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Showing posts from October, 2011

Weather Report for Monday, October 31st, 2011. Generally dry, but a few sprinkles/light rain showers can't be ruled out late Tonight/Tuesday AM. Light rain potential for Northwest Wisconsin Tuesday PM-Wednesday. Storm still expected this weekend, but it looks to pass west of us, meaning we stay on the "warm side" while signifcant snow targets portions of North and South Dakota.

Issued at 3:49 PM CDT, Monday, October 31st, 2011

It's been a dry fall so far in much of Minnesota.

First number represents the total amount of precipitation since September 1st.  The second number represents the departure from average.

Duluth, MN (Airport location)  2.60"/-4.29"
International Falls, MN:  2.73"/-2.29"
Twin Cities, MN:  1.06"/-4.39"
St. Cloud, MN:  2.17"/-3.72"

Note:  October 2011 will be the 4th consecutive month with an above average monthly temperature at Duluth, Minnesota.

Month by month temperature departures in Duluth, MN for 2011:

January:  -1.3 degrees.
February:  -0.3 degrees.
March:  -1.4 degrees
April:  +0.1 degrees.
May:  -2.1 degrees.
June:  -1.9 degrees.
July:  +4.3 degrees.
August:  +2.5 degrees.
September:  +0.6 degrees.
October:  Should end about +5.0 above average.

Updated climate outlook for November 2011.
Source:  Climate Prediction Center.

For Duluth, Minnesota:

40% chance for above average temperatures.  Equal…

10/30/11: Sunday's Weather Report. Patchy drizzle for parts of the Northland Tonight. Halloween Day and Night looks dry, a touch on the cool side by trick or treat time. Light rain potential Tuesday PM-Wednesday? Possible storm Nov. 5th-6th?

Issued at 6:59 PM CDT, Sunday, October 30th, 2011

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

A clipper type system has been pushing south/east through the Upper Midwest Today.  Some light rain and drizzle affected parts of Northwest Wisconsin and Eastcentral Minnesota, but rainfall totals were extremely light, generally a few hundreths of an inch at most.  Skies were partly sunny to mostly cloudy with highs mainly in the 40s with a few spots in the low 50s.  Winds were out of the west, east or north at 5 to 20 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

500mb low/trough continued to move southeast across the Upper Midwest and Western Great Lakes early This Evening per water vapor satellite imagery.  Greatest 500mb height falls (60 meters/12 hours) associated with this low have pushed into Northwestern Illinois per RUC model analysis.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Tonight:

Low pressure will move into Eastern Wisconsin.  Most…

Weather Report for Saturday, October 29th, 2011: Clouds on the increase Tonight leading to some light rain for Sunday. Halloween still looks dry, just a tad cool for the little ones.

Issued at 3:57 PM CDT, Saturday, October 29th, 2011

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Another chilly Morning with low temperatures ranging from 17 degrees at International Falls.  19 degrees at Hibbing, Bigfork and Pine River.  20 degrees at Hayward and Winter.  Bruno bottomed out at 22 degrees while the Duluth Airport and Superior had a low of 25 degrees.  A stubborn area of low clouds along with some fog (freezing fog in some spots) affected Northern portions of Koochiching, St. Louis, Lake and Cook Counties Minnesota This Morning and early This Afternoon.  This area of low clouds pushed north into Ontario Province by mid to late Afternoon.  Skies outside of far Northern Minnesota were sunny to partly cloudy Today with near to slightly above average temperatures for the end of October.  Highs ranged from the upper 30s in the International Falls, Crane Lake and Ely, Minnesota areas with upper 40s to lower 50s common elsewhere.  Winds were calm…

Weather Report for Friday, October 28th, 2011. Spotty Evening showers, flakes/ice pellets. Dry Saturday. Light rain west-south Saturday Night-Sunday. Halloween looks dry with near average temps.

Issued at 4:25 PM CDT, Friday, October 28th, 2011

A couple snowfall reports from Thursday, October 27th, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  1.0"
Butternut, WI:  1.0"
Finland, MN:  0.1"

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

A chilly start to the day with widespread 20s and even some teens in our area, some of the colder lows This Morning include:  Hayward, WI:  21 degrees.  Silver Bay, MN:  19 degrees.  Grand Marais, MN:  19 degrees.  Superior, WI:  21 degrees.  Embarrass, MN:  16 degrees.  An area of low pressure was centered to our north This Afternoon with a trough attached to this low passing through the Northland This Morning and early This Afternoon.  This system brought a few showers to our area Today with some snow and sleet mixed in with the rain in some spots.  The precipitation associated with this frontal boundary exited to our east by early Afternoon, then we saw some …

Weather Report for Thursday, October 27th, 2011. More snow/rain showers arrive late Tonight and linger into Friday. Dry Saturday ahead. Halloween looks pretty good at the moment.

Issued at 4:14 PM CDT, Thursday, October 27th, 2011

*Minnesota drought update as of October 25th, 2011*
Source:  Climate Prediction Center.

80% of Minnesota is abnormally dry.
32% of Minnesota is under moderate drought conditions.
17% of Minnesota is under severe drought conditions.

October 2011 climate check for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

Average monthly temperature thru the 26th:  50.2 degrees
Departure from average:  +6.0 degrees

Monthly precipitation total thru the 26th:  1.02"
Departure from average:  -1.45"

Weather History:

On this date last year, 4.3" of snow fell at Duluth, Minnesota (on top of the hill)

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

A changeable day across the area with a mixture of clouds and sun with spotty showers of rain, sleet and snow.  A pool of cold air aloft with temperatures at 18,000 feet running from -28 to -34 degrees C combined with some "warming" near the surface made the atmosphere qui…

Weather Report for Wednesday, October 26th, 2011. Scattered mostly light rain showers thru the weekend, could be a bit of snow at night/Morning hours. Near average temps into Sunday.

Issued at 7:29 PM CDT, Wednesday, October 26th, 2011

Note:  On this date in 1996 a total of 14 tornadoes were reported in Minnesota.  The first tornado touched down one minute after 3PM CDT at Barry, Minnesota (Big Stone County) This tornado was rated an F0 and was on the ground for 1 mile.  The last tornado reported during this outbreak touched down at 7PM CDT, 21 miles northeast of Brainerd, Minnesota (Crow Wing County) That tornado was rated an F2 and was on the ground for 3/4 mile.  Source:  NWS Chanhassen, Minnesota.

Minnesota Tornado ratings on October 26th, 1996:

F0:  2
F1:  7
F2:  5

Other tornadoes were reported in Nebraska (3) and South Dakota (9)  A grand total of 26 tornadoes were reported in the Northcentral U.S. on October 26th, 1996.

One year ago Today a massive storm tore through the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.

*All time low pressure record occurred in Minnesota* 

5:13 PM CDT 10/26/10:  Bigfork, Minnesota.  955.2mb/28.21".  The previous low pressure rec…

Weather report for Tuesday, October 25th, 2011. LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE THIS EVENING S/SE OF THE TWIN PORTS...SHOWERS DOT THE NORTHLAND MID WEEK THRU THE WEEKEND, COULD BE SOME SNOWFLAKES AT NIGHT/MORNING HOURS.

Issued at 4:26 PM CDT, Tuesday, October 25th, 2011

Today's Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Low pressure has been moving east across Iowa with a strong warm front attached to this low centered in Southern Wisconsin.  Temperatures south of this warm front were in the 70s and 80s in Iowa, Illinois, Missouri and far Southern Wisconsin Today while northeast winds and mostly cloudy skies north of this warm front kept high temperatures in the 40s in our area which is right around average for this time of year.  Some light rain and drizzle did occur Today mainly south of a line from Brainerd to Moose Lake to Mercer with dry conditions elsewhere.  Winds Today were out of the north or east at 5 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

W/SW 500mb flow was in place over the Upper Midwest per water vapor satellite imagery with a strong baroclinic zone (temperature contrast) in place with Afternoon 850mb temperatures of -8 degrees C in Ce…

10/24/11: Monday's Weather Report. COULD BE SOME RAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT-TUESDAY FROM DULUTH TO EC MN AND NW WI. MID-LATE WEEK, NO BIG PRECIP EVENTS, BUT FLAKES/SPRINKLES CAN'T BE RULED OUT FROM TIME TO TIME. ALL IN ALL IT REMAINS PRETTY QUIET (WEATHERWISE) AROUND HERE.

Issued at 7:06 PM CDT, Monday, October 24th, 2011

Rainfall report for Sunday, October 23rd, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Duluth, MN:  0.33"
Brainerd, MN:  0.18"
Ashland, WI:  0.25"
Hayward, WI:  0.16"
Madeline Island, WI:  0.25"
4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  0.29"

Weather History:

On this date in 1998:  A record high temperature of 71 degrees occurred at Duluth, Minnesota.
On this date in 1995:  1.7" of snow fell at Duluth, Minnesota.

WEATHER HEADLINES:

*Northern areas stay dry thru Tuesday Night
*Light rain possible at times for southern areas thru late Tuesday Afternoon
*Near average temperatures into mid-week

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today's Weather:

Partly cloudy to sunny skies prevailed in our area Today with high temperatures in the middle 40s to middle 50s.  Winds were out of the north or west under 15 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

A near zonal flow (west to east)…

10/22/11: Saturday's Weather Report. PUDDLES FORM LATE TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS SUNDAY. DRY MONDAY. MODEL AGREEMENT IS A "D" FOR TUESDAY.

Issued at 4:10 PM CDT, Saturday, October 22nd, 2011

WEATHER HEADLINES:

*Scattered showers/isolated t'storms Tonight thru Sunday Evening
*Near to above average temperatures into Monday
*Cooler temps arrive Tuesday and linger most of next week
*Possible rain system Tuesday-early Wednesday?

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today's Weather:

An area of low clouds and fog developed early in the Morning in parts of St. Louis, Lake and Cook Counties Minnesota, this burned off leaving behind a sunny Afternoon.  The rest of our area saw mostly sunny or sunny skies Today.  High temperatures ranged from the middle to upper 40s in the Arrowhead with 50s to near 60 degrees elsewhere.  Winds were out of the southwest, north or northwest under 15 mph.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

W/NW 500mb flow was in place across the Upper Midwest per RUC model analysis and water vapor satellite imagery.  Powerhouse 150 knot upper level jet covered Southwestern Canada wit…

10/21/11: Friday's Weather Report. STOKE UP THE BBQ IT'S PACKERS vs VIKINGS WEEKEND! RAIN CHANCE SAT.NIGHT-SUN, MAYBE A T'STORM? LATEST DROUGHT UPDATE FOR MINNESOTA. STORM FOR NEXT WEEK CRAPS OUT WITH TODAY'S MODELS.

Issued at 4:40 PM CDT, Friday, October 21st, 2011

Very cold start to the day across the Northland.  Frost was widespread even close to Lake Superior This Morning.  Embarrass, Minnesota was just 4 degrees shy of the single digits Today!

Low temperature report for Friday, October 21st, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Duluth, MN:  24 degrees
International Falls, MN:  19 degrees
Brainerd, MN:  25 degrees
Hibbing, MN:  16 degrees
Hayward, WI:  20 degrees
Sky Harbor, MN:  30 degrees
Two Harbors, MN:  23 degrees
Silver Bay, MN:  18 degrees
Ely, MN:  19 degrees
Bigfork, MN:  19 degrees
Superior, WI:  25 degrees
Siren, WI:  23 degrees
Northome, MN:  25 degrees
Babbitt, MN:  16 degrees
Embarrass, MN:  13 degrees
Floodwood, MN:  19 degrees
3 miles east of Orr, MN:  19 degrees
Butternut, WI:  24 degrees
Winter, WI:  20 degrees

*Minnesota drought update as of October 18th, 2011*
Source:  Climate Prediction Center.

80% of Minnesota is abnormally dry.
31% of Minnesota is in mo…

10/20/11: Thursday's Weather Report...LOOKING GOOD THRU SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCE SAT.NIGHT/SUN. NEXT TUE-WED STORM THREAT, MAYBE SOME SNOW?

Issued at 4:15 PM CDT, Thursday, October 20th, 2011

30 day outlook for November 2011.
Source:  Climate Prediction Center.

Duluth, Minnesota:

33% chance of Above Average Temperatures.
Equal chance of Above, Below or Average Precipitation.

90 day outlook for November 2011 thru January 2012.
Source:  Climate Prediction Center.

Duluth, Minnesota:

Equal chances of Above, Below or Average Temperatures.
33% chance of Above Average Precipitation.

Winter 2011-12 outlook (December-February)
Source:  NOAA/NWS.

Duluth, Minnesota:

40% chance of Below Average Temperatures.
33% chance of Above Average Precipitation.

Weather Tidbits:

*High temperature of 41 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota on October 18th was the coldest maximum temperature since May 2nd when the high temperature was 40 degrees.

*Rainfall totals from Wednesday, October 19th, 2011 (NWS Duluth, MN)  Gile, WI:  0.70"; Upson, WI:  0.53";  4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  0.10"; Butternut, WI:  0.10".

WEATHER HEADLINES:

-Clear/crisp n…

10/19/11: Wednesday's Weather Report. POWERFUL AUTUMN STORM PASSING WELL TO OUR SE TONIGHT&THURSDAY. 50s return on Friday! MIDDLE-END OF NEXT WEEK STILL LOOKS VERY COLD (GFS MODEL)

Issued at 4:23 PM CDT, Wednesday, October 19th, 2011

Weather Tidbits:

*2 waterspouts Today over Southwest Lake Michigan.  9:27AM CDT, 3 miles east of Sheboygan, WI.  920AM CDT, 5 miles east-northeast of Oostburg, WI.  (NWS Milwaukee, WI)

*5 tornadoes reported on October 18th in Southeast Florida.  Strongest was an EF-2 (9:07PM), 3 miles north-northwest of Davie, Florida (Broward County)  Maximum winds:  120 mph.  Path Length:  1.1 miles.  Maximum width:  125 yards.  Up to 50 homes were damaged.  (SPC)

High temperature report for Tuesday, October 18th, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Hibbing, MN:  39 degrees
Grand Marais, MN:  37 degrees
Ely, MN:  37 degrees
Orr, MN:  37 degrees
Crane Lake, MN:  36 degrees
Bigfork, MN:  39 degrees
Embarrass, MN:  39 degrees
4 miles east of Island Lake, MN:  39 degrees
Kabetogama, MN:  38 degrees
3 miles east of Orr, MN:  36 degrees
2 miles south of Tower, MN:  37 degrees

WEATHER HEADLINES:

*Scattered lake effect showers along the…

10/18/11: Tuesday's Weather Report. Layout change, done! Cool, Fall weather continues into Thursday. Lake effect rain/snow showers east of the Twin Ports Tonight-early Thursday. Early season arctic airmass possible middle/end of next week?

Issued at 7:49 PM CDT, Tuesday, October 18th, 2011

Weather History:

On this date in 2007:  2.66" of precipitation fell at Duluth, Minnesota.
On this date in 2002:  1.6" of snow fell at Duluth, Minnesota.

WEATHER HEADLINES:

*Below to near average temperatures thru Thursday
*Lake effect rain/snow showers for the South Shore of Lake Superior from Tonight-early Thursday
*Overall it's a dry weather pattern for the area thru the weekend
*Big time push of cold air possible the middle/end of next week?

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today's Weather:

Mainly gray skies (typical of Fall) and below average temperatures covered our area Today with highs only in the upper 30s to middle 40s.  A few areas of drizzle and light rain showers also affected parts of the area Today, but the rain didn't really add up to very much.  Winds were out of the north or northwest at 5-15 mph with some higher gusts.

Today's Upper Level Analysis:

N-NW 500mb fl…

10/17/11: Monday's Weather Report. Climate Data for the 1st half of October. Sprinkles/flurries for some, lake effect showers of rain and snow for others. Cool week ahead.

Issued at 4:13 PM CDT, Monday, October 17th, 2011

October 1st-16th, 2011 climate data for select cities in Minnesota.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

Average monthly temperature:  55.8 degrees.  9.6 degrees above average.
Precipitation total:  1.00".  0.64" below average.

International Falls, Minnesota:

Average monthly temperature:  55.4 degrees.  11.2 degrees above average.
Precipitation total:  0.73".  0.46" below average.

Twin Cities, Minnesota:

Average monthly temperature:  63.9 degrees.  12.0 degrees above average.
Precipitation total:  0.68".  0.74" below average.

WEATHER HEADLINES:

*Near to below average temperatures expected during the next several days
*Chance of rain or snow showers thru mid-week especially along the South Shore of Lake Superior

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today's Weather:

Low pressure of 988mb was centered near Southern Hudson Bay Cana…

10/15/11: Saturday's Weather Report. BRISK WINDS AT TIMES THRU MONDAY. CHILLY SHOT EARLY NEXT WEEK, SPRINKLES...FLURRIES...MY OH MY...

Issued at 4:54 PM CDT, Saturday, October 15th, 2011

Weather Tidbits:

*High temperature of 52 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location) on October 14th was the first time since October 1st with a below average high temperature.

*October 1st-7th precipitation total at Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)  Trace.  Average for that period of time is 0.79".  0.79" below average.

*October 8th-14th precipitation total at Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)  1.00".  Average for that period of time:  0.67".  0.33" above average.

*Twin Cities, Minnesota had the 2nd warmest October 1st-13th on record.  Average temperature during that time was 66.7 degrees.  The warmest October 1st-13th on record was 67.9 degrees which occurred in 1879.  Source:  Mark Seeley.  WeatherTalk blog.

*Nearly all communities in Minnesota have had their warmest start to October since either 1963 or 1938.Source:  Pete Boulay.  Minnesota State Climate Office.

2011 severe weather stats.  (SPC)

T…

10/14/11: Friday's Weather Report: ARROWHEAD/SOUTH SHORE FLAKES LATE TONIGHT-EARLY SAT? GUSTY WINDS THIS WEEKEND. BIG PATTERN SHIFT FROM LAST FRIDAY TO TODAY.

Issued at 5:16 PM CDT, Friday, October 14th, 2011

Rainfall report for Thursday, October 13th, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Grand Marais, MN:  0.71"
Ashland, WI:  0.52"
Kabetogama, MN:  0.40"
Finland, MN:  0.40"
Butternut, WI:  2.22"
Madeline Island, WI:  0.91"
4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  0.29"

*GALE AND STORM WARNINGS HOISTED OVER LAKE SUPERIOR*
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, MN and Marquette, MI.

Gale Warning continues until 1PM CDT Saturday for Western Lake Superior with northwest gales expected.  Wave heights will range from 5 to 9 feet with the largest waves affecting the South Shore of Lake Superior.

Storm Warning is in effect for portions of Central and Eastern Lake Superior until 12AM CDT Saturday Night.  Northwest storm force winds are expected with wave heights of 23 to 36 feet!

Note:  Dramatic pattern shift from last Friday compared to this Friday.  SW upper level flow and near record warmth late las…

10/13/11: Thursday's Weather Report (MUCH NEEDED RAIN FELL ACROSS THE NORTHLAND) STRONG NW WINDS FRI-SAT.

Issued at 7:02 PM CDT, Thursday, October 13th, 2011

Rainfall report for Wednesday, October 12th, 2011.
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Duluth, MN:  0.49"
International Falls, MN:  0.45"
Grand Marais, MN:  0.38"
Hibbing, MN:  0.39"
Ashland, MN:  0.95"
Hayward, WI:  0.77"
Bruno, MN:  0.48"
12 miles north of Isle, MN:  0.44"
Cass Lake, MN:  0.31"
Littlefork, MN:  0.32"
Cook, MN:  0.55"
Embarrass, MN:  1.30"
Floodwood, MN:  0.60"
3 miles east of Orr, MN:  0.71"
2 miles south of Tower, MN:  0.53"
Butternut, WI:  0.77"
Park Falls, WI:  1.38"
Upson, WI:  1.43"
4 miles west of Clam Lake, WI:  0.82"
Winter, WI:  1.31"

Weather Tidbits:

-Today marks the 12th day in a row with an above average high temperature at Duluth, Minnesota.

-Rainfall total of 0.81" on October 12th is the heaviest calendar day rainfall total since August 2nd when 2.15" of rain fell at Duluth, Minn…