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Showing posts from February, 2013

Crack open a beer or pop! The unofficial start to spring is just hours away!

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/Issued 3:37 PM CST, Thursday, February 28th, 2013/

-Here's a look at the three month precipitation data (November 2012-January 2013)  Note all of Minnesota had near average precipitation during that 3 month period with Northeast Minnesota in the Abnormally Moist category.  It's been a weird winter with snowfall below average in Duluth, but precipitation has been above average, again you can thank the multiple rain events we had in December and January for why were running above average in the precipitation department.  (Souce, NOAA, NCDC)



















Well, the end of winter Meteorologically speaking is almost over, as I type this blog we are just T-8 hours away from kicking off Meteorological spring or the period March through May.

Weather Tidbits:

-Duluth's streak without any measurable precipitation ends at 4 consecutive days (February 24-27)  This ties the November 4 day dry streak which occurred on the 13th-16th.

Could it be? A month that finishes with a below average temperature …

Anyone else think that Today feels like a Thursday or is it just me? Oh yeah the weather; Quiet; And the LRC forecast for March.

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/Issued 3:53 PM CST, Wednesday, February 27th, 2013/

*7 day precipitation forecast, valid through Wednesday, March 6, 2013.  A system early next week could bring some accumulating snow or mixed precipitation to parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.  (Source, HPC)


















Weather Tidbits:

-Duluth, Minnesota has experienced 3 consecutive days without any measurable precipitation (February 24-26)  Gotta go back to mid-November to find a longer streak than this one.  4 days (November 13-16)

-LRC forecast for Duluth, MN for March 2013:  

*15 days with snow (0.1" or greater) 
*12.2" of total snowfall which is 1.0" below average. 
*Mean temperature of 27.7F which is 1.8 degrees warmer than normal. 
*20 days with a high temperature of at least 32F. 
*1 day with a high temperature of at least 50F.

-LRC scorecard for February. Note:  It's done quite well this month. 
*Total snowfall:  18.2"; Actual 19.1". 
*Days with snow:  11; Actual 15.

Note:   More stats will be …

Dry; No weather is good weather-or something like that.

/Issued 3:49 PM CST, Tuesday, February 26th, 2013/

A major winter storm affected parts of the Southern and Central Plains during the last 24 hours.  Here are a few selected snowfall storm totals from February 25-26, 2013 per HPC.

Follet, Texas:  21.0"
Fort Supply, Oklahoma:  18.0"
Near Amarillo, Texas:  17.0"
Alva, Oklahoma:  17.0"
Woodward, Oklahoma:  15.0"
Pampa, Texas:  15.0"
Warrensburg, Missouri:  14.0"
Carbondale, Kansas:  10.0"
Centerville, Iowa:  8.5"
Mount Sterling, Illinois:  7.6"
Galesburg, Illinois:  7.0"

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Temperatures varied considerably across Minnesota Today as a goofy weather pattern continues for yet another day.  High temperatures made it into the 40s from Hibbing and Bigfork, north to the Ontario border with 30s in the rest of our area while 20s were common in Western and Southwest Minnesota.  Winds have finally increased a bit This Afternoon which…

Quiet

/Issued 2:41 PM CST, Monday, February 25th, 2013/

Weather Tidbits:

*Today marks the 4thday this month and the 3rd day in a row with a high temperature of at least 32F at Duluth, Minnesota.  Last February had 15 days at or above 32F.

High temperature report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

February 17-23, 2013:

2/17:  25F/Normal
2/18:  27F/2 degrees above normal
2/19:  7F/18 degrees below normal
2/20:  20F/6 degrees below normal
2/21:  24F/2 degrees below normal
2/22:  27F/1 degrees above normal
2/23:  34F/7 degrees above normal

Low temperature report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

February 17-23, 2013:

2/17:  -1F/8 degrees below normal
2/18:  7F/Normal
2/19:  -6F/13 degrees below normal
2/20:  -8F/16 degrees below normal
2/21:  -7F/15 degrees below normal
2/22:  23F/14 degrees above normal
2/23:  21F/12 degrees above normal

Precipitation total for 2/17-2/23/13:  0.39"
Normal:  0.23"
Departure:  +0.16"

LRC snowfall forecast for 2/17-2/23/13:  7.9"
Actual:…

It's a stagnant weather pattern; Possible fog at night; Mild temperatures during the day.

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/Issued 3:44 PM CST, Saturday, February 23rd, 2013/

-Snowfall map from Friday, February 22, 2013.  A decent snow event from the Twin Ports to Hinckley, east into all of Northwest Wisconsin.  A minimum of 3" and a maximum of 8-9" within this corridor.


















Duluth, Minnesota snow stats (Airport location)

February snowfall total (thru the 23rd)  19.3"
Departure: Around 10" above normal
Last February (thru the 23rd)  6.0"
+13.3" more snow this February vs. last February.

Winter snowfall total (Dec-Feb 23)  41.7"
Departure: Around 4" below normal
Last winter (Dec-Feb 23)  19.2"
+22.5" more snow this winter vs. last winter.

Annual snowfall total (Since July 1)  53.0"
Departure:  Around 9" below normal
Last year's annual snowfall total (thru the 23rd of Feb)  22.0"
+31" more snow this year's annual total vs. last year's.

Weather Tidbits:

*22/23 or all but 1 day so far in February has had at least a trace of snow re…

Snowfall report in this post. A little more snow Tonight; Shaping up to be a nice weekend-get outside and enjoy the snow while you can.

/Issued 3:35 PM CST, Friday, February 22nd, 2013/

*Preliminary snowfall report for February 22, 2013*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

2 W of Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)  8.0"
Cornucopia, WI (Bayfield County)  7.0"
High Bridge, WI (Ashland County)  7.0"
Webb Lake, WI (Burnett County)  6.0"
Glidden, WI (Ashland County)  6.0"
8 ESE of Pine City, MN (Pine County)  5.9"
Maple, WI (Douglas County)  5.0"
4 S of Bruno, MN (Pine County)  4.5"
Port Wing, WI (Bayfield County)  4.0"
Holyoke, MN (Carlton County)  3.5"
2 SW of Hinckley, MN (Pine County)  3.5"
Mouth of Brule, WI (Douglas County)  3.0"
Seeley, WI (Sawyer County)  3.0"
5 NW of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  2.0" official NWS total thru Noon

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Low pressure of 1010mb has moved into Southeast Wisconsin as of 3 PM.  This system brought widespread light to moderate snow to Northwest Wisconsin,…

Winter Weather Advisory for Duluth 4am Friday-10pm Friday; Snow arrives Friday AM, tapers off Friday Night.

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/Issued 4:00 PM CST, Thursday, February 21st, 2013/

*SREF model snowfall forecast for Friday.  This model shows about 2-5" of snow, heaviest totals in Northwest Wisconsin.  Amounts taper off to a dusting or less for International Falls, Bigfork, Cass Lake and into the Arrowhead of Minnesota.


















Weather Tidbits:

-As expected, the consecutive days streak with at least a trace of precipitation came to an end at both Duluth and International Falls on Wednesday, February 20, 2013.  Duluth's streak ended at 24 days in a row (January 27-February 19)  International Falls streak ended at 41 days (January 11-February 19)

-February 20, 2013 was the 1st time since Janaury 4, 2013 with no precipitation at International Falls.

-27 days so far this winter with a low temperature of 0F or colder at Duluth, Minnesota.  Last winter we had a grand total of 14 days.  (Dec-Feb period)

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

What happened?  The forecast called for br…

-Winter Weather Advisory issued for parts of the Northland; Future radar/timing of when the snow begins.

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/Issued 3:39 PM CST, Thursday, February 21st, 2013/

*Future radar for 6 AM Friday per 18z HIRES model.  Snow should be spreading into Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin between 4-6 AM Tomorrow Morning.  Could be some light snow in the Twin Ports at 6 AM Friday.




















*Here's what the radar should look like at 9 AM Friday.  Light to moderate snow from the Twin Ports, south through Eastern Minnesota into much of Northern Wisconsin per 18z HIRES model.




















*And at 3 PM Friday there should still be some snow falling around Lake Superior, far Eastern Minnesota and into much of Northern Wisconsin per 18z HIRES model.

Note:  When looking at these maps, the light and dark blue colors represent generally light snow.  Green colors depict heavier snowfall.

















Winter weather headline information per National Weather Service Duluth, MN.

*WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY*

Location:  Far Eastern Minnesota, the North Shore of Lake Superior and parts of Northwest Wisconsin including the Counties of:

Pine MN
Carlton MN

Clear/calm/cold Tonight; Sunshine and a smidge warmer on Thursday; Little bit of snow on Friday.

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/Issued 3:24 PM CST, Wednesday, February 20th, 2013/

-Surface map for Friday Morning, February 22, 2013 per 12z ECMWF ensemble model.  The pressure gradient (black lines in the map below) should tighten up a bit late this week between the surface low in Northeast Missouri and an area of high pressure over Hudson Bay.  Could see wind gusts out of the ENE of 20-25 mph, especially near Lake Superior from Thursday Night into Friday.  That low in Missouri could also bring a bit of snow to portions of the Northland on Friday, more info. on that can be found below.

















Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Temperatures warmed up a little bit Today with highs mainly in the teens.  Lots of sunshine Today except in parts of Northwest Wisconsin where skies were mostly cloudy.  Winds were light and out of the north or south at 5 to 10 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis

An upper level ridge has moved into the Upper Midwest while strong low pressure systems cover…

Bundle up! Another night in the freezer; Wind Chill Advisory for the entire Northland; Recap of last night's wind storm; A few inches of snow on Friday?

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/Issued 3:21 PM CST, Tuesday, February 19th, 2013/

*Storm track forecast per HPC.  Note the weakening in the pressure, going from 996mb Tomorrow Evening to 1008mb by Friday Morning as the surface low reaches Northeast Missouri.  This storm weakens because of a large area of high pressure/ridge which will cover Central-Eastern Canada later this week.  The biggest snow totals (10-20") still look like they will fall in Nebraska, Iowa, and parts of South Dakota and Kansas.  Some snow will occur in Minnesota and Wisconsin Thursday-Friday but amounts won't be as significant this far north.

















Strong winds buffeted the North Shore of Lake Superior Monday Night.

Here's a few of the peak wind gusts from February 18-19, 2013
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, MN

The Bay of Grand Marais:  63 mph  (offshore reporting station)
Silver Bay:  56 mph (offshore reporting station)
Cloquet:  44 mph
Grand Marais Airport:  40 mph
Duluth:  40 mph
Two Harbors:  37 mph
Sky Harbor:  36 mph

*Reco…

*Numerous winter weather headlines in effect for Tonight and Tuesday. Winter Weather Advisory for Duluth til Midnight Tonight and a Wind Chill Advisory Midnight Tonight until Noon Tuesday*

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/Issued 4:17 PM CST, Monday, February 18th, 2013/

Winter Weather Headline information
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota


















*WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY*

Location:  Northern and Northeast Minnesota including the Counties of Koochiching...Itasca...St. Louis...Carlton...Lake...and Cook.

Some cities included in the advisory are:  International Falls...Bigfork...Grand Rapids...Duluth...Hibbing...Ely...Crane Lake...Cloquet...Two Harbors...Silver Bay...Finland...Lutsen...and Grand Marais.

Timing:  Until Midnight CST Tonight.

Discussion:  Light snow This Evening with accumulations of 1-2" possible.  Storm totals of 3-7" from the Iron Range to the Borderland.

Winds and visibility:  Northwest winds will increase to 15 to 30 mph Tonight.  Areas of blowing snow could develop.  Visibilities could drop to a mile or less at times.

Impacts:  Roads will be snow covered and slippery.  Use caution if you have travel plans and be sure to allow extra time to reach your destination.

*WIND CH…

Arctic blast into Wednesday; Strong winds Tonight/Tuesday; Heavy lake effect snow east of the Twin Ports.

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/Issued 2:38 PM CST, Monday, February 18th, 2013/

*7 day precipitation forecast from the HPC.  Finally some significant precipitation amounts for the Central Plains, remember this area is suffering from a major drought, so any precipitation they get will help at least a little bit.  

For Minnesota anywhere from 0.25 to 1.25" of precipitation is forecast to fall between now and next Monday, most of this falls as snow so in the end there could be some pretty hefty totals by early next week when you combine the 2 possible systems that could affect the Gopher state, 1 later this week, and the other late this weekend/early next week.
















Weather Tidbits:

*23 days in a row with at least a trace of snow at Duluth, Minnesota (January 27-February 17)  We could see this streak come to an end on Wednesday.

*39 days in a row with at least a trace of snow at International Falls, Minnesota (January 11-February 18)

Snowfall and precipitation update for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

February snowfal…