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Showing posts from January, 2013

In Today's blog: A recap of the severe weather outbreak from the past 2 days; Annual snowfall totals for cities in MN, WI and MI; Dangerously cold in the Northland Tonight-Friday AM with hazadous wind chills.

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/Issued 2:38 PM CST, Thursday, January 31st, 2013/

-The map below represents the average number of tornadoes in January for the period 1991-2010.  

It really isn't unusual to get an outbreak of severe thunderstorms at this time of year in Dixie Alley, or anywhere in the Southern U.S.  Severe weather isn't as common though during the month of January the farther north you go, so when you start to see damaging wind, hail, and even tornado reports at this time of year in the Ohio Valley and Southern Great Lakes that is somewhat unusual, but remember what happened on January 7, 2008 in far Southern Wisconsin? 5 tornadoes! So, perhaps this is the new normal, a severe weather outbreak in January affecting areas outside of Dixie Alley. 
















*Annual snowfall totals and the departure from average for select cities in the Upper Midwest*

Note:  Data is thru January 30, 2013.

Duluth, Minnesota

Total snowfall:  33.6"
Departure:  -19.1"

International Falls, Minnesota

Total snowfall:  49.0&quo…

Cold wave thru Friday Night; Widespread teens and 20s below Friday AM; A few inches of snow possible late Tonight-Thursday especially northeast-east of Duluth.

/Issued 3:10 PM CST, Wednesday, January 30th, 2013/

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Strong low pressure of 986mb has moved into Western lower Michigan as of mid-Afternoon.  Gusty winds and a significant amount of snow and blowing snow has been occurring Today to the west of this storm, from Central Iowa to Eastern Wisconsin to Central Upper Michigan.  Our area was too far NW of this storm to see any major snowfall Today, but some light snow did affect Southeast portions of Northwest Wisconsin, generally in Sawyer and Price Counties.  Lake effect snow showers also occurred Today along the South Shore of Lake Superior from Douglas to Iron County.  Colder air continues to push into the Northland Today with highs in the single digits and teens.  Winds were out of the north or west at 10 to 25 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

A powerful upper level trough with widespread height falls of 120-180 meters is moving through the Upper Midwest, Great …

Snowfall report from last night; What does February have in store for the Twin Ports? Warm, cold, snowy? LRC outlook for February in Today's blog.

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/Issued 3:05 PM CST, Tuesday, January 29th, 2013/

*Total snowfall map for January 28-29, 2013.  Heaviest snow targeted Western/Northern Minnesota, or northwest of Duluth.
















*Total snowfall from the system on January 27, 2013.  This one gave Central-Northern Wisconsin the greatest amounts of snow, or southeast of Duluth.
















Snowfall report for January 28-29, 2013
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Dixon Lake, MN (Itasca County)  11.0"
1 WNW of the town of Cass Lake, MN (Cass County)  10.5"
Bigfork, MN (Itasca County)  10.0"
5 S of Littlefork, MN (Koochiching County)  8.5"
3 S of Northome, MN (Itasca County)  8.3"

Kettle Falls, MN (Koochiching County)  8.0"
2 SSW of Kabetogama, MN (St. Louis County)  8.0"
1 S of Walker, MN (Cass County)  7.0"
Togo, MN (Itasca County)  6.5"
International Falls, MN (Koochiching County)  6.5"

3 E of Orr, MN (St. Louis County)  6.3"
3 W of Indus, MN (Koochiching County)  6.1"
12 N of Grand Rapids, MN (…

Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories cover the Northland for Tonight and Tuesday; Heaviest snow stays NW of Duluth with this one; Isolated t'storms possible late Tonight in NW Wisconsin. Snowfall report from Sunday Night's system included in this post.

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/Issued 4:08 PM CST, Monday, January 28th, 2013/

-Here's the 4" or greater snowfall potential for Tonight and Tuesday per HPC.

Red=High Risk
Green=Moderate Risk
Blue=Slight Risk
















-SREF 15z 1/28/13 snowfall forecast for Tonight and Tuesday.  Western and Northern Minnesota will be in the favored zone with this storm with a swath of 4-8" of snow possible for those areas.  Snow totals will drop-off dramatically once you get to the Twin Ports, North Shore and Northwest Wisconsin where 1-2" of snow is possible.

















Snowfall report for January 27, 2013
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Washburn, WI (Bayfield County)  6.0"
Gile, WI (Iron County)  5.5"
Upson, WI (Iron County)  5.5"
Butternut, WI (Ashland County)  5.5"
Sarona, WI (Washburn County)  5.5"
Glidden, WI (Ashland County)  5.0"

2 W of Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)  4.5"
2 E of Odanah, WI (Ashland County)  4.0"
Shell Lake, WI (Washburn County)  4.0"
Ashland, WI (Ashland County…

Winter Storm Watch for areas west-northwest of Duluth; Expect Warnings and Advisories to be issued by later Today.

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/Issued 11:04 AM CST, Monday, January 28th, 2013/

...Significant snow accumulations possible This Evening thru Tuesday in parts of Northcentral and Northeast Minnesota...  At this time it appears that the heaviest snowfall accumulations will be west and northwest of the Twin Ports.

Areas shaded in blue are under a winter storm watch for Tonight and Tuesday per National Weather Service Duluth.
















*WINTER STORM WATCH*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Location:  Portions of Northcentral and Northeast Minnesota, including the Brainerd Lakes, Iron Range, Arrowhead, and Borderland.  Counties included in the watch are:  Koochiching...Itasca...Cass...Crow Wing...Northern Aitkin...Central and Northern St. Louis...Northern Lake...and Northern Cook.

Some cities included in the watch are:  International Falls...Bigfork...Grand Rapids...Cass Lake...Walker...Leader...Brainerd...Hill City...Hibbing...Ely...Crane Lake...and Orr.

Timing:  5 PM CST This Evening through Tuesday Afternoon.

Disc…

Some snow or freezing drizzle Tonight, greatest snow accumulations south/east of Duluth; Another potential snow-mixed precip event for Monday Night/Tuesday.

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/Issued 3:21 PM CST, Sunday, January 27th, 2013/

*SREF 15z 1.27.13 Total snowfall forecast for Tonight.  

The highest amounts are forecast to be in Northwestern Wisconsin...That area may pick up 2-4" of snow by Monday Morning with isolated higher amounts of up to 5" along and east of a Shell Lake, Hayward, Ashland line.  

Superior, Duluth, parts of the North Shore, I-35 corridor, west toward the Brainerd Lakes could get 1-2" of snow by Monday AM.















Note:  With just a few days left in January let's see how the LRC is doing.

Duluth, Minnesota stats for January 2013 (thru the 26th)

Mean temperature:  13.0F
Actual:  11.2F

Days with snow:  16
Actual:  11

Total snowfall:  19.7"
Actual:  7.3"

Number of days with a low temperature of 0F or colder:  13
Actual:  10

=========================================================================

LRC snowfall forecast for 1/20-1/26:  4.0"
Actual:  2.8"
Error:  -1.2"

LRC snowfall forecast for 1/27-2/2:  7.2" 

================…

Another round of snow and possible freezing rain to affect parts of the Northland later Today-Monday AM.

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/Issued 11:44 AM CST, Sunday, January 27th, 2013/

...A round of wintry weather to hit portions of the Northland later Today-Tonight...

-NWS hazards map.  Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for areas south/east of Duluth.


















*WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Location:  Portions of Eastcentral Minnesota and all of Northwest Wisconsin, including the Counties of Pine MN...Douglas WI...Bayfield WI...Ashland WI...Iron WI...Burnett WI...Washburn WI...Sawyer WI...and Price WI.

Some cities included in the advisory are:  Hinckley MN...Pine City MN...Superior WI...Solon Springs WI...Bayfield WI...Ashland WI...Butternut WI...Hurley WI...Gile WI...Upson WI...Siren WI...Grantsburg WI...Minong WI...Shell Lake WI...Spooner WI...Hayward WI...Winter WI...Exeland WI...Park Falls WI...and Phillips WI.

Timing:  Until 9 AM CST Monday.

Discussion:  Snow is expected to develop in the advisory area between 3PM and 7PM Today, the snow will then continue Overnight before e…

The warmup has begun! Mild temperatures thru Tuesday, turns colder by midweek; Light snow/freezing drizzle threat Sunday PM.

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/Issued 3:30 PM CST, Saturday, January 26th, 2013/

-A variety of winter weather warnings and advisories for freezing rain and or snow have been issued for Sunday in parts of Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.  If you have travel plans into those areas you may wanna postpone them until Monday.




















-Areas outlined in blue and green have the greatest potential for ice accumulations of at least 0.25" on Sunday per HPC.





















Weather Tidbits:

*11 days so far this month with a low temperature of 0F or colder at Duluth, Minnesota.  January 2012 featured 9 days at or below 0F.

*18 days from November 1 thru January 26, 2012-13 with a low temperature of 0F or colder at Duluth, Minnesota.  That same period last year produced 12 days.

January 2013 climate check for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

Note:  Data is thru the 25th.


-Average monthly temperature:  11.6F or 1.5 degrees warmer than normal.

-Total precipitation:  1.20" which is 0.39" above normal.     

-Total snowfall:  7.3" …