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Showing posts from March, 2009

3/31/09: Winter Storm Update Number 3

Issued at 10:09 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

*Winter Storm Warning* continues until 7 AM CDT for Duluth/Superior...This includes the counties of St. Louis and Douglas...

At 9 PM CDT...Low pressure of 993 mb was centered near the Granite Falls and Montevideo areas in Southwestern Minnesota while the 500 mb low had lifted into Southcentral Minnesota. The dry slot which occurred earlier This Evening had moved out of the local area and now were seeing more precipitation develop around parts of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin as we approach the late Evening hour.

Across Northwest Wisconsin precipitation continued to fall as rain...Or a mix of rain and sleet... with mainly snow over in Minnesota...Although some rain and sleet has mixed in at times This Evening mainly from Duluth south across Carlton/Pine Counties... Some of this precipitation has been heavy...Pretty similar to what occurred earlier Today.

This precipitation was forming north-northeast of the surface/upper lev…

3/31/09: Winter Weather Headline Information

Issued at 4:26 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

Note: Snowfall total in West Duluth varies between 3-4" as of 4 PM Today...Were now seeing light drizzle and light freezing drizzle with strong east-northeast winds...The snow which wasn't wet about 3 hours ago has morphed into a concrete/wet/slushy type of snow as temperatures warm toward freezing as the dry slot moves overhead...

*Winter Storm Warning* now in effect until Noon CDT Wednesday for the following counties in Minnesota: Northern St. Louis... Lake... And Cook... Some cities included in the warning are: Orr... Crane Lake... Two Harbors... Finland... Lutsen... Isabella... Tofte... Little Marais... Beaver Bay... And Grand Marais... Snow heavy at times will continue to fall in the warning through Wednesday Morning...Although the snow may end for a time This Evening before it picks back up once again later Tonight. Snowfall rates could approach 1-2" an hour in the most intense snow bands... Gusty eas…

3/31/09: Tuesday's Weather Report

Issued at 3:30 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

-Forecast is working out quite well so far as this latest winter storm moves through the area...

-Main forecast concerns deal with the dry slot moving in right now... The threat for freezing drizzle under the dry slot...

-Attention will then turn back to the strong upper level low which could bring another round of snow to parts of the area Tonight and Wednesday...

-Long term issues deal with the big storm this weekend and how far north will it track...Very amplified/blocky type pattern set to develop across the U.S. this weekend into most of next week...

-No signs of Spring at least through next week...

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

(Today's Weather)

At 3 PM CDT...Low pressure of 992 mb had moved into Southwest Minnesota... This low has been moving very slow as it was over Southeast South Dakota around 2 AM This Morning and now has just crossed into Southwest Minnesota as of 3 PM Today. Strongest pr…

3/31/09: Winter Storm Update Number 2

Issued at 1:40 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

*Winter Storm Warning* continues until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for Duluth/Superior...Including Southern St. Louis and Douglas Counties...

At 1 PM CDT...Low pressure averaging 992 mb was centered over far Northwest Iowa. This low has moved very little during the past 12 hours or so. A dry slot is lifting north as expected and extends from south of Sturgeon Lake in Northern Pine County Minnesota...east through Northern Burnett...Northern Washburn...and Sawyer Counties in Northwest Wisconsin. Still seeing some intense snow bands develop on the nose of this advancing dry slot. Many of these snow bands have been dropping close to an inch per hour snowfall rates Today. The problem seems to be that these bands haven't been lasting more than 10-15 minutes for most locations, and this could lead to less snowfall than previously expected for most of the area... The exception to this seems to be along the North Shore of Lake Superior where snow…

3/31/09: Winter Storm Video

Issued at 12:47 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

Here are some videos I grabbed as a heavy snow band passed thru Duluth Minnesota around 12 PM Today... East-northeast winds have been gusting to 30 to 45 mph here in the city with near whiteout conditions at times as the heavier snow bands move through. I have 2.5" of snow on the ground as of Noon Today...But there is alot of drifting taking place. Also, the snow isn't wet, but it is compacting pretty good. Temperatures at Noon Today were running between 28-31 degrees here in Duluth.


3/31/09: Winter Storm Update Number 1

Issued at 9:15 AM CDT, Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

*Winter Storm Warning* until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for Duluth/Superior...Including Southern St. Louis and Douglas Counties...

As of 7 AM CDT: 1.1" of snow had fallen at the NWS in Duluth Minnesota...

At 8 AM CDT...Low pressure averaging 992 mb was centered over Southeastern South Dakota... The low has made very little progress over the past 5 hours. Strongest pressure falls of 2 mb/2 hours have shifted into Western...Central...and Eastern Minnesota through most of Wisconsin This Morning...

Snow started to fall here in Duluth around 2 AM Today with some ice pellets mixed in during the wee hours of the morning... Snow continued to fall here in the city as of 9 AM with bands of heavier snow now beginning to develop to our south...With movement toward the north.

Temperatures as of 8 AM were in the upper 20s to 30 degrees in the city with howling east-northeast winds of 25 to as high as 45 mph!

The zero degree H85 temperature contour stretched f…

3/30/09: Latest Headline Information

Issued at 4:50 PM CDT, Monday, March 30th, 2009

Following headlines issued by the National Weather Service in Duluth, Minnesota:

*Winter Storm Warning* in effect from 10 PM CDT Tonight until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for the following counties in Minnesota: Itasca... Cass... Crow Wing... Aitkin... And Pine... And in Wisconsin: Burnett... And Washburn... Some cities included in the warning are: Grand Rapids... Bigfork... Walker... Cass Lake... Brainerd... Hill City... Aitkin... McGregor... Hinckley... Pine City... Siren... Grantsburg... Spooner... Shell Lake... And Minong... Snow will develop across the warning area Tonight with snow becoming heavy at times Overnight into Tuesday... Additional snow will fall Tuesday Night. Snow will become mixed with and possibly change to sleet or rain Tuesday Afternoon and Tuesday Evening over Burnett and Washburn Counties in Wisconsin and possibly into Pine County Minnesota. Total snowfall accumulations of 6-10" are expected …

3/29/09: Monday's Weather Report

Issued at 3:57 PM CDT, Monday, March 29th, 2009

Forecast concerns are plenty as the latest winter storm takes aim on the local area...

One thing seems certain and it's that no major warm spells are expected anytime soon as a Winter type pattern continues...

(Today's Weather)

Low pressure of 995 mb was centered over Southern Nebraska as of 3 PM CDT Today with high pressure averaging 1020 mb extending from Southeast Manitoba to Central Lake Superior. Pressure falls up to 2 mb/2 hours were found over most of Iowa into the Southern half of Minnesota This Afternoon which should lead to the surface low moving into that area through Tuesday Morning which would match the current projected path per forecast models Today. Skies across the area Today were partly sunny to mostly cloudy with high temperatures mostly in the 30s and low 40s. Winds were out of the north or east at 5 to 15 mph with some gusts around 20-25 mph developing in some locations This Afternoon.

(Today's Upper Air An…

3/30/09: Updated Headline Information...

Issued at 9:51 AM CDT Monday, March 30th, 2009

Headlines posted by the National Weather Service in Duluth, MN:

*Winter Storm Warning* now in effect from 4 PM CDT Today until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for the following counties in Northcentral and Eastcentral Minnesota: Cass... Crow Wing... And Aitkin... Some cities included in the warning are: Walker... Cass Lake... Brainerd... Hill City... McGregor... And Aitkin... Snow is forecast to develop across the warning area This Afternoon with accumulations of 1-2" possible by This Evening. The snow may end for a time Tonight before the main storm arrives Overnight through Tuesday Evening...Snow heavy at times is forecast to occur from late Tonight through Tuesday Evening with storm total accumulations of 6-12" possible. During this winter storm expect visibilities to be reduced to around one quarter mile at times along with east winds of 15-25 mph which will produce blowing and drifting snow. Travel will become extremely diff…

3/29/09: Headline Information

Issued at 5:13 PM CDT, Sunday, March 29th, 2009

Following headlines issued by the National Weather Service in Duluth, Minnesota:

*Winter Storm Warning* in effect from 7 AM CDT Tuesday until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for parts of Northeast and Eastcentral Minnesota and for parts of Northwest Wisconsin. Counties included in the warning are: Itasca... Central and Southern St. Louis... Carlton... Pine... Douglas... Burnett... And Washburn... Some cities included in the warning are: Grand Rapids... Big Fork... Hibbing... Cotton... Duluth... Floodwood... Esko... Cloquet... Moose Lake... Hinckley... Pine City... Superior... Solon Springs... Siren... Grantsburg... And Spooner... Snow will develop across the warning area Monday Night and Tuesday Morning with snow becoming heavy at times on Tuesday. Low pressure lifting north-northeast out of the Central Plains is forecast to reach Eastern Minnesota or Western Wisconsin Tuesday Night which could cause the snow to taper off for…

3/29/09: Sunday's Weather Report

Issued at 4:38 PM CDT, Sunday, March 29th, 2009

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin:

(Today's Weather)

At 4 PM CDT Today low pressure averaging 987 mb was centered over Northeast Wyoming. A broad area of 3 mb per 2 hour pressure falls were located from Central Colorado to the Western half of Nebraska This Afternoon per RUC model analysis... Result from this should be for the surface low to continue to dig a bit more toward the south and east This Evening. Low pressure averaging 990 mb was centered over Eastern Lake Huron. It's been a long time since we saw this much sun around Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin but it occurred Today...But temperatures were still running slightly below average for late March. High temperatures Today were mostly in the 30s and low 40s with north or northwest winds around 15 mph or less.

(Today's Upper Air Analysis)

Seeing two strong H5 lows across the U.S. The first one continued to lift east-northea…

3/29/09: Winter Storm Watch Information

Issued at 7:26 AM CDT, Sunday, March 29th, 2009

Definately have seen a westward trend to the storm track for Monday and Tuesday on the 00z model run from last night... This could have implications on how much snow we see here in Duluth as the dry slot could very well affect the city and points south and east from here as the low heads into Eastern Minnesota later Tuesday... The heaviest snow band if the low tracks into Eastern Minnesota would likely fall west and northwest of the city, kind of similar to the storm that occurred just a few weeks ago... Snow totals here in the city could be held down to around 3-6" if this western track holds up... The Navy-Nogaps model remains the farthest south-east with the storm track while all the other models have shifted west over the past 12 hours. This will definately bear watching during the next couple model runs to see if this trend holds up, or if the models start pushing the system a bit more to the east again. The storm itself s…

3/28/09: Saturday's Weather Report

Issued at 4:27 PM CDT, Saturday, March 28th, 2009

*Flood Warning* remains in effect until further notice or until the warning is cancelled for the Mississipp River at Aitkin Minnesota and for the Mississippi River at Fort Ripley Minnesota. At 10 AM CDT Saturday...The Mississippi River at Aitkin had a stage of 15 feet. Flood stage is 12 feet. The stage is expected to remain nearly steady around 15 feet through the weekend before it begins to slowly recede. At 15 feet some flooding occurs in Aitkin. At 1115 AM CDT Saturday the Mississippi River at Fort Ripley had a stage of 12 feet. Flood stage is 10 feet. The river is forecast to rise to near 12.1 feet through Monday. At 12 feet the boat landing...Dock...And parking lot access is affected.

Flood Warning* is in effect until further notice for Southwest Cass County in Northcentral Minnesota... At 830 AM CDT Saturday flooding continued along the Crow Wing River northwest of Motley Minnesota. Upstream river gages have crested...How…

3/27/09: Friday's Weather Report

Issued at 3:13 PM CDT, Friday, March 27th, 2009

*Lake Effect Snow Advisory* is in effect until Midnight CDT Tonight for Ashland and Iron Counties in Northwest Wisconsin. Lake effect snow showers will linger across the advisory area Tonight thanks to favorable wind directions and a cold airmass in place. Additional accumulations of 1 to 4 inches are expected Tonight with storm totals ranging from 4 to 8 inches with localized totals up to a foot. Roads will be snow covered and slippery Tonight with visibilities under a mile at times in the heaviest snow showers.

*Flood Warning* is in effect until 130 PM CDT Saturday for Southwest Cass County in Northcentral Minnesota... At 314 PM CDT Friday flooding was occurring along the Crow Wing River northwest of Motley Minnesota. Upstream river gages have crested however ice jamming had developed in portions of the river near the city of Motley on the Crow Wing river. Expect additional flooding of low lying areas near the river.

*Flood Warning*…

3/27/09: Winter Storm Threat

Issued at 2:59 PM CDT, Friday, March 27th, 2009

Potential Winter Storm early next week...

A strong area of low pressure is forecast to move into the Northern Rockies this weekend before diving south and east toward the Central Plains early next week. The area of low pressure is then forecast to head northeast toward Central or Eastern Wisconsin around Tuesday or Tuesday Night of next week. Although the exact track of the low is still somewhat uncertain with the forecast models Today, there seems to be better overall agreement Today compared to 24 hours ago with the expected track of this next low pressure system. It appears that temperatures will be cold enough so that precipitation that falls would come down mainly as snow early next week across Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin...Although some rain may mix in with the snow across Northwest Wisconsin depending on how much warm air gets pulled north ahead of the low and also depending on the exact track the low takes. It&#…

3/26/09: Flood statement information

Issued at 4:27 PM CDT, Thursday, March 26th, 2009

From the National Weather Service...

*Flood Warning* is in effect until 845 AM CDT Friday for the Nemadji River in Northwest Douglas County in Northwest Wisconsin... At 320 PM CDT Thursday the Nemadji River stage was 20.4 feet. Recent snow melt combined with heavy rain on frozen ground has resulted in a rapid increase of runoff into the Nemadji River. Though the river level has been nearly steady for the last 24 hours...Some ice jamming is occurring along the river upstream from County Road C and downstream past the bridge on Woodlawn Road resulting in increased river levels due to backwater affects. Water has been reported over Finn Road south of the Intersection of East County Road C. Water from Crawford Creek was nearing road level on East Hammond Avenue west of County Road A.

*Flood Warning* is in effect until 1245 PM CDT Friday for Southwest Cass County in Northcentral Minnesota. At 11 AM CDT Thursday flooding was reported alon…

3/26/09: Thursday's Weather Report

Issued at 3:47 PM CDT, Thursday, March 26th, 2009

Weather History:

On this date in 2007, a record high temperature of 72 degrees occurred at Duluth, Minnesota.

Here are some snowfall reports around Northeast Minnesota from last night and This Morning...

Duluth MN-NWS (St. Louis County) 0.3"

Littlefork MN (Koochiching County) 1.3"

3 miles Northeast of Nisswa MN (Crow Wing County) 2.1"

3 miles North of Brainerd MN (Crow Wing County) 1.3"

International Falls MN (Koochiching County) 1.7"

5 miles North of Pillager MN (Cass County) 1.5"

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

(Today's Weather)

Low pressure averaging 1006 mb has moved into the Northeast half of Ontario Province while a cold front attached to this low shifts southeast from Northwest Minnesota. It was an unusually cold day around Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with high temperatures running a good 10 to 25 degrees below average for late March. High temperat…

3/25/09: Flood Update

Issued at 4:51 PM CDT, Wednesday, March 25th, 2009

*Flood Warning* continues for the Mississippi River at Aitkin MN and for the Mississippi River at Fort Ripley MN... This warning is in effect until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled... Counties included are: Aitkin and Crow Wing...

The Mississippi River at Aitkin, MN had a stage of 13.9 feet as of 9 AM CDT Wednesday with minor flooding occurring. Flood stage is 12 feet. The river is forecast to rise to near 14.5 feet by Friday Morning then begin falling. At 15 feet some flooding occurs in Aitkin.

The Mississippi River at Fort Ripley MN had a stage of 9.8 feet as of 10 AM CDT Wednesday. Flood stage is 10 feet. The river is forecast to rise above flood stage the rest of This Afternoon and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by early Saturday Afternoon. At 12 feet, the boat landing, dock and parking lot access are affected.

*Flood Advisory* continues for the Floodwood River in Southwest St. Louis County in Northeast M…

3/25/09: Wednesday's Weather Report

Issued at 4 PM CDT Wednesday, March 25th, 2009

Note: The first thunderstorm of Spring 2009 passed through Duluth between 9:30 PM and 10 PM CDT Tuesday Night.

Here are some precipitation totals around Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin from 7 AM CDT Tuesday through 7 AM CDT Wednesday...

Duluth MN: 0.51"

International Falls MN: 0.77"

Brainerd MN: 0.78"

Grand Marais MN: 0.58"

8 miles South of Bigfork MN: 0.84"

8 miles Northeast of Cook MN: 0.66"

Dixon Lake MN: 0.51"

Embarrass MN: 0.70"

Hinckley MN: 0.45"

Kabetogama MN: 0.75"

3 miles East of Orr MN: 0.57"

Littlefork MN: 1.01"

3 miles Northeast of Nisswa MN: 0.68"

Northome MN: 0.83"

Silver Bay MN: 0.82"

Butternut WI: 0.60"

9 miles Northwest of Washburn WI: 0.51"

West Duluth: 0.80" from 2 PM CDT Tuesday ending at 3:30 PM CDT Wednesday... Total precipitation from this storm was 2.50" in West Duluth between Sunday Night and This Morning.

For…