Monday, April 30, 2012

Latest info. on Tuesday's thunderstorm/severe potential. Another update may be needed Tuesday Morning.

Issued at 3:46 PM CDT, Monday, April 30th, 2012

  • A few showers early This Evening
  • Scattered showers-thunderstorms (severe?) Tuesday/Tuesday Night
  • Additional chances for showers mid to late week

-15z SREF significant tornado ingredients index for late Tuesday Afternoon, centered at 7pm.  Eastcentral Minnesota could have an isolated spin-up, more details below.















Weather Tidbits:

April 2012 had more days in the 50s at Duluth, Minnesota, but fewer days in the 60s and 70s compared to March.

Number of days at or above 50F:  20 in April vs. 14 in March.
Number of days at or above 60F:  4 in April vs. 7 in March.
Number of days at or above 70F:  1 in April vs. 4 in March.

Rainfall report for Sunday Night/Monday Morning, April 29th-30th, 2012
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Prentice, WI:  0.70"
Butternut, WI:  0.27"
Saxon, WI:  0.20"
4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  0.15"
Hayward, WI:  0.09"

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Skies were partly to mostly cloudy on this final day of April with mild temperatures.  Highs were in the 50s and 60s with 40s in Downtown Duluth.  Winds were out of the southwest or east at around 10 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

500mb flow has transitioned into a more zonal pattern (west to east) A potent disturbance was passing north of our area thru Ontario Province Today with up to 60 meter 12 hour height falls per RUC model analysis.  A more impressive system was moving east thru the Pacific Northwest with 60-90 meter 12 hour height falls.  850mb temperatures as of 3pm ranged from +4C in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin to +8C in Southwest Minnesota.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight (April 30th)

The trailing edge of the Ontario disturbance will exit our area This Evening...This feature might be able to pop a shower or two early This Evening, but the majority of our area will be dry.  By late Tonight, a S/SW low level jet will start to ramp up ahead of a developing area of low pressure in the Northern Plains.  Advection of warmer/more moist air will begin Overnight, and this could lead to scattered showers after 3AM, especially around the Brainerd Lakes region.  Lows Tonight will mainly be in the 40s, with some 30s in Northeast Minnesota.  Winds will be out of the south or east at around 10 mph.

-Tonight's low temperature forecast.













-12z 4km Hi-Res NAM forecast.  Could be a round of showers/thunderstorms around our area Tuesday Morning thru midday Tuesday.
















-12z 4km Hi-Res NAM forecast for Tuesday Evening, additional storms are forecast to develop according to this model.  Note:  This is just 1 model's take on how things may play out Tuesday and Tuesday Night.
















Tuesday and Tuesday Night (May 1st)

...A few severe thunderstorms possible Tuesday Afternoon and Evening...

An area of low pressure will be passing west-northwest of our immediate area.  A warm front is expected to lift north out of Southern Minnesota while a cold front heads east out of Western Minnesota.

-Low level jet of 30-45 knots will be common in Minnesota ahead of this system with 850mb td's climbing to +8 to +12C.

-Instability will be on the increase with CAPE of around 1000 j/kg by midday Tuesday-late Tuesday Night.  Lower amounts of instability is expected in Northeast Minnesota and far Northwest Wisconsin.

-Dewpoints rising into the 50s, maybe even the low 60s in Southern parts of our area.

-Wind shear will be present.  Surface winds:  S/SE.  850mb winds:  S.  500mb winds:  W/SW.

-A mid level jet of around 50 knots will push E/NE out of the Northern Plains while an upper level jet with two stronger wind maxes...One north of the border of around 100 knots with an 80 knot wind max moving NE out of the Northern Plains.

The ingredients mentioned above will be enough to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across our area for Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night.  There is some uncertainty, however, in regards to how much sunshine will see on Tuesday and this is important since cloudier skies and more persistent convection would limit heating, resulting in lower instability levels compared to those mentioned above.  If this occurs, then the severe threat would be much lower in our area.

If the forecasted CAPE values and moisture are realized, then there would be a risk of severe thunderstorms especially Tuesday Afternoon and Evening.

*0-1 KM EHI of around 2 combined with 1km Helicity of around 150 m2/s2 working with around 40 knots of 6km Bulk Shear and Effective Bulk Shear would be favorable for a few supercells and possibly an isolated tornado risk, especially in Central and Eastern Minnesota between 5-9pm Tuesday.

-The main hazards from storms that become strong to severe would be from hail and gusty winds along with heavy rain and dangerous lightning.  Again, an isolated tornado risk is also possible late Tuesday Afternoon-early Tuesday Evening, mainly for Crow Wing, Southern Aitkin and Pine Counties in Northeast Minnesota and Burnett County in Northwest Wisconsin...This tornado risk also extends farther south as well, into Central Minnesota.

High temperatures on Tuesday will be in the 60s and 70s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Tuesday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.  Winds during this period will be out of the south, east or west at 10 to 20 mph.

-SPC's severe weather outlook for Tuesday.  All of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin is under a *Slight Risk for Severe Thunderstorms*














-SPC's severe thunderstorm probability forecast for Tuesday.  The majority of our area is in a 15% chance.  Higher probs 30% are in Southern Pine County Minnesota, including Pine City.  With all of Central, Southern and most of Eastern Minnesota also in a 30% risk area.














12z NAM 1km EHI forecast for late Tuesday Afternoon.  Still noticing some higher values supportive of supercell thunderstorm development in parts of Central-Eastern Minnesota.
















-Surface map for 7pm Tuesday per HPC.  Greatest threat for severe weather, possible supercells will likely be near the warm frontal boundary and area of low pressure along the ND/MN border.  Not sure if the warm front will be quite as far north as what this map shows, but will see.














-High temperature forecast for Tuesday.













Extended Forecast, Wednesday-Friday (May 2nd-4th)

The cold front that'll move through our area Tuesday Night is forecast to stall out in Southern Minnesota and Central Wisconsin while wavering a bit toward the north/south from mid to late week.  Scattered showers are possible in our area during this period, but the potential for thunderstorms is lower since will be pretty far north of the actual boundary...The exception to this might be in the Pine City-Shell Lake-Hayward-Park Falls corridor and points south where a few stronger thunderstorms could occur Wednesday and Thursday.  High temperatures on Wednesday will be in the 60s and 70s.  Highs for Thursday and Friday will be in the 60s and 70s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Wednesday Night and Thursday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.

Long Range Forecast (May 5th-11th)

High pressure will setup to our north while a frontal boundary remains nearly stationary well to our south.  A few areas of low pressure will likely eject out of the Western U.S. and move along that boundary.  It's still too early to say for sure how far north the rain will get this weekend into the middle of next week, since the Northland will probably be fighting a dry/stable airmass coming south off that Ontario high.  It does look cooler during this period with temperatures near to possibly a bit below average.

-5 day precipitation forecast, valid thru Saturday Morning, May 5th, 2012.  (HPC) Some fairly healthy rainfall totals for the Upper Midwest this week.  Of course with thunderstorms, some spots will likely receive lots of rain while other locations receive lesser amounts.















5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 40 to 45.  Wind east around 10 mph.

.Tuesday...  Showers or thunderstorms possible.  Considerable cloudiness.  High 57 to 62 but in the 40s near Lake Superior.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of rain 40%.

.Tuesday Night...  Showers or thunderstorms possible.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.  Wind becoming south to southwest at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of rain 60%.

.Wednesday...  Showers possible.  Partly sunny.  High 70 to 75.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Wednesday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 45 to 50.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Thursday...  Partly sunny.  Showers possible.  High 60 to 65.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Thursday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.

.Friday...  Partly sunny.  Showers possible.  High 57 to 62 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Chance of rain 20%.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  57
Low:  36

Sunrise Tuesday:  5:53 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday:   8:20 PM CDT

Tuesday's Pollen Forecast:  8.7/Medium-High


Tim





Sunday, April 29, 2012

Scattered showers Tonight/Monday. Thundery Tuesday? Possible severe weather?

Issued at 8:00 PM CDT, Sunday, April 29th, 2012

  • Scattered showers Tonight and Monday
  • Severe thunderstorm potential for Tuesday
  • Most of us will have above average temperatures for the next several days

-12z 4km Hi-Res NAM forecast...Here's 1 model's take on how things could play out late Tuesday Afternoon and Evening.  This model shows thunderstorm development across Northcentral Minnesota.  More details below...
















High temperature report for Duluth, Minnesota

April 22nd-28th, 2012.  2nd number represents the departure from average.

April 22nd:  47 degrees/-6 degrees
April 23rd:  59 degrees/+6 degrees
April 24th:  66 degrees/+12 degrees
April 25th:  49 degrees/-5 degrees
April 26th:  53 degrees/-2 degrees
April 27th:  50 degrees/-5 degrees
April 28th:  50 degrees/-6 degrees

Low temperature report for Duluth, Minnesota

April 22nd-28th, 2012.  2nd number represents the departure from average.

April 22nd:  34 degrees/+1 degree
April 23rd:  25 degrees/-8 degrees
April 24th:  47 degrees/+13 degrees
April 25th:  41 degrees/+7 degrees
April 26th:  32 degrees/-2 degrees
April 27th:  32 degrees/-3 degrees
April 28th:  33 degrees/-2 degrees

Note:  4/22-4/28 precipitation total:  0.35" with a trace of snow.

-Precipitation total from this past week, certainly was much drier in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin compared to the previous week.




















-Duluth had about 50% of their average precip for April 22-28.  Northwest Wisconsin had only 25% of their normal precipitation amount this past week.  Better conditions were found across Northern Minnesota.




















Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

High pressure of 1024-1026mb extended from Southern Hudson Bay Canada to the Eastern Great Lakes.  A stationary front was draped west-east thru the Central Plains.  A weak surface trough was over the Central Dakotas.  Our area saw partly sunny-mostly cloudy skies Today with scattered light rain showers and sprinkles affecting parts of our area.  Highs ranged from the middle to upper 40s near Lake Superior with 50s and 60s elsewhere.  Winds were out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

The pattern is changing after about a week of a general N/NW 500mb flow.  Upper level trough continued to cover the Northeast U.S. and Quebec Province with an upper level ridge over the Great Lakes while a potent disturbance lifts E/NE thru North Dakota and Southern Manitoba Province with the greatest height falls staying north of the border per RUC model analysis.  850mb temperatures as of 7pm ranged from +6 to +8C in Southwest Minnesota to +2 to +4C in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight (April 29th)

Low pressure trough will remain west of our area while a disturbance lifts northeast out of Central Iowa.  An area of rain associated with that Iowa disturbance will affect parts of Northwest Wisconsin Tonight, generally east of an Ashland to Hayward line.  Elsewhere, expect scattered light rain showers.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with lows in the 30s and 40s.  Winds will be out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.

-5pm HRRR model run:  Rainfall amounts of around a quarter inch are possible by Monday Morning around Hurley, Park Falls, Exeland and Loretta in Northwest Wisconsin.  The rest of the Northland will have very light amounts, generally around a trace of 0.05".


















-Tonight's low temperature forecast.













Monday and Monday Night (April 30th)

The final day of April will feature mild temperatures.  Highs on Monday will be in the 50s and 60s with lows Monday Night mainly in the 40s.  Scattered showers are also possible during this period with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Winds will be out of the south, west or east at 5 to 15 mph.

-Monday's high temperature forecast.













Extended Forecast, Tuesday-Thursday (May 1st-3rd)

...A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.  The Storm Prediction Center has all but Northeast and Southeast Minnesota in a *Slight Risk* for severe thunderstorms.  This includes the cities of International Falls, Hibbing, Bigfork, Grand Rapids, Cass Lake, Brainerd, Aitkin, Moose Lake, Hinckley and Pine City in our local area.















Low pressure is expected to move northeast across the Northern Plains on Tuesday while a warm front lifts north into Minnesota, with a cold front heading east into the area Tuesday Night. 

-A 30-40 knot low level jet from the south is forecast to develop ahead of this system which should pull deeper moisture north into our area.  Dewpoints in the 50s and 850mb td's of around +10C are expected in our area on Tuesday with increasing instability with CAPE of around 1000 j/kg (possibly higher depending on sky conditions)

-Winds will be changing direction with height with S-SE surface winds, switching to the south at 850mb and W-SW at 500mb.  0-6 KM and Effective Bulk Shear is forecast to be in the 30-40 knot range which is favorable for severe weather.  Also of concern is the 1km Energy Helicity Index which maxes out in the 2-3 range in portions of Central Minnesota late Tuesday Afternoon.

-18z NAM 1km EHI forecast for late Tuesday Afternoon.  Note the maxed out values in Westcentral & Central Minnesota.  Values of 2-3 indicate the potential for supercellular thunderstorms and possible tornadoes if other ingredients are in place.  Stay tuned!
















The potential is there for scattered showers and thunderstorms in the Northland for Tuesday and Tuesday Night.  If the parameters mentioned above do indeed materialize, then there would also be a risk for a few severe thunderstorms especially Tuesday Afternoon-Evening.  Large hail and damaging winds are the main hazards, but with the shear in place, the potential for supercells and possibly an isolated tornado threat are also possible, especially near the warm frontal boundary in Central Minnesota.

Highs on Tuesday will be in the 60s and 70s, but it will be cooler near Lake Superior.  Lows Tuesday Night will be in the 50s with 40s near Lake Superior.

For Wednesday and Thursday...A cold front will likely become stationary south/east of our area.  This front could remain close enough to our area to produce more showers or thunderstorms especially on Wednesday.  Right now it appears that any severe potential on Wednesday would be south of our area, but this could change.

Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will be in the 60s and 70s.  Lows Wednesday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.

Long Range Forecast (May 4th-10th)

Some showers are possible late next week/weekend (4th-6th) but this will depend on how the pattern sets up at that time.  It's certainly possible that any rain late next week would be well to our south as high pressure attempts to build south once again out of Central Canada.  It does look cooler during this period with near to even below normal temperatures returning.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers at times.  Low 36 to 41.  Wind east to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.

.Monday...  Variable cloudiness.  A few showers possible.  High 58 to 63 but cooler closer to Lake Superior.  Wind southeast around 10 mph during the Morning, becoming southwest at 10 to 15 mph.  Chance of rain 30%.

.Monday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 40 to 45.  Wind east to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Tuesday...  Showers or thunderstorms possible.  Variable cloudiness.  High 60 to 65 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Chance of rain 40%.

.Tuesday Night...  Showers or thunderstorms possible.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.  Chance of rain 60%.

.Wednesday...  Showers possible.  Partly sunny.  High 65 to 70.  Chance of rain 30%.

.Wednesday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.

.Thursday...  Partly sunny.  Showers possible.  High 60 to 65.  Chance of rain 20%.

Normal temperatures for Tomorrow

High:  57
Low:  36

Sunrise Monday:  5:54 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   8:18 PM CDT

Monday's Pollen Forecast:  10.0/High
Monday's UV Forecast:  7.0/Medium

Tim



Saturday, April 28, 2012

Oh those Ontario highs are powerful! Another crisp night ahead. Showery rains next week.

Issued at 3:57 PM CDT, Saturday, April 28th, 2012

  • Dry and cool Tonight
  • A risk for some showers Sunday Night-Monday along with near to above normal temps
  • Chance for off an on showers most of next week, maybe some thunder?

-A very cool looking visible satellite image from This Afternoon.  Clear skies north of Duluth, cloudier skies from near Duluth and points south.















-Here's another visible satellite loop from earlier Today.  Note the clear skies in Northern Minnesota and Lake Superior, ahh the power of an Ontario high!
















Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

High pressure ridge averaging 1026mb extended from Central Ontario Province to Lake Huron This Afternoon with low pressure of 1010mb covering Northwest South Dakota.  A very fine line between sunshine and clouds Today and this line was pretty much along the Highway 2 corridor in Northeast Minnesota.  Locations north of Highway 2 saw mainly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures Today with highs in the 50s to lower 60s, while locations along and south of Highway 2 saw partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with highs in the 40s and 50s with upper 30s in Downtown Duluth.  The high to our north/east continued to pump a very dry airmass into our area which kept all the rain or mixed precipitation well to our west/south Today.  Winds Today were out of the east at 5 to 15 mph with gusts of 20 to 30 mph, especially near Lake Superior.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

A very chaotic 500mb pattern Today.  An upper level low was nearly stationary in Western South Dakota with an upper level trough covering the Western U.S.  Another trough remained in place from Central-Eastern Canada to the Northeast U.S., undercutting these upper troughs was a W/SW flow from the Central Plains to Eastern U.S.  A narrow 500mb ridge extended from Manitoba and Western Ontario Provinces, south to the Western Great Lakes per RUC model analysis.  850mb temperatures as of 3pm in Minnesota were generally in the +2 to +4C range.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight (April 28th)

A ridge of high pressure to our north/east will keep our area dry Tonight under clear skies in Northern Minnesota and partly to mostly cloudy skies for Eastcentral Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Lows will be in the 20s and 30s with east winds at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph near Lake Superior.

-Tonight's low temperature forecast.  (intellicast.com)














-Sunday's high temperature forecast.  (intellicast.com)













-Still a risk for a frost/freeze Tonight in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  (intellicast.com)













Sunday and Sunday Night (April 29th)

High pressure will remain in place to our north/east while low pressure moves very slowly toward the east across the Northern Plains.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast this period.  Could be some scattered rain showers especially Sunday Night.  Highs Tomorrow will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the 30s and 40s.  Winds will be out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast, Monday-Wednesday (April 30th-May 2nd)

Scattered showers are possible next Monday as a weakening disturbances moves thru the Upper Midwest.  A somewhat stronger system will be moving northeast thru the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest for next Tuesday and Wednesday...This one has the potential to bring more widespread showers to Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin for Tuesday and Wednesday.  There's also a chance for a few thunderstorms Tuesday and Tuesday Night, but severe weather isn't expected this far north due to marginal instability and moisture up in this area.  High temperatures for Monday-Wednesday will be in the 50s and 60s with lows Monday Night and Tuesday Night mainly in the 40s.

-5 day precipitation forecast from the HPC.  This is valid thru Thursday Morning, May 3rd, 2012.
















Long Range Forecast (May 3rd-9th)

An upper level ridge is forecast to develop across the Southern U.S. while a zonal or W/SW upper level flow develops farther north for late next week/weekend.  Our area will be in between the ridge to our south and an upper level trough in Central/Eastern Canada.  Too early to tell which one will win out, although as of late the Central Canadian trough has won the battle more times than not which has resulted in cool temperatures, especially around Lake Superior.  If the storm track sets up far enough to the north, then we will have the chance for some rain showers from Thursday-Sunday (May 3rd-6th)  If the drier/cooler Central Canada trough wins out, then our area should be mostly dry during this period.  No signs of any prolonged warm-ups in the long range.  Temperatures for the most part should remain near seasonal averages.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Breezy.  Low 30 to 35.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

.Sunday...  Partly sunny.  High 52 to 57 but in the 40s near Lake Superior.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Sunday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 35 to 40.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 15 mph.

.Monday...  Variable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 55 to 60.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Monday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 40 to 45.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Tuesday...  Showers possible.  Variable cloudiness.  High 60 to 65 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Chance of rain 30%.

.Tuesday Night...  Showers possible.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.  Chance of rain 50%.

.Wednesday...  Showers possible.  Partly sunny.  High 63 to 68.  Chance of rain 30%.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  56
Low:  35

Sunrise Sunday:  5:56 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday:   8:17 PM CDT

Sunday's Pollen Forecast:  10.1/High
Sunday's UV Forecast:  6.0/Medium

Tim





Friday, April 27, 2012

Gusty east winds and cool temps near Lake Superior Tonight and Saturday. Latest drought maps and Tonight's frost/freeze map.

Issued at 4:28 PM CDT, Friday, April 27th, 2012

  • Near to below normal temperatures into Saturday
  • Warming up a bit away from Lake Superior on Sunday
  • Looks dry this weekend
  • Numerous shower chances next week

-Kinda wet in Westcentral/Southern Minnesota Tonight and Saturday.  A quarter to half inch of rain could fall thru Tomorrow, might even become cold enough for some ice pellets/wet snow flakes late Tonight-Saturday Morning.  (HPC)















Weather Tidbits:

*Some spots up north dropped into the mid and upper teens last night.  Silver Bay, MN:  18 F.  Ely, MN:  19 F.  Crane Lake, MN:  19 F.  Babbitt, MN:  16 F.  Embarrass, MN:  17 F.  (NWS Duluth)

*98.22% of Minnesota is abnormally dry which is down from 99.26% one week ago.  63.44% of Minnesota remains in moderate drought which is down from 64.62% last week.  22.58% of Minnesota is in severe drought which is down from 23.06% last week.  (Climate Prediction Center)
















-Wisconsin drought monitor as of April 24th, 2012 per CPC.  Western parts of Burnett County in Northwest Wisconsin are in moderate drought, the rest of Northwest Wisconsin is abnormally dry.















*Long Term Drought Index:  For the week ending on April 21st, 2012:  An additional 3-6" of precipitation is needed to get back to average in Northern Minnesota.  Things have improved in Northeast Minnesota where anywhere from a trace-3" of additional precipitation is needed to get back to average.  (CPC)
















Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

High pressure ridge of 1022-1026mb extended from Central Manitoba Province to Southern Lake Michigan with low pressure of 996mb in Central Kansas with a few weaker lows of 1000-1004mb in Southwest South Dakota and Northeast Montana.  Our area was under the control of the Manitoba high which is feeding dry air into our area, although mid/high level cloudiness has spread into our area Today with partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies.  Highs ranged from the middle 30s in the Arrowhead to the 40s and 50s elsewhere.  Winds were out of the east at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph near Lake Superior.

-Radar loop showing the chilly, wind driven rain affecting portions of the Northern Plains Today.  (intellicast.com)














Today's Upper Level Analysis:

A potent disturbance was moving E-NE thru Northern Kansas Today with an upper level trough extending northwest into the Northern Plains and Northern Rockies while another upper level trough covered the Northern/Eastern Great Lakes, Northeast U.S. and Eastern Canada per water vapor satellite imagery and RUC model analysis.  850mb temperatures as of 4pm ranged from 0 to -2C in Northeast Minnesota to +2 to +8C in Western and Southern Minnesota.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight through Saturday Night (April 27th-28th)

High pressure will remain to our north and east, this high will keep the area dry with partly to at times mostly cloudy skies.  Lows Tonight and Saturday Night will be in the 20s and 30s with highs Tomorrow in the 40s and 50s.  East winds will continue at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph near Lake Superior.

-Tonight's low temperature forecast.  (intellicast.com)














-Saturday's high temperature forecast.  (intellicast.com)













-Tonight's frost/freeze potential.  (intellicast.com)













Extended Forecast, Sunday-Tuesday (April 29th-May 1st)

High pressure will remain in control of our weather on Sunday with mostly dry conditions.  Highs will warm up a bit away from Lake Superior with 50s and some 60s expected but 40s will continue near the lake.  Lows Sunday Night will be in the 30s to around 40 degrees.  Southerly flow locks in early next week as high pressure pushes farther toward the east.  Shower chances return to the area next Monday and Tuesday as low pressure begins to develop in the Western High Plains-Northern Plains.  Highs for Monday and Tuesday will be in the 50s and 60s with lows Monday Night in the mainly in the 40s.

Long Range Forecast (May 2nd-8th)

There will be a chance for showers from the middle of next week thru next weekend (2nd-6th) as multiple areas of low pressure track thru or get close to the Upper Midwest.  A couple of thunderstorms are even possible next Wednesday, mainly in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Temperatures for the most part should remain near seasonal averages during this period.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Breezy.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 29 to 34.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

.Saturday...  Breezy.  Partly cloudy.  High 46 to 51 but around 40 closer to Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph.

.Saturday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Sunday...  Partly sunny.  High 50 to 55 but in the 40s near Lake Superior.

.Sunday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 33 to 38.

.Monday...  Variable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 55 to 60.  Chance of rain 20%.

.Monday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 40 to 45.

.Tuesday...  Showers possible.  Variable cloudiness.  High 60 to 65.  Chance of rain 20%.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  55
Low:  35

Sunrise Saturday:  5:58 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday:   8:16 PM CDT

Saturday's Allergy Forecast:  9.1/Medium to High
Saturday's UV Forecast:  6.0/Medium

Tim

Thursday, April 26, 2012

Clear/chilly Tonight. A brisk east wind develops in Duluth on Friday.

Issued at 4:42 PM CDT, Thursday, April 26th, 2012

  • Dry weather pattern with near to below average temps thru Sunday
  • Frost/freeze potential Tonight and for the next few nights
  • Showers could return next week

-If you live in the areas shaded in blue, be prepared for a frost/hard freeze come Friday Morning (intellicast.com)













Weather Tidbits:

-Thru April 25th:  3.70" of precipitation has fallen at Duluth, Minnesota which is 1.76" above average.  Our monthly average temperature is 42.1 degrees which is 3.6 degrees above average.

-Hottest April day on record on Wednesday, April 25th, 2012 at Lubbock and Childress, Texas.  The high temperature was 104 degrees at Lubbock and 106 degrees at Childress.  (Paul Douglas. St. Cloud Times)

-The high temperature of 104 degrees at Lubbock, TX on Wednesday was 26 degrees above normal for April 25th and was 9 degrees above normal for July 4th! It also beat their previous record high by 18 degrees!  (Twitter; @chasetheplains; @JeffLast; @Geostrophic)

-1,368 record high temperatures in the Western and Central U.S. from April 19th-26th.  (hamweather)

-On this date in 1996:  A record low temperature of 20 degrees occurred at Duluth, Minnesota.

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

High pressure of 1026mb was located in Northcentral Manitoba Province late This Afternoon.  Sunshine and near normal temperatures were common in our area Today with highs in the 50s with middle 40s in some spots closer to Lake Superior.  Winds Today were out of the north or east at around 10 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

Northwest flow aloft covered the Upper Midwest with 500mb troughs in Eastern Canada and Western U.S. per RUC model analysis and water vapor satellite imagery.  850mb temperatures as of 4pm ranged from 0 to -4C in Central and Northern Minnesota to +2 to +6C in Southwestern Minnesota.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight through Friday Night (April 26th-27th)

High pressure will be in control of our weather as it remains off to our N/NW.  Clear to partly cloudy skies are forecast during this period, although clouds might become more widespread, especially in Southern parts of our area Friday and Friday Night.  Lows Tonight and Tomorrow Night will be in the 20s and 30s with highs Tomorrow in the 40s and 50s.  Winds will be out of the north or east at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts developing Friday and Friday Night, especially near Lake Superior.

-Low temperature forecast for Tonight (intellicast.com)














-High temperature forecast for Friday (intellicast.com)













Extended Forecast, Saturday-Monday (April 28th-30th)

High pressure will pass through Central/Eastern Canada during this period.  Looks dry for Saturday and Sunday, then by next Monday we could be dealing with some rain showers as a weather system begins to organize to our west.  High temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s on Saturday with mainly 50s to lower 60s expected for Sunday and Monday.  Lows will be in the 20s and 30s Saturday Night and mainly the 30s for Sunday Night.

-HPC's snowfall forecast of >1" totals for 7pm Friday-7pm Saturday.  Still some slight probabilities for Westcentral-Southern Minnesota.  Higher chances farther west in North Dakota.
















Long Range Forecast (May 1st-7th)

Rain showers are possible in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin between Tuesday/Thursday, May 1st-3rd.  Could be dealing with another system sometime next weekend, or May 5th-7th...That one could also bring some rain showers to our area.  Temperatures look to be near seasonal averages during this period.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Clear.  Low 26 to 31.  Wind north to northeast around 10 mph.

.Friday...  Becoming breezy.  Partly cloudy.  High 47 to 52, but around 40 closer to Lake Superior.  Wind east at 15 to 25 mph.

.Friday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 28 to 33.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday...  Partly cloudy.  High 41 to 46.

.Saturday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Sunday...  Partly cloudy.  High 50 to 55.

.Sunday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 33 to 38.

.Monday...  Variable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 52 to 57.  Chance of rain 20%.

Normal temperatures for Tomorrow

High:  55
Low:  34

Sunrise Friday:  5:59 AM CDT
Sunset Friday:   8:14 PM CDT

Friday's Pollen Forecast:  10.7/High
UV Forecast:  6.0/Medium

Tim

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

A few showers This Evening. Dry late Tonight thru the weekend. Possible snow/rain event Fri-Sat for the Northern Plains, maybe into parts of MN?

Issued at 4:17 PM CDT, Wednesday, April 25th, 2012

  • Frost/freeze potential Tonight, and for the next few nights
  • Scattered showers linger This Evening, clearing later Tonight
  • A dry pattern sets in Thursday and lasts into the weekend

-HPC forecasters have parts of North Dakota in a moderate to high risk for at least 4" of snow from 7pm Friday-7pm Saturday.
















-HPC forecast for snowfall amounts of >1" for Friday Night and Saturday.















Rainfall report for Wednesday, April 25th, 2012
Source:  MesoWest.com

Effie, MN:  0.16"
Bigfork, MN:  0.11"
Cohasset, MN:  0.23"
Grand Rapids, MN:  0.13"
Hill City, MN:  0.18"
Moose Lake, MN:  0.13"
Cromwell, MN:  0.15"

Saginaw, MN:  0.39"
Duluth, MN:  0.32"
Hibbing, MN:  0.19"
Superior, WI:  0.37"
Minong, WI:  0.17"
Washburn, WI:  0.26"
Hayward, WI:  0.22"
Winter, WI:  0.25"
Clam Lake, WI:  0.24"
Ashland, WI:  0.15"
Glidden, WI:  0.14"

High temperature report for Tuesday, April 24th, 2012
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  66 degrees
Brainerd, MN:  72 degrees
Hibbing, MN:  66 degrees
Hayward, WI:  68 degrees
Bigfork, MN:  66 degrees
Longville, MN:  70 degrees
Pine River, MN:  70 degrees
Aitkin, MN:  72 degrees
Moose Lake, MN:  70 degrees
Hinckley, MN:  72 degrees
Superior, WI:  66 degrees
Siren, WI:  70 degrees
7 miles northwest of Brainerd, MN:  74 degrees
Bruno, MN:  70 degrees
Floodwood, MN:  68 degrees
Gordon, WI:  68 degrees
9 miles north of Bayfield, WI:  67 degrees

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Low pressure of 1000mb was centered along the Southern Minnesota/Northern Iowa border late This Afternoon while a trough starts it's journey toward the south out of Northern Minnesota.  It was a tale of two seasons in Minnesota Today with summer like warmth in Western and Southern Minnesota with highs in the 70s and 80s Today, while much cooler 30s and 40s were found near Lake Superior.  Highs in Northwest Wisconsin and far Northern Minnesota were in the 40s and 50s Today with 60s and even some 70s from Longville and Pine River to Brainerd, Aitkin and Hinckley.  Skies were mostly cloudy in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin Today with scattered rain showers.  Skies cleared out during the Afternoon from Bigfork and Grand Rapids and points west.  Winds Today were out of the southeast or north-northeast at 5 to 15 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

RUC model analysis and water vapor satellite imagery showed a NW 500mb flow covering the Upper Midwest.  500mb troughs were over the Northeast U.S. and Western U.S. with a 500mb ridge covering parts of the Southern Plains.  850mb temperatures as of 4pm ranged from 0 to -8C in Central Canada to +4 to +6C in Northern Minnesota to +10 to +16C in Central and Southern Minnesota.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight through Thursday Night (April 25th-26th)

A trough will be moving S-SE through our area This Evening.  Scattered showers are possible as this boundary moves through.  Skies should become clear to partly cloudy during the night with partly cloudy skies expected for Thursday and Thursday Night as a strong area of high pressure builds south from Northern Canada.  Lows Tonight and Tomorrow Night will be in the 20s and 30s with highs on Thursday in the 40s and 50s.  Winds will be out of the north or east at 5 to around 20 mph.

-Low temperature forecast for Tonight per intellicast.com.  Low 20s at International Falls to middle 50s at Des Moines.  Quite the difference!














-High temperature forecast for Thursday per intellicast.com













Extended Forecast, Friday-Sunday (April 27th-29th)

A strong area of high pressure will cover Central Canada during this period while low pressure stretches from the Northern/Central Plains to the Ohio Valley.  Still appears that the high to our north will keep any rain/snow to our west-south from Friday thru Sunday.  High temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s during this period with lows Friday Night and Saturday Night in the 20s and 30s.

Note:  Frost/freeze potential starts late Tonight, with additional chances Thursday Night, and possibly Friday Night-Saturday Night as well.

-HPC's 500mb forecast map for Saturday, a very amplified pattern.  Upper troughs in Eastern Canada and the Northern Rockies.  A ridge from Manitoba Province toward the Upper Midwest.
















-HPC's 500mb forecast for Wednesday, May 2nd, 2012.  Quite a pattern flip, gone is the amplified crap, being replaced with more of a zonal or west-east flow.  Will see if we get this type of change.
















Long Range Forecast (April 30th-May 6th)

The upper level pattern could change a bit through this period with perhaps a more zonal flow becoming established.  A chance for showers does exist sometime between May 1-2, and possibly again toward the 4th-6th of May. 

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Scattered showers early with mostly cloudy skies.  Becoming partly cloudy late.  Low 30 to 35.  Wind northeast to north at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday...  Partly cloudy.  High 48 to 53.  Wind north to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday Night...  Mostly clear.  Low 28 to 33.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Friday...  Partly cloudy.  High 45 to 50.

.Friday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Saturday...  Partly cloudy.  High 41 to 46.

.Saturday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Sunday...  Partly cloudy.  High 48 to 53.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  54
Low:  34

Sunrise Thursday:  6:01 AM CDT
Sunset Thursday:   8:13 PM CDT

Thursday's Allergy Forecast:  10.5/High (pollen.com)
Thursday's UV Forecast:  6.0/Medium (pollen.com)

Tim



Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Looks a little wet late Tonight/Wednesday.

Issued at 4:47 PM CDT, Tuesday, April 24th, 2012

  • Shower chances Tonight and Wednesday, maybe an isolated thunderstorm?
  • Dry pattern sets in Wednesday Night thru the weekend
  • Cooler temperatures area-wide by Thursday thru the weekend

-18z Duluth WRF model rainfall forecast for Tonight thru 1pm Wednesday.  Looks like generally 0.10" or less of precipitation, but there will be heavier totals in spots, note the darker blue colors and even some green in far Northeast Minnesota.















-19z HRRR model run, this is also a precipitation forecast which is valid thru 5am Wednesday Morning.


















-And finally the HPC precip forecast valid thru 7pm Wednesday.
















Weather Tidbits:

*3 days so far this month with a high temperature of at least 60F in Duluth, Minnesota.  Last month we had 7 days.  April 2011 had 4 days.

*On this date in 1990:  A record high temperature of 82 degrees occurred at Duluth, Minnesota.

*14 severe weather reports (wind damage) on April 23rd, all the reports were in the Northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest which is pretty unusual for April.  (SPC)















Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Low pressure of 998mb was in Northwest North Dakota late This Afternoon with a warm front extending from the Central Dakotas to Northwest Iowa.  A pleasant spring day throughout the area with partly to mostly sunny skies.  Highs were in the 50s in far Northern Minnesota and in Downtown Duluth with 60s and even a few lower 70s elsewhere.  Winds were light and variable at around 10 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

Northwest flow aloft continued in the Upper Midwest Today.  An upper level low was lifting north through Quebec Province while an upper level ridge covered the Southwest U.S. and Western High Plains.  Note:  Another day of heat near that 500mb ridge with widespread 80s and 90s Today from Montana and the Dakotas to far Southwest Minnesota, through the Central Plains and Southwest U.S.  850mb temperatures as of 4pm ranged from 0 to -4C in Central/Northern Ontario Province to +4 to +8C in Northern Minnesota to +12 to +18C in Central/Southwest Minnesota to +20 to +28C from the Northern and Central Plains back through the Rockies and Southwest U.S.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight through Wednesday Night (April 24th-25th)

An area of low pressure will pass west and south of our local area Tonight and Wednesday.  A warm/moist advection pattern will develop north/east of this system which will result in occasional rain shower development in our area for Tonight and Wednesday.  Instability looks pretty weak up in this area so widespread thunderstorms aren't expected, however, there could be isolated thunderstorms Tonight and Tomorrow, but none of these storms are expected to be very strong.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast this period with lows Tonight in the 40s and lower 50s.  Highs on Wednesday will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the 30s.  Dry weather will return to our area by Wednesday Night.  Winds during this period will be out of the east or north at 5 to 15 mph.

-Low temperature forecast for Tonight














-High temperature forecast for Wednesday













Extended Forecast, Thursday-Saturday (April 26th-28th)

A strong area of high pressure near Western Hudson Bay Canada will control our weather late this week with a dry pattern developing.  High temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s from Thursday-Saturday with lows in the 20s and 30s Thursday Night and Friday Night.

Note:  Looks like a couple more nights of possible frost/freezes late this week into the weekend.

Long Range Forecast (April 29th-May 5th)

High pressure will keep our area dry for Sunday-Monday (29th-30th) This high will move off to the east early next week with a pattern change toward a more zonal flow possibly occurring for the rest of next week.  There will be a chance for some rain showers at times after Monday of next week.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Increasing cloudiness.  Occasional showers developing late This Evening and through the Overnight hours.  Low 40 to 45.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.  Chance of rain 60%.

.Wednesday...  Considerable cloudiness.  Scattered showers.  High 50 to 55 with 40s near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.  Chance of rain 60%.

.Wednesday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 30 to 35.  Wind north at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday...  Partly cloudy.  High 50 to 55.

.Thursday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 27 to 32.

.Friday...  Partly cloudy.  High 45 to 50.

.Friday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Saturday...  Partly cloudy.  High 41 to 46.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  54
Low:  34

Sunrise Wednesday:  6:02 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday:   8:11 PM CDT

Tim

Monday, April 23, 2012

**Allergy Alert** **Allergy Alert** Grab the meds! Ridges, troughs, a weekend slop-fest..Oh and some rain for Duluth Tue Night/Wed

Issued at 3:50 PM CDT, Monday, April 23rd, 2012

  • Scattered showers into mid-week
  • Mild temperatures thru Wednesday
  • A colder end to the week/weekend appears likely
  • Potential rain/snow system this weekend for Southern Minnesota

-A potential weekend slop-fest for portions of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest? This is the 12z GFS model from Today, this shows where there could be some sticking snow on Saturday, April 28th.  Stay tuned!














Weather Tidbits:

*12 days so far this month with a low temperature of 32 degrees or colder at Duluth, Minnesota.  March had 15 days.

*14 days so far this month with a high temperature of at least 50 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota.  This equals what we had the entire month of March.

*Hottest April day on record was tied on Sunday at Phoenix, 105 degrees.  Las Vegas, 99 degrees.  And at Death Valley, 113 degrees.  (TWC)

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

A ridge of high pressure averaging 1016-1020mb stretched from the Upper Midwest through the Central Plains with low pressure of 1010mb centered in Southern Saskatchewan Province.  Temperatures did warm up Today with highs ranging from the middle 50s to lower 60s which is around 5 or so degrees above normal for late April.  It was cooler, however, in Downtown Duluth where highs stayed in the 40s.  Winds were light and variable at around 10 mph.  Skies were partly to mostly cloudy Today with brief light rain showers/sprinkles dropping S/SE through parts of Northcentral Minnesota, most of this precipitation wasn't reaching the ground though.

-Widespread 80s Today from the Central Dakotas, back thru Montana and Wyoming.














Today's Upper Level Analysis:

Northwest flow aloft was in place across the Upper Midwest.  500mb ridge continued to cover the Southwest U.S. while a strong storm system lifts N/NW across the Northeast U.S. per water vapor satellite imagery.  850mb temperatures as of 3pm ranged from +2 to +8C from east to west in Minnesota.  Much warmer air dominated areas from the Northern Plains into the Western U.S. with 80 and 90 degree temperatures common This Afternoon from the Western Dakotas on to the west-south.

-This Morning's 500mb map per RUC model.  Note the bulge in the Southwest U.S.=April heat wave! And the dip in the East=April snow/rain for the Northeast U.S. Today.
















Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight through Tuesday Night (April 23rd-24th)

A ridge rider type pattern will remain in place during this period.  A huge upper level ridge with very warm to hot temperatures will continue well west-southwest of our area while a weak disturbance or two drops SE on the northwesterly flow aloft across the Upper Midwest.  Most of our area will remain dry into Tuesday Evening, but spotty showers can't be ruled out, especially from Northcentral to Eastcentral Minnesota, and possibly into extreme Northwest Wisconsin.  The Iron Range, North Shore, Arrowhead and the South Shore of Lake Superior should stay rain-free through Tomorrow Evening.  By late Tuesday Night, a more organized area of low pressure is forecast to move into the Northern Plains, this low could bring some showers to the Northland after Midnight Tuesday Night.

Low temperatures Tonight and Tuesday Night will be in the 30s and 40s.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  Winds during this period will be out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.

-Low temperature map for Tonight per intellicast.com














-High temperature map for Tuesday per intellicast.com:  Another day of very warm/hot temperatures from the Plains to the Western U.S.













Extended Forecast, Wednesday-Friday (April 25th-27th)

An area of low pressure is forecast to pass west-south of our area on Wednesday while a cold front moves through Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Scattered showers are possible on Wednesday.  Dry weather returns for Thursday and Friday along with chillier temperatures as a strong Hudson's Bay high builds into the area.  Highs on Wednesday will range from the 40s near Lake Superior with 60s and maybe even a few 70s elsewhere.  Highs for Thursday and Friday will be in the 40s and 50s.  Low temperatures in the 30s are expected for Wednesday Night.  Lows Thursday Night will be in the 20s and 30s.

-Rainfall forecast for Tuesday Night/Wednesday per HPC.  A tenth to quarter inch of rain could fall in the Northland, heavier totals west/south.
















Long Range Forecast (April 28th-May 4th)

Strong high pressure will remain to our north this weekend and early next week while low pressure scoots east through the Central Plains and toward the Ohio Valley.  Right now it looks like all the snow/rain associated with that low will remain in Southern Minnesota with dry conditions expected for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Note:  There's still a chance that this low could end up farther north than what the models are showing Today, if that happens, then some parts of our area could see some precipitation over the weekend.  The bigger story will be the cool temperatures that will be in place this weekend and early next week with no real signs of any warming until perhaps the middle/end of next week, or after May 2nd.  The coolest spots will likely be near Lake Superior due to a gusty E/NE wind coming off the big lake.  There's even an outside chance for a few lake effect showers (snow/rain) this weekend near Lake Superior, but the airmass looks awfully dry to support any lake effect precip at this time.

-HPC's surface map for Saturday Morning, April 28th.  Low in Southeast Nebraska plus the high in Western Hudson Bay Canada.  It's expected that the high to our north will prevent any precip from reaching into Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin this weekend.  Things could change though.
















5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR

.Tonight...  Partly cloudy.  Isolated showers or sprinkles possible.  Low 35 to 40.  Wind variable around 10 mph.  Chance of rain less than 20%.

.Tuesday...  Variable cloudiness.  High 60 to 65 but cooler closer to Lake Superior.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday Night...  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 38 to 43.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.  Chance of rain 30%.

.Wednesday...  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 50 to 55 but in the 40s near Lake Superior.  Chance of rain 30%.

.Wednesday Night...  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 30 to 35.

.Thursday...  Partly cloudy.  High 45 to 50.

.Thursday Night...  Partly cloudy.  Low 27 to 32.

.Friday...  Partly cloudy.  High 45 to 50.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  53
Low:  33

Sunrise Tuesday:  6:04 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday:   8:10 PM CDT

Tuesday's Allergy Forecast:  10.7/High category!
Tuesday's UV Forecast:  6.0/Medium

Tim