florida.  Here in the Upper Midwest it's all about a strong upper level low which will continue to drop south/east out of Ontario Province through Sunday.  Over the West Coast a few different storms on the way.  Source, water vapor satellite image; COD website.
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Sunday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  January 16, 2016

Were at the halfway point in January and it's feeling like winter (Shocking!) Partly to mostly cloudy skies across the Northland today with high temperatures occurring just after Midnight last night when they were in the single digits below to teens above zero, temperatures have been falling ever since and most of the area had temperatures in the single digits below to single digits above zero this afternoon.  Winds were out of the west at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight through Sunday night (January 16-17)

Bitterly cold but mostly dry.  Upper level low with H5 heights at around 510 meters will dig south/east out of Ontario Province tonight before exiting to our east on Sunday.  Mid level temps underneath this upper low are in the -40 to -42C range early this evening with 850mb temperatures of -26 to -28C - A very impressive shot of arctic air!

Clear to partly cloudy skies will be found in most of the Northland through Sunday night although there could be times of somewhat cloudier sky conditions.  Can't rule out a few ice crystals/flurries either.

Low temperatures tonight and Sunday night will be in the teens and 20s below with 30s below possible in the typical cold spots.  Highs on Sunday will range from around 10 below to zero.  Winds will be out of the west or northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Monday through Wednesday (January 18-20)

Dry and very cold on Monday with highs in the single digits below to single digits above zero, lows Monday night will be in the single digits, teens and 20s below.

Tuesday also looks dry with temperatures in the single digits and teens, so yes will finally get above zero on Tuesday.

A shot for some flurries or a dusting of snow Tuesday night into Wednesday, highs on Wednesday will be in the teens to near 20 degrees.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  Medium.

January 21-26)

Near to below average temperatures on the 21st followed by near to above average temperatures from the 22nd-26th.  Still looks like will get a break from the arctic air for next weekend and possibly beyond - High temps will likely rise into the 20s, possibly even into the 30s for next weekend.  Chance for some snow or maybe even mixed precipitation in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin during the 23rd-25th time frame.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

Event:  *WIND CHILL ADVISORY*
Timing:  Until Noon CST Monday.

.Tonight...  Bitterly cold.  Dangerous wind chills.  Partly cloudy.  Low 16 below to 21 below.  Wind west to northwest at 10 to 15 mph.  Wind chills 30 below to 45 below.

.Sunday...  Frigid.  Partly cloudy.  High 1 below to 6 below.  Wind west to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Wind chills 30 below to 45 below during the morning and from 20 below to 30 below in the afternoon.

.Sunday night...  Bitterly cold.  Mostly clear.  Low 18 below to 23 below.  Wind west to northwest at 5 to 15 mph.  Wind chills 30 below to 40 below.

.Monday...  Very cold.  Partly cloudy.  High 2 below to 3 above.  Morning wind chills 30 below to 40 below.

.Monday night...  Frigid.  Partly cloudy.  Low 15 below to 20 below.

.Tuesday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 5 to 10.

.Tuesday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  Low 5 to 10.

.Wednesday...  Mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  High 12 to 17.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  19
Low:    1

Sunrise Sunday:  7:48 AM CST
Sunset Sunday:   4:49 PM CST

Tim