Friday, January 10, 2014

January 10, 2014 - Weather Report.

/Issued 3:21 PM CST, Friday, January 10, 2014/

*18z Hi-Res NAM/WRF model valid for Sunday Morning, January 12, 2014.  The pink and orange area on this map indicates the possibility for sleet, freezing rain, and snow during Sunday Morning-early Sunday Afternoon.  Note:  This doesn't look like it'll be a widespread/significant event, but it only takes a small amount of freezing rain to create travel problems.

















Snow depth report as of 6 AM CST January 10, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  18"
International Falls, MN:  14"
Brainerd, MN:  19"
Grand Marais, MN:  20"
Hibbing, MN:  12"
Ashland, WI:  14"
Hayward, WI:  12"
3 E of Wright, MN:  15"
Cass Lake, MN:  14"
12 N of Grand Rapids, MN:  17"
Cook, MN:  16"
Embarrass, MN:  15"
Floodwood, MN:  17"
Grand Portage, MN:  18"
4 E of Island Lake, MN:  19"
Finland, MN:  27"
Gurney, WI:  16"
Upson, WI:  14"
9 N of Bayfield, WI:  35"
4 W of Clam Lake, WI:  16"
Gordon, WI:  17"
Sarona, WI:  17"
Solon Springs, WI:  17"
Winter, WI:  18"

*U.S. snow depth map as of the Morning of January 10, 2014.  (Source, WSI/Intellicast)















Today's Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Temperatures were on the mild side Today but with the warmer air moving over the deep snow pack this led to widespread low clouds, fog/freezing fog along with areas of light freezing drizzle and snow flurries.  Highs were in the 20s to around 30 degrees with southerly winds at around 5 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast - Confidence:  High.

Tonight (January 10)

Low pressure which was over Northeast Kansas late This Afternoon will deepen and lift northeast as it moves over Lake Michigan by daybreak.  A weaker system over Manitoba with a trough extending southeast into Western Minnesota will pass through the Northland Tonight.

Overcast skies will continue Tonight with fog, freezing drizzle, and some light snow/flurries.  Some of the fog could be dense Tonight and some icy spots could form on roads and sidewalks so use caution if you will be out and about Tonight.

A 1-2" snowfall is also possible Tonight mainly over Price County including the cities of Kennan, Spirit, Ogema, Prentice, and Brantwood.  Lows will be in the teens and 20s with south winds turning northwest during the night at 5 to 15 mph.

Saturday and Saturday Night (January 11)

Low pressure moves into Eastern Canada this period while a new system tracks through Western Canada. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night with highs mainly in the 20s with lows in the single digits and teens.  Northwest winds on Saturday will become southwest Saturday Night, wind speeds will vary from 10 to around 20 mph.

Extended Forecast - Confidence:  Medium-High.

Sunday through Tuesday (January 12-14)

A strong area of low pressure will stay north of the border as it tracks through Manitoba and Ontario on Sunday.  This system could bring a few snow or mixed showers to the Northland on Sunday with some flurries Sunday Night.  No significant accumulation of snow or ice is expected though.  Mild temperatures continue on Sunday with highs mainly in the 30s with lows ranging from around 0 to 20 degrees.

24 hours ago it appeared that a clipper would bring some snow to the Northland sometime Monday or Tuesday, well fast forward 24 hours and now the computer models are showing quite a bit of disagreement on the timing and track of that clipper system.  Some snow and flurries is still possible in our area sometime between Monday and Tuesday, but with all the model differences that are showing up, confidence level is average at best.

High temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will mainly be in the teens with lows Monday Night in the single digits below to teens above zero.

Long Range Forecast - Confidence:  High.

(January 15-20)

NW flow continues this period with a couple of systems passing north/east of the Upper Midwest.  A few snow showers and flurries could occur at times but no big snow events are expected at this time. Temperatures for the most part should remain near seasonal average, although brief shots of colder air could send temperatures below average for a day, but these cold shots if they do occur look very brief.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Fog...Light freezing drizzle...Flurries...and some light snow.  Low 15 to 20.  Wind south around 10 mph, becoming northwest at 5 to 15 mph late.

.Saturday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 25 to 30.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 10 to 15.  Wind becoming southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Considerable cloudiness.  Snow showers or flurries along with some light freezing rain or sleet possible at times.  High 30 to 35.

.Sunday Night...  Flurries possible.  Considerable cloudiness.  Low 10 to 15.

.Monday...  Partly sunny.  High 17 to 22.

.Monday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 5 to 10.

.Tuesday...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 12 to 17.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  19
Low:    1

Sunrise Saturday:  7:52 AM CST
Sunset Saturday:   4:42 PM CST

Tim