Monday, January 11, 2016

January 11, 2016 Weather Report - Little bit of snow this evening followed by more cold/dangerous wind chills; Warming up mid to late week; Another arctic blast arriving this weekend

/Issued 4:45 PM CST, Monday, January 11, 2016/

Upper Midwest radar loop ending at 4:30 PM CST today.  Source, WSI.

Blue=Snow

Drive safely tonight as roads will become snow covered and slick in parts of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin thanks to a fresh coating of light snow.














National Weather Service winter weather headlines map.  More information at the links below.

Wind chill advisory:  http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=wind%20chill%20advisory

Lake effect snow advisory:  http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=lake%20effect%20snow%20advisory
















Tonight's low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Tuesday's high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















Low temperature report for January 11, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

3 SE of Cotton, MN:  -36 F
Embarrass, MN:  -34 F
8 WNW of Minong, WI:  -30 F
Cook, MN:  -27 F
3 E of Orr, MN:  -27 F

11 SSE of Brule, WI:  -26 F
Ely, MN:  -26 F
Bigfork, MN:  -26 F
Littlefork, MN:  -26 F
Moose Lake, MN:  -26 F

Makinen, MN:  -25 F
Sturgeon Lake, MN:  -25 F
Crane Lake, MN:  -24 F
Grand Rapids, MN:  -24 F
Hayward, WI:  -24 F

International Falls, MN:  -24 F
Northome, MN:  -24 F
Pine River, MN:  -24 F
Bruno, MN:  -24 F
Phillips, WI:  -22 F

Siren, WI:  -22 F
Walker, MN:  -22 F
Duluth, MN (Airport)  -21 F
3 W of Drummond, WI:  -21 F
Hinckley, MN:  -20 F

Cloquet, MN:  -20 F
Aitkin, MN:  -18 F
Silver Bay, MN:  -18 F
Brainerd, MN:  -18 F
Eveleth, MN:  -17 F

1 WSW of Maple, WI:  -15 F
2 ENE of Oliver, WI:  -15 F
Glidden, WI:  -14 F
Superior, WI:  -14 F
Ashland, WI:  -12 F
Sky Harbor Airport, MN:  -11 F

Note:  Have to go back all the way to last February 22nd to find a colder high temperature than what occurred at the Duluth Airport yesterday, January 10th.  High temp on February 22 (-3 below zero) High temp on January 10th (0 degrees)

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  January 11, 2016

Low pressure was over Western Minnesota late this afternoon with a cold front moving into the Red River Valley.  Some sun earlier in the day gave way to increasing cloudiness as that low over Western Minnesota approaches the Northland - This system doesn't have much moisture to work with which isn't surprising given the amount of cold/dry air in place, but there is some lift along with strong jet stream winds and decent height falls which are moving southeast of the Northern Plains so it does have good upper level support...Result from all this is for a band of light snow which has been moving southeast into Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin late this afternoon.  Highs today were in the single digits below to single digits above zero.  Winds were out of the south or southwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (January 11)

Low pressure moves quickly from Western Minnesota to lower Michigan by daybreak while arctic high pressure builds into the Northern Plains during the night.  Light snow and flurries will last roughly 2-6 hours this evening before ending.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies can be expected tonight with lows ranging from the single digits below to single digits above zero in Northwest Wisconsin to the teens and 20s below over Northern Minnesota.  Winds will shift to the northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Tuesday and Tuesday night (January 12)

High pressure moves south/southeast out of the Northern Plains on Tuesday while low pressure tracks east out of lower Michigan.  Partly to mostly sunny skies tomorrow with highs in the single digits below to single digits above zero.  Lows Tuesday night under a mostly clear sky will be in the single digits, teens and 20s below.  Winds will be out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph on Tuesday.  Winds tomorrow night will be out of the west or southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Note:  Lake effect snow showers will occur late tonight through Tuesday evening along the South Shore of Lake Superior in Northwest Wisconsin.  Snowfall accumulations of 2-6" are possible in portions of Bayfield, Ashland and Iron Counties.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium to High.

Wednesday through Friday (January 13-15)

There is a chance for some light snow in parts of the Northland from mid to late week as a couple areas of low pressure move south/east out of the Northern Plains/Western High Plains region - This doesn't look like a big snow event for our area but light snowfall accumulations are quite possible between Wednesday and Friday.

Will warm up a bit with highs on Wednesday in the single digits and teens with lows Wednesday night ranging from the single digits and teens below in far Northern Minnesota to the single digits and teens in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Highs on Thursday and Friday will be in the teens and 20s with lows Thursday night ranging from the single digits below zero to around 20 above zero.

Note:  Another round of lake effect snow is possible along the South Shore of Lake Superior in Northwest Wisconsin from Friday into Saturday.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  High.

(January 16-21)

Below average temperatures from the 16th-18th followed by near to possibly above average temperatures from the 19th-21st.  No big storms during the long range.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

Event:  *WIND CHILL ADVISORY*
Timing:  Midnight tonight until Noon CST Tuesday.

.Tonight...  Light snow ending around 8 PM.  Total snowfall accumulations around 1".  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Turning breezy.  Cold.  Low 8 below to 13 below.  Wind becoming northwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Wind chills 25 below to 35 below developing late.

.Tuesday...  Cold.  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 0 to 5.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.  Wind chills 25 below to 35 below during the morning.

.Tuesday night...  Mostly clear.  Low 10 below to 15 below.  Wind west at 5 to 15 mph.

.Wednesday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  High 10 to 15.

.Wednesday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  Low 5 to 10.

.Thursday...  Mostly cloudy.  Light snow or flurries possible.  High 17 to 22.

.Thursday night...  Mostly cloudy.  Light snow or flurries possible.  Low 5 to 10.

.Friday...  Mostly cloudy.  Light snow or flurries possible.  High 15 to 20.

Normal temperatures for Tuesday

High:  19
Low:    1

Sunrise Tuesday:  7:51 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday:   4:43 PM CST

Tim